Forum: Political Forum - Spirited Political comedy. All serious political and World Event posting is also to be posted in this forum.

Thread: Dems in absolute PANIC as early data SHATTERS narrative in key states!

Page 1 of 30 1234567891021 ... LastLast
  1. #1 Dems in absolute PANIC as early data SHATTERS narrative in key states! 
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Dems in Absolute Panic As Early Data Shatters Narrative in Key States

    Up until this weekend, the Democratic victory narrative has been this: Dems will outperform in early and mail in voting. Republicans, leerier to mail-in voting, will opt for in person voting and will outperform on election day. However, in the end, the in-person voting will not be enough to overcome the massive early voting numbers by the Democrats.This weekend that narrative shattered in some key states. It’s absolute panic.Politico’s lead story today contains this revealing quote about many anxiety-ridden memos in Democratic offices:

    “Democrats are poring over early vote totals, circulating anxiety-ridden campaign memos and bracing for a long two weeks.”


    Michigan is chief among the Democrats’ worries. With 25% of the total vote in, compared to 2016, Republicans have a slim advantage heading into Election Day. It’s expected a rush of ballots from Republicans, leerier of mail voting, will be cast in-person on Nov. 3.

    Michigan – Republicans have the early lead among early & mail-in voting:



    With about 25% of the total Michigan votes in, Republicans outpace Democrats 40.2% to 38.3%.

    Texas – Republicans shatter early voting expectations and it appears a blue Texas is gone:

    Democratic Operative on Twitter: “I don’t understand how Dems are doing worse than 2016 in Texas in terms of early voting. Something is up.”Twitter User Response: “The polls are way off–duh!”(Read how pollsters skew the polls).

    In Texas, the Republicans shatter all previous years, accounting for 50.6% of the total early vote, vs. 41% for Democrats.

    As Democratic strategists pore over early numbers, a clear and unexpected trend is emerging: The lock-downs is suppressing the college vote. On college campuses across America, during a normal election year, many of the social events are tied to campaign events for mostly Democratic candidates. Not this year with COVID-19 lock-downs.Also, a general complacency of an inevitable Biden win has gripped campuses. As it turns out, many college outreach initiatives have been cancelled in Michigan, including virtual rallies and door-to-door canvassing, due to Biden’s lead and concerns over social distancing. The result? College students have not turned out to vote, yet.In, Philadelphia, home to Temple U, Drexel, UPenn and LaSalle Univ, the 18-29 vote has gone from 23.1% in 2016 to 12.5% in 2018, to 11.7% in 2020.

    In Dane county, WI, home to UW Madison and one of America’s most liberal college towns, the 18-29 vote has declined from 8.0% in 2016 to 7.3% in 2020. This came as a big surprise. 27% of the total 2016 vote is already in, and the WI youth vote was expected to be energized.



    In Durham county, NC, home to Duke & North Carolina State University, the 18-29 vote has actually declined from 15.8% in 2016 to 14.5% in 2020. In the entire NC state, the youth vote declined from 12.4% in 2016 to 9.4% now.

    Deeper Problems for the Democrats than an Absent College Demographic

    Cross-tab analysis suggests the problems are deeper than an absent college demographic. Key counties in Michigan have shifted red. Most notably, Kent and Oakland counties. With a half a million votes cast in Oakland county in 2016, overwhelming for Hillary Clinton, it’s nothing less than complete shock to see early voting highly favorable to Republicans. With 25% of the Michigan vote in, these results are absolutely terrifying to Democrats.To be very clear: These numbers will not overcome the expected rush of ballots that Republicans, leerier of mail voting, will cast in person on Nov. 3. Even if we model the data using the most optimistic expectations for Democrats on Nov. 3rd, Republicans still outnumber in the end. This data runs counter to their narrative for victory. The data also suggests the polls are off–way off.

    Furthermore, 25% of the total data is a significant data set that cannot be dismissed easily. It’s a data set much larger than any Michigan poll.It’s expected that Democrats will make a pivot to encourage in-person voting as soon as possible, communicate with operatives to not become complacent, and execute with a greater sense of urgency.

    2016 Results, Oakland County


    Current Results Based Off Early Voting 2020 Shows Oakland County Slight Republican



    It’s absolute panic for Democrats.

    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #2  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    I'm shocked - SHOCKED! - the FAKE NEWS mainstream media is spewing nothing but lies. ("Biden is winning the election!")

