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  1. #51  
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    Quote Originally Posted by paulfmf View Post
    Week 1 FWIW

    Short Dogs 5-2
    Totals 3-4

    who is your 2nd loss?

    NYJ +3.5 loss
    Ariz +2.5 WIN
    Chargers +2.5 WIN
    Phil +3.5 WIN
    Clev +5.5 WIN
    Mia +3.5 WIN


    so 5-1 road dogs, 1-0 div. home dogs on Texans, 0-2 on totals over system.

    What totals system are you referencing?
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  2. #52  
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    SBD-I made mistake on Baltimore. And I did all the totals. Just went back and saw it's non conf totals. Sorry for the miss.
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  3. #53  
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    Quote Originally Posted by paulfmf View Post
    SBD-I made mistake on Baltimore. And I did all the totals. Just went back and saw it's non conf totals. Sorry for the miss.
    and only between those two #'s, for the non-conf matchup totals
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  4. #54  
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    I came up with 3 non-conf games that fit the needed range. They went 1-2.

    AZ/SF Under 54
    Sea/INDY Under 49
    Balt/LAR Over 50'
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  5. #55  
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    Huh? Az/SF both nfc
    lvr/Balt both afc
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  6. #56  
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    nfl vs afl teams for your over plays
    last week the gaints were 0-14 ats at home vs opp 1500 or more travel miles
    denver won
    this week colts are 14-1 ats off dd lost watch the line on the colt game
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  7. #57  
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    I see 11 picks potentially counting the Indy trend
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  8. #58  
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    12 picks but watch the lines
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  9. #59  
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr bruce View Post
    12 picks but watch the lines
    what am i missing from the 3 original systems? I have 9

    road dogs


    Giants
    Bengals
    Vikings
    Cowboys




    panthers div home dog
    jets +5 home dog
    dolphins home dog


    cowboys/chargers over 55
    titans seahawks over 54
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  10. #60  
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    vegas
    tenn
    carlina
    colts angel play
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  11. #61  
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    Bruce......BOL with all your action this weekend and season buddy......

    continued success.......indy
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  12. #62  
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr bruce View Post
    vegas
    tenn
    carlina
    colts angel play
    thanks, vegas and titans are right. I had Panthers.
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  13. #63  
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    bump
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  14. #64  
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    short road dogs 5-1
    div home dogs 1-2
    totals 1-1, cowboys game eroded in 2nd half
    6-4 on the systems


    1-0 on the Colts angle
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  15. #65  
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    Nice
    But I don't think technically you can call it short road dogs
    Short should be 3 or less imo
    But label doesn't really matter
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  16. #66  
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    Quote Originally Posted by exploited17 View Post
    Nice
    But I don't think technically you can call it short road dogs
    Short should be 3 or less imo
    But label doesn't really matter
    using the OP's language. 1-6 for NFL, 1-4 for college for me.

    10-30-2020, 06:43 PM
    short road dogs of +1 to +6
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  17. #67  
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    short road dogs are still hot
    10-2 ats
    week 3 dogs
    colts
    saints
    atl
    cinn
    packers
    eagles
    looking at the chargers they are 15-4-2 ats as divison road dogs
    miami
    vegas is 1-13-1 ats at home before playing chargers
    0-7 ats after playing pitt
    giants under 10-1-1 vs atl
    nfl teams off a thursday road loss have gone under 29-6 since 2018 dallas game went under last week
    lets hope for a good week
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  18. #68  
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    What qualifies as a “Short Road Dog”?
    "SCARED MONEY IS DEAD MONEY”
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  19. #69  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unique06 View Post
    What qualifies as a “Short Road Dog”?

    howdy Unique.

    from the very first post on this thread by OP:

    short road dogs of +1 to +6
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  20. #70  
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    Dogs do well very early season NFL.

    Home field advantage is still in the bettor's mind but over the years it has diminished... except for turf issues sometimes, and weather (heat in Miami early in the year, cold late in the year Chicago, etc vs warm weather teams).
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  21. #71  
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    Quote Originally Posted by mr bruce View Post
    short road dogs are still hot
    10-2 ats
    week 3 dogs
    colts
    saints
    atl
    cinn
    packers
    eagles
    looking at the chargers they are 15-4-2 ats as divison road dogs
    miami
    vegas is 1-13-1 ats at home before playing chargers
    0-7 ats after playing pitt
    giants under 10-1-1 vs atl
    nfl teams off a thursday road loss have gone under 29-6 since 2018 dallas game went under last week
    lets hope for a good week
    5-1
    Dolphins
    Saints
    ATL
    Cincy
    Packers

    Colts loss

    4-2 ML too

    Non-Conf overs stall 0-2. Two missed XP's in Jax game cost a push, lost by 1.
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  22. #72  
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    Would Philly qualify as one today?
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  23. #73  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unique06 View Post
    Would Philly qualify as one today?
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  24. #74  
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    yes for sure. It was in the original list above too
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  25. #75  
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    Philadelphia has value as a contrarian road dog in a heavily bet primetime game. Primetime dogs are 5-3 ATS this season and 33-22 ATS (60 percent) over the past two seasons.

    The Eagles also match the best betting system through three weeks: short road dogs 6 or less. They are 14-2 ATS this season and 114-71 ATS (62 percent) the past two seasons. Philadelphia has value as a divisional dog, as the built in familiarity with a common opponent levels the playing field and benefits the team getting points. Divisional dogs are 61-46 (57 percent) over the past two seasons. It's also been profitable to fade teams making their home opener in Week 3, like the Cowboys tonight. Over the past decade, fading them is 31-15 ATS (67 percent). Brad Rogers, the head referee, is 32-26 ATS (56 percent) to the road team historically.
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