Saturday Service Play Thread 11/07/2020

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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MATT JOSEPH


Memphis Team Total Over 40.5
Game: (369) South Florida at (370) Memphis
Date/Time: Nov 7 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: To be announced
Play Rating: E%
Play: Memphis Team Total Over 40.5
 

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DR. CHUCK

Game: (317) Tulane at (318) East Carolina
Date/Time: Nov 7 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D%
Play: Tulane -4.0 (-110)
 

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Leave one: Pregame King Creole Sports NFL B) OVER 53 LV at LAC . Request one : King Creole Sports CFB B) Over of the day in Early Kicks.
 

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for Galen :WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ TEXAS LONGHORNS3*** Best Bet on: OVER THE TOTAL12:00pm ET / 9:00am PT / #377-378 *Optimum OU Line: 54.5 or less pointsBased on the pointspread and OU line, the predicted final score in this game is Texas 30.5 - West Virginia 24.0. Both of these Big 12 teams sit at 3-2 SU on the season, so this week’s game in Austin is essentially a ‘winner-take-all’ to remain viable or relevant in the Conference race. Prior to the last few weeks, the Mountaineers were stuck in neutral when it comes to offense. But they busted out last week against a very good Kansas State defense. In light of the competition, QB Jarrett Doege gave out his BEST performance of the season… going 22 for 34 for 301 yards. That outcome puts the Mountaineers at 33.0 points per game on the season. And they should have a good shot or two to do some major damage against a pretty poor Longhorn pass defense. Last week, Texas surrendered 400 yards and 4 TD’s to an Oklahoma State team that had been previously struggling. Next to doormats Kansas and Texas Tech, the Longhorns have the 3rd worst defense in the entire conference… allowing 32.5 ppg and 407.7 yards per game. So after a slow start, West Virginia has now gone OVER in each of their last three games. And its the average Over / Under MARGIN in those games that has us sitting up and taking notice. Texas can actually gone better. The Longhorns are now 5-1 O/U on the season. Average points per game on offense: 44.3. So the average Texas game has seen a combined 76.8 points per game. With those OVER-whelming results, it sure looks like we are getting some great VALUE when you consider the OU Line in this one is in the mid 50’s. Texas’ offense is more quarterback-driven than any team in the Big 12. They live and die with senior QB Sam Ehlinger. Let’s remember that the Longhorns went into Morgantown last season and cruised to a 43-31 victor (OU Line was 62 / OVER cashed by +12 points). And in the meeting two seasons ago, they went even higher. West Virginia won that one in Austin by the slimmest of margins (42 to 41). In that ‘back-and-forther’, the OU Line was 58 and the OVER cashed by an easy +25 points. The weather report looks perfect for a Big 12 SHOOTOUT in Austin on Saturday (76 degrees / 2 mile per hour WINS / 0% chance of rain). Originally, we projected an OU line of 59 to 62 points in this one. With the number down to 54.5, the value is THERE. Our models and simulations forecast a final score more like this: TEXAS LONGHORNS 34 - WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS 31. That’s more than 10 points higher than the current OU line. And that 10+ point difference trigger a BEST BET for our gameday service.
 

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Spreitzer H* GOY Iowa -6.5
 

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MidAmerican Sports (Raiderman)
CFB
Kansas State +12.5
Baylor/Iowa State Over 47.5
Tennessee -2
 

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H&H Sports (CFB) - Triple Dime Oregon State -125 (Moneyline)
 

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Strike Point Sports

G - Arizona St. +11
 

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Vernon Croy

Ncaa F units OSU -38
 

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Doc sports football

college

G-tennessee-2
D-fau owls-6.5
C-cincinnati-13.5
B-clemson-5.5
 

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Lee Sterling early releases

OREG St
Hawaii

50
40
 

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Jason Sharpe

G Units App St. -17.5 vs Tex St.
 

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Alan Harris

G unit: Oregon St -1.5
F unit: Iowa -6.5
 

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WUNDERDOG CFB PICK:

Game: App State Mountaineers (367) @ Texas State Bobcats (368)
Time: Saturday 11/07 3:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Appalachian State -17.5 (-108) at BetAnySports
Tools: Public Consensus | View Matchups | Bet this game at BetUS
 

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FujitaPunter

Penn State - Maryland Maryland : Over 65


Illinois - Minnesota : Over 62
 

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