    I am shocked - SHOCKED! - the "shy Trump voter" is REAL and will dominate this election.

    I'm shocked - SHOCKED! - the actual view from the ground is the polar opposite of the idiotic vitturd/savage view from the air.

    I am shocked - SHOCKED! - the silent majority is ROARING and sticking it to all anti-American corrupt socialist globalist SCUM!

    I am shocked - SHOCKED! - that whatever duhhhhhhhhfinch the pauper believes is turning out wrong - again! Remember "Bloodhound Bob"? LMFAO!
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  3. #3  
    Nirvana Shill RED EYE's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Location
    View is freaking unreal up here !!
    Posts
    23,204
    Its pretty simple for me. Alot of people in this country saw the fake Russian collusion narrative , impeachment , riots in Dem cities , and defunding the police.. How else is the sane population going to vote ? My thought even common sense Dems are going to run away from their party. Its happening !
    Reply With Quote  
     

  4. #4  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    atlanta
    Posts
    1,965
    Reply With Quote  
     

  5. #5  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    I believe these fictitious polls are being used to create a narrative that will justify far left widespread rioting and civil unrest after Trump's inevitable landslide victory.

    They are going to say he cheated...or Russia did it again!

    After all, how could the polls be so wrong?? All designed to delegitimize his second term mandate and authority. ("Not my president!" 2.0)

    Forget FAKE NEWS and use common sense: anyone who looks at Joe Biden and thinks voters are going to make this senile pedophile POTUS needs their head examined!
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  6. #6  
    Nirvana Shill RED EYE's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Location
    View is freaking unreal up here !!
    Posts
    23,204
    Best thread I've been in all day. Sleeping will be easier tonight..
    Reply With Quote  
     

  7. #7  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Quote Originally Posted by magking1 View Post
    It is beyond hilarious and sooooooooo predictable!

    PEDO Joe and his grating whore commie running mate are getting CRUSHED!
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  8. #8  
    Never bet against America. HamGlaze's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Location
    Summerlin
    Posts
    6,380
    The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  9. #9  
    RX Wizard
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    USA
    Posts
    10,121
    Quote Originally Posted by HamGlaze View Post
    The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.
    If you REALLY believe that Trump even has a remote shot of winning either California of New York, you are beyond any kind of professional help.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  10. #10  
    Nirvana Shill RED EYE's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Location
    View is freaking unreal up here !!
    Posts
    23,204
    Quote Originally Posted by HamGlaze View Post
    The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.
    Have a 15/1 prop with Trump in NY. Its in play.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  11. #11  
    RX Senior
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Location
    Clearwater, FL USA
    Posts
    5,421
    this could be it!!
    Don Trump is another Nixon.....if Nixon had 4th grade literacy, weighed 321 lbs, snorted amphetamines like Pez, consumed only pureed food & exhibited expanding symptoms of FTD
    Reply With Quote  
     

  12. #12  
    Nirvana Shill RED EYE's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Location
    View is freaking unreal up here !!
    Posts
    23,204
    Here come the haters. Got them blocked for awhile now.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  13. #13  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Quote Originally Posted by HamGlaze View Post
    The question isn’t whether Trump will win, it’s whether he can take either California or New York or both despite the cheating and give that knockout blow to the commie socialist democracks. I’m hearing New York is going to be closer than anticipated.
    It's beyond comical listening to libtards brag about "national polls" and "popular vote" as if these things mean anything to the current electoral process. With MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL UNVERIFIED NON-PHOTO ID VOTES being counted in states like Commiefornia, nobody should give any of these "metrics" any credence.

    "Hillary won the popular vote!"

    Hysterical!
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  14. #14  
    RX Wizard
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    USA
    Posts
    10,121
    Quote Originally Posted by RED EYE View Post
    Have a 15/1 prop with Trump in NY. Its in play.
    ZERO chance-kiss your money goodbye(den)!!

    How does your Trump's winning the popular vote in the country at the "incredible odds" given at 2-1 look? lol
    Reply With Quote  
     

  15. #15  
    Nirvana Shill RED EYE's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Location
    View is freaking unreal up here !!
    Posts
    23,204
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheriff Joe View Post
    It's beyond comical listening to libtards brag about "national polls" and "popular vote" as if these things mean anything to the current electoral process. With MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL UNVERIFIED NON-PHOTO ID VOTES being counted in states like Commiefornia, nobody should give any of these "metrics" any credence.

    "Hillary won the popular vote!"

