Trump has 87% chance of winning election

bilbal

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• Oct 21, 2020

• #1

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-election-prediction-socionomic-institute-stock-market/

President Donald Trump has a very good chance of winning the 2020 presidential election against Joe Biden, if a more than 200-year overview of the stock market is to be believed.
That's according to research from the Socionomic Institute, a group that has long used the stock market to predict elections and economic and cultural trends.
The research, going back to George Washington, found 16 times in U.S. history when an incumbent president ran for reelection and the stock market was up more than 20% in the preceding three years. In 14 of those 16 times, the incumbent won reelection, giving a success rate of 87%.

 

PoundFoolish

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• #2

I wish it was that simple.

 

SheriffJoe

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But, but, but, but....the polls!! THE POLLS!!

- vitfraud/savage

 

bilbal

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Sheriff Joe said:

But, but, but, but....the polls!! THE POLLS!!

- vitfraud/savage

Click to expand...

but, but, but, baseball stadium!!!

 

SmallDaddy

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Bozzie

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I did my yearly call with Morgan Stanley this week, MS has an internal report for their network that has Biden at 84% to win.

 

SheriffJoe

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Bozzie said:

I did my yearly call with Morgan Stanley this week, MS has an internal report for their network that has Biden at 84% to win.

Click to expand...

JP Morgan says otherwise.

https://nypost.com/2020/09/02/jpmorgan-strategist-says-investors-should-get-ready-for-trump-win/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...pare-for-rising-chance-trump-wins-second-term

 

Bozzie

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Sheriff Joe said:

JP Morgan says otherwise.

https://nypost.com/2020/09/02/jpmorgan-strategist-says-investors-should-get-ready-for-trump-win/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...pare-for-rising-chance-trump-wins-second-term

Click to expand...

Guess we'll see soon sheriff Joe...it's all over the board depending where you look.

 

bilbal

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• #9

Bozzie said:

I did my yearly call with Morgan Stanley this week, MS has an internal report for their network that has Biden at 84% to win.

Click to expand...

In July 2016, Morgan Stanley said a Trump presidency was very unlikely.

 

rwjr

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• #10

SmallDaddy said:

Click to expand...

:hahahahah

 

savage1

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• #11

Sheriff Joe said:

JP Morgan says otherwise.

https://nypost.com/2020/09/02/jpmorgan-strategist-says-investors-should-get-ready-for-trump-win/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...pare-for-rising-chance-trump-wins-second-term

Click to expand...

Look at the dates of those articles-they are in late August and early in September,

That is hardly up-to-date.

Also where does it say it going to be an easy win for Trump as you claim you say in any event?

The words "more likely" to win are not quite the same as easy win!

 

Bozzie

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• #12

bilbal said:

In July 2016, Morgan Stanley said a Trump presidency was very unlikely.

Click to expand...

Your article put quite the discount on the unprecedented effect the stimulus has had on the economy and stock market.
Plus Trump is a 1 in 100 year candidate.

We shall see.

 

Willie99

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I feel dirty even saying this, but if we believed Trump as an 87% chance of winning, then we'd be as fucking stupid as them

 

SheriffJoe

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• #14

savage1 said:

Look at the dates of those articles-they are in late August and early in September,

That is hardly up-to-date.

Also where does it say it going to be an easy win for Trump as you claim you say in any event?

The words "more likely" to win are not quite the same as easy win!

Click to expand...

It was worth baiting you, just to drag you of your "savage" shell and watch you do the vitturd dance. Remember, only 'I' can do that!

I see today things are going as swimmingly for you over at SBR as they are over here....fucking retard.

 

savage1

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• #15

Sheriff Josefina,

You might want to send a PM to the moderators and/or Administration to see if they agree that I and Vitterd are the same person.

Lets just say that I find it interesting to say the least that when Vitterd emerged her briefly a month or two ago using his posting name of Vitterd,

he was banned immediately.

Perhaps with your "brilliance," you can tell us why I also was not banned at the same time if Vitterd and I are Clark Kent/Superman.

If you need help, I suggest that you consult your tag team partner in stupidity, willie99, for assistance! lol