    Hysterical!
    How do you think this affects the Senate and Congressional races ? Good trend for those too ?
    Reply With Quote  
     

  16. #16  
    RX Wizard
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    USA
    Posts
    10,121
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheriff Joe View Post
    It's beyond comical listening to libtards brag about "national polls" and "popular vote" as if these things mean anything to the current electoral process. With MILLIONS OF ILLEGAL UNVERIFIED NON-PHOTO ID VOTES being counted in states like Commiefornia, nobody should give any of these "metrics" any credence.

    "Hillary won the popular vote!"

    Hysterical!
    Before retiring for the evening, I thought I would tell you that if you do a search between now and the Election, you might find an internet special on crow

    if you buy it in sufficient quantity.

    I say sufficient because you and a lot of other folks in here who are members of Trump's Basket of Deplorables are going to need a lot of it to

    ensure that all of you losers have enough to go around when the Election results are finalized!
    Reply With Quote  
     

  17. #17  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Say it ain't so delusional Dems!

    HA! HA! HA! HA! HA! HA! HA! HA! HA! HA!

    It’s the GOP’s turn: Florida’s early voting awash in conservative wave

    The start of in-person voting today is expected to trigger a conservative wave that will build over the next two weeks and crest on Election Day.

    https://www.tampabay.com/news/florid...ervative-wave/
























    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  18. #18  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Quote Originally Posted by savage1 View Post
    ZERO chance-kiss your money goodbye(den)!!

    How does your Trump's winning the popular vote in the country at the "incredible odds" given at 2-1 look? lol
    FACT: Trump won a 8m++ popular vote LANDSLIDE in the HEARTLAND.

    Only a delusional loon like you would believe unverified cheating states like CA should count for anything. You keep 'crowing' about "popular vote" and "national polls" like they mean something.

    They don't.
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  19. #19  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Quote Originally Posted by RED EYE View Post
    Here come the haters. Got them blocked for awhile now.
    Nah, unblock'em...it'll be like watching the Young Turks on election night all over again!
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  20. #20  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    WOW!

    REAL America loves Donald J. Trump!

    https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1318276008303382529
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  21. #21  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Thousands upon thousands of Trump supporters line the streets in....CALIFORNIA???



    Here come that big tidal red wave vitturd/savage has feared all along!
    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  22. #22  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Thanks to 24/7 China virus fear porn and subsequent draconian measures by tyrannical governors in blue states, get-out-the-vote drives on college campuses are all but dead.

    Result: that critical 18-24 demographic (stupid gullible voters) Democrats depend on to win elections is not showing up.

    How are Democrats going to make up for this critical shortfall?

    Blacks and Hispanics? Nope - our racist KKK leader is making unprecedented gains with them!

    Voter fraud?

    Maybe vitturd/savage can tell us. He once boasted running several successful political campaigns and that the "Hillary ground game in Ohio is strong and will see her through!" (Trump won OH by double-digits!)

    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  23. #23  
    RX Deplorable Sheriff Joe's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Location
    Earth
    Posts
    26,274
    Quote Originally Posted by savage1 View Post
    If you REALLY believe that Trump even has a remote shot of winning either California of New York, you are beyond any kind of professional help.
    Oooooo...good one Nate! I'm so impressed when a revered "polling expert" like you goes out on a limb! Way to leave the low hanging fruit for all the rubes who didn't major in Welfare Cop-ology.

    Trump will lose California and New York, and then for once in your miserable pathetic fictitious life you can pretend you were right about... something!

    "Nothing wrong with a little Marxism" - Delusional Donger the WELCH, aka Pavian Grinage
    Reply With Quote  
     

  24. #24  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Palm Beach Gardens
    Posts
    629
    I absolutely believe NY is in play for Trump. I have quite a few friends on Long Island, we have numerous friends in Brooklyn and also my wife has many of her Banking reps in NY city and upstate NY. Guess what, they are all in for Trump. Many of my friends have been life long Dems and they are not voting for Biden because they know he has Dementia and are scared to death of Harris and all her Bull Shit Left Wing Radical garbage!!!
    Reply With Quote  
     

  25. #25  
    Their undisputed masterpiece is "Hip to be Square." The Falls's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    Dallas
    Posts
    5,901
    I love seeing this.
    But I need to see Trumps odds move lower in Michigan and overall at Pinny. They haven’t yet.

    Maybe the algos had a long weekend and haven’t caught up to this news to adjust...
    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •