Saturday 11/07/2020 Comps/Bonus Plays,Trends, Betting Info, Etc

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Good luck! rxb@ll

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

285BALL ST -286 MIAMI OHIO
BALL ST is 22-5 ATS (16.5 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.

289W MICHIGAN -290 AKRON
AKRON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

291BOWLING GREEN -292 TOLEDO
BOWLING GREEN is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

293BUFFALO -294 N ILLINOIS
N ILLINOIS are 63-40 ATS (19 Units) as a dog since 1992.

303SMU -304 TEMPLE
SMU is 15-39 ATS (-27.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

305WYOMING -306 COLORADO ST
WYOMING is 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

307UTAH ST -308 NEVADA
UTAH ST is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

309MIAMI -310 NC STATE
NC STATE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

313BYU -314 BOISE ST
BOISE ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

315AIR FORCE -316 ARMY
ARMY is 16-40 ATS (-28 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

317TULANE -318 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

319PITTSBURGH -320 FLORIDA ST
PITTSBURGH is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

321S ALABAMA -322 COASTAL CAROLINA
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after going under the total over the last 2 seasons.

323LIBERTY -324 VIRGINIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

325TROY -326 GA SOUTHERN
TROY is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

327HOUSTON -328 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.

329LA MONROE -330 GEORGIA ST
LA MONROE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

331LOUISVILLE -332 VIRGINIA
LOUISVILLE is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) in road games after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.

333BOSTON COLLEGE -334 SYRACUSE
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games vs poor passing QB's (<5.8 PYA) since 1992.

335N CAROLINA -336 DUKE
N CAROLINA is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

337TULSA -338 NAVY
NAVY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

341RUTGERS -342 OHIO ST
RUTGERS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) after 2 straight overs since 1992.

343MARYLAND -344 PENN ST
MARYLAND is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) off a win vs. the conference since 1992.

345BAYLOR -346 IOWA ST
IOWA ST is 22-10 ATS (11 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.

347MINNESOTA -348 ILLINOIS
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after being outgained by 175 or more total yds 2 consecutive games since 1992.

349MICHIGAN ST -350 IOWA
MICHIGAN ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

351PURDUE -352 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) in home games off home conference win since 1992.

355ARIZONA -356 UTAH
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.

359STANFORD -360 OREGON
STANFORD is 57-31 ATS (22.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1992.

363FRESNO ST -364 UNLV
UNLV is 54-87 ATS (-41.7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

365WASHINGTON -366 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when the line is +/-3 since 1992.

367APPALACHIAN ST -368 TEXAS ST
TEXAS ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight overs since 1992.

369S FLORIDA -370 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 in the last 3 seasons.

371KANSAS -372 OKLAHOMA
KANSAS are 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) off home conference loss since 1992.

373TEXAS TECH -374 TCU
TEXAS TECH is 33-16 ATS (15.4 Units) off a home loss since 1992.

375OKLAHOMA ST -376 KANSAS ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

377W VIRGINIA -378 TEXAS
TEXAS are 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

379NEBRASKA -380 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight unders since 1992.

381FLORIDA -382 GEORGIA
FLORIDA is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games since 1992.

383UTSA -384 RICE
RICE is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) in home games off a double digit road win since 1992.

385CHARLOTTE -386 MIDDLE TENN ST
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.

387VANDERBILT -388 MISSISSIPPI ST
VANDERBILT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

389ARKANSAS ST -390 LA LAFAYETTE
LA LAFAYETTE is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6.25 yards/play since 1992.

391FLA INTERNATIONAL -392 UTEP
UTEP is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) vs terrible teams (<25%) since 1992.

393NEW MEXICO -394 HAWAII
NEW MEXICO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

395W KENTUCKY -396 FLA ATLANTIC
W KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

397LOUISIANA TECH -398 NORTH TEXAS
NORTH TEXAS are 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

399TEXAS A&M -400 S CAROLINA
TEXAS A&M is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

401CLEMSON -402 NOTRE DAME
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.

403TENNESSEE -404 ARKANSAS
TENNESSEE is 26-7 ATS (18.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.

405MASSACHUSETTS -406 MARSHALL
MASSACHUSETTS are 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 7

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SMU (6 - 1) at TEMPLE (1 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (1 - 2) at ARMY (6 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 32-62 ATS (-36.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
ARMY is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 16-40 ATS (-28.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (3 - 4) at E CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
TULANE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S ALABAMA (3 - 3) at COASTAL CAROLINA (6 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LIBERTY (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (4 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (2 - 2) at CINCINNATI (5 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (0 - 7) at GEORGIA ST (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISVILLE (2 - 5) at VIRGINIA (2 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 3) at SYRACUSE (1 - 6) - 11/7/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (4 - 2) at DUKE (2 - 5) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (3 - 1) at NAVY (3 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 186-138 ATS (+34.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 186-138 ATS (+34.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 103-65 ATS (+31.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 168-123 ATS (+32.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 118-79 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (1 - 1) at OHIO ST (2 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 201-152 ATS (+33.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 201-152 ATS (+33.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 170-132 ATS (+24.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 133-99 ATS (+24.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 182-137 ATS (+31.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (1 - 1) at PENN ST (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (1 - 3) at IOWA ST (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (0 - 2) at ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 96-138 ATS (-55.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (1 - 1) at IOWA (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PURDUE (2 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (0 - 0) at COLORADO (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
COLORADO is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (0 - 0) at UTAH (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 119-158 ATS (-54.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (0 - 0) at USC (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (0 - 0) at OREGON (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
STANFORD is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (0 - 0) at OREGON ST (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at UNLV (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 97-136 ATS (-52.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (0 - 0) at CALIFORNIA (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 1) at TEXAS ST (1 - 7) - 11/7/2020, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (1 - 5) at MEMPHIS (3 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (0 - 6) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 88-126 ATS (-50.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-86 ATS (-41.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-86 ATS (-41.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-169 ATS (-58.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 90-126 ATS (-48.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-94 ATS (-40.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-92 ATS (-40.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (2 - 4) at TCU (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 1) at KANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 182-144 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 182-144 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 137-96 ATS (+31.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (4 - 2) at TEXAS (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (0 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (3 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (4 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 74-46 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTSA (4 - 4) at RICE (1 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
RICE is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
RICE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 2-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 5) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (0 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (3 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTEP is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (0 - 1) at HAWAII (1 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (2 - 5) at FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 3) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (4 - 1) at S CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (7 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (6 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 3) at ARKANSAS (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 1) at MARSHALL (5 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

NCAAF

Week 10

Trend Report

Saturday, November 7

Air Force @ Army
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army
Air Force is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Army
Army
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona State @ Southern California
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 7 games when playing Southern California
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Southern California
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games
Southern California is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

West Virginia @ Texas
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Texas
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games

North Carolina @ Duke
North Carolina
North Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
North Carolina is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Duke
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Duke's last 12 games at home

Michigan @ Indiana
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Liberty @ Virginia Tech
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Liberty is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Michigan State @ Iowa
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games at home
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Nebraska @ Northwestern
Nebraska
Nebraska is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Nebraska

Southern Methodist @ Temple
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Methodist is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Temple
Temple is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games at home

Tulsa @ Navy
Tulsa
Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Navy
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games

South Florida @ Memphis
South Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 8 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida

Tulane @ East Carolina
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Tulane
East Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tulane

Arkansas State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 8 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arkansas State

Louisiana-Monroe @ Georgia State
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games on the road
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Georgia State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Troy @ Georgia Southern
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 8 games
Georgia Southern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia Southern's last 8 games

Boston College @ Syracuse
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games on the road
Syracuse
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games

Massachusetts @ Marshall
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Massachusetts's last 23 games on the road
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Appalachian State @ Texas State
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 10 games

North Alabama @ Southern Miss
North Alabama
No trends to report
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Southern Miss's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games at home

Florida @ Georgia
Florida
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Georgia
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Georgia's last 14 games

South Florida @ Memphis
South Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 8 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida

Tulane @ East Carolina
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Tulane
East Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tulane

Arkansas State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 8 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arkansas State

Louisiana-Monroe @ Georgia State
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games on the road
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Georgia State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Troy @ Georgia Southern
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 8 games
Georgia Southern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia Southern's last 8 games

Boston College @ Syracuse
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games on the road
Syracuse
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games

Massachusetts @ Marshall
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Massachusetts's last 23 games on the road
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Appalachian State @ Texas State
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 10 games

North Alabama @ Southern Miss
North Alabama
No trends to report
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Southern Miss's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games at home

Florida @ Georgia
Florida
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Georgia
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Georgia's last 14 games

Pittsburgh @ Florida State
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games on the road
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Florida International @ Texas El Paso
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida International's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games at home
Texas El Paso is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home

Western Kentucky @ Florida Atlantic
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Western Kentucky's last 19 games on the road
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Texas A&M @ South Carolina
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 7 games on the road
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games

California-Los Angeles @ Colorado
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against California-Los Angele

Baylor @ Iowa State
Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Baylor is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Baylor

Louisiana Tech @ North Texas
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Texas's last 8 games at home

Tennessee @ Arkansas
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games on the road
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Stanford @ Oregon
Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 6 games
Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

Clemson @ Notre Dame
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Rutgers @ Ohio State
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Rutgers's last 9 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Ohio State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games at home

Louisville @ Virginia
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Louisville's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games when playing Virginia
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Virginia's last 12 games

South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of South Alabama's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Washington @ California
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 11 games when playing California
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California
California
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of California's last 11 games when playing Washington
California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Washington State @ Oregon State
Washington State
Washington State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing Oregon State
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing Washington State
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

New Mexico @ Hawaii
New Mexico
New Mexico is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games at home
Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

College Football Odds Week 10: Opening lines and sharp money
Patrick Everson

With quarterback Trevor Lawrence out of the lineup and in COVID protocol, running back Travis Etienne will be key for No. 1 Clemson this week at No. 4 Notre Dame. FanDuel has the Tigers 5.5-point favorites.

College football odds for Week 10 are on the betting board and getting action, with a couple of gems on this week's schedule. No. 1 Clemson, minus star quarterback Trevor Lawrence, travels to No. 4 Notre Dame, while No. 8 Florida and No. 5 Georgia square off in their annual neutral-site showdown.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 10 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College football Week 10 odds

These are the current College football Week 10 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 2.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
(9) BYU at (23) Boise State 9:45 p.m. ET Friday BYU -2.5 59.5
Air Force at (22) Army 11:30 a.m. ET Saturday Army -4.5 40.5
Houston at (6) Cincinnati 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Cincinnati -13.5 56.5
(25) Michigan at (13) Indiana Noon ET Saturday Michigan -2.5 51.5
Rutgers at (3) Ohio State 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Ohio State -38 TBA
Arizona State at (20) USC Noon ET Saturday USC -11.5 58.5
Stanford at (14) Oregon 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Oregon -10.5 52.5
(12) Oklahoma State at Kansas State 4 p.m. ET Saturday Kansas State +12.5 46.5
(8) Florida vs (5) Georgia 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Georgia -4.5 53.5
(1) Clemson at (4) Notre Dame 7 p.m. ET Saturday Clemson -5.5 51.5

(9) BYU at (23) Boise State odds
Opening line
Pick, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
This game opened pick 'em at FanDuel and moved to Brigham Young -2.5 Monday afternoon, with practically every early ticket and all the early dollars on the Cougars. The total dipped two points to 57.5, then returned to the opener of 59.5, with ticket count 9/1 on the Over and 72 percent of early cash on the Over, as well.

Air Force at (22) Army odds
Opening line
Army -6.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
The Black Knights were already down two points at FanDuel, sitting as 4.5-point favorites Monday night on some interesting point-spread betting splits: ticket count is more than 2/1 Army, but money is almost dead even. The total is also down a point to 40.5, with 77 percent of bets and nearly all the money on the Under.

Houston at (6) Cincinnati Odds
Opening line
Cincinnati -10.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
Cincinnati opened -10.5 at FanDuel and sped to -13.5 by Monday afternoon, but the betting splits are a bit wild. The Bearcats are attracting 95 percent of early tickets, but money is two-way, with 52 percent of early dollars on double-digit-dog Houston. The total is down to 56.5 from 58.5, with a 4/1 ticket count on the Under and almost all the early money on the Under.

(25) Michigan at (13) Indiana odds
Opening line
Michigan -3.5, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
Michigan, coming off a stunning home loss to Michigan State, opened -3.5 at FanDuel and moved to -2.5. As of Monday night, 53 percent of bets and 68 percent of money were on the Wolverines. The total tumbled from 55.5 to 51.5, with 62 percent of tickets on the Over, but 74 percent of cash on the Under.

Rutgers at (3) Ohio State Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -38, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Ohio State opened a massive favorite at The SuperBook at Westgate, and there was no line movement on Monday. The Buckeyes are coming off a 38-25 victory at Penn State, while Rutgers fell to visiting Indiana 37-21.

Arizona State at (20) USC odds
Opening line
Southern California -9.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
And hello to the Pac-12, which finally joins the college football scene on the first weekend of November. By Monday night, USC was already up to -11.5 at FanDuel in a game drawing two-way action, with 54 percent of bets on Arizona State and 55 percent of money on Southern Cal. The total ticked from 59.5 to 58.5, though 69 percent of bets and 60 percent of dollars were on the Over as of Monday night.

Stanford at (14) Oregon odds
Opening line
Oregon -9.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Staying in the Pac-12, FanDuel sped to Ducks -12 Sunday afternoon, but a volatile line was down to -10.5 by late Monday morning. Still, ticket count and money were both running 4/1 on Oregon. The total dipped from 53.5 to 52.5 Monday, with tickets split 50/50 but almost all the early money on the Under.

(12) Oklahoma State at Kansas State odds
Opening line
Oklahoma State -9.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
The Cowboys bolted to -13.5 at FanDuel by early Monday afternoon, then receded a bit to -12.5. It's two-way action early, with 59 percent of tickets on Kansas State and 53 percent of money on Oklahoma State. The total first went up to 51.5, then plummeted to 46.5, with tickets more than 2/1 on the Over, but money 2/1 on the Under.

(8) Florida at (5) Georgia odds
Opening line
Georgia -4.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
It's a neutral-site game in Jacksonville, Fla., for the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, the unofficial name of this rivalry. FanDuel opened the Bulldogs -4.5, and that number stuck through Monday night, while the total moved from 52.5 to 53.5, but betting splits were not yet available.

(1) Clemson at (4) Notre Dame odds
Opening line
Clemson -6.5, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel posted a look-ahead line for this game back on Oct. 24, with Clemson a 14.5-point road chalk. However, last week's news that Tigers stud QB Trevor Lawrence tested positive for COVID-19 led to that line coming off the board. On the subsequent news that Lawrence won't play this week, the line went up at Clemson -6.5 Sunday and fell to -5.5 Monday. The Tigers were landing 60 percent of bets/64 percent of money on the spread through Monday night. The total opened 51.5 and went to 52.5 before returning to the opener Monday, with 76 percent of bets on the Over, but 53 percent of early money on the Under.

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Home favorites/underdogs in college football conferences:

AAC— 5-9-1 home favorites, 4-4 home underdogs

ACC— 11-10-1 HF, 10-5 HU

Big 14— 3-3 HF, 3-3 HU

Big X— 9-5-1 HF, 4-7 HU

C-USA— 2-12 HF, 3-3 HU

Mountain West— 4-1 HF, 3-3 HU

SEC— 9-8 HF, 10-8 HU

Sun Belt— 7-4 HF, 5-2 HU

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Free Winners for Saturday, November 7th 2020 from THE LEGEND!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Arizona @ Utah
TIME: 4:00 PM EST
PICK: OVER 55.5

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

GAMEDAY NETWORK
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER
SATURDAY 11/7/20
Maryland @ Penn St
Time: 3:30 PM EST
Free Pick: UNDER 61.5

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

VEGAS SPORTS INSIDERS
SATURDAY 11/7/2020
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Texas Tech @ TCU
TIME: 3:30 PM EST
PICK: OVER 61.5

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Sports Action 365
FREE CFB WINNER for SATURDAY 11/7/20:
PLAY Stanford @ Oregon UNDER 54, GAME TIME 7:30 PM EST

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	CFB – Tulane -5
2.	Gameday Network	CFB – Virginia Tech -14.5
3.	VegasSI.com	CFB – Georgia Southern +3
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CFB – Florida St -2.5
5.	Sports Action 365	CFB – Tulsa under 56.5
6.	Point Spread Report	CFB – Michigan -3
7.	Lou Panelli	CFB – Baylor +14
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	CFB – Purdue +7
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	CFB – Oregon -10.5
10.	William E. Stockton	CFB – Georgia over 53.5
11.	Vincent Pioli	CFB – Clemson -5.5
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CFB – Florida Atlantic over 40.5
13.	SCORE	CFB – Midd Tenn St +4.5
14.	East Coast Line Movers	CFB – Nebraska +3.5
15.	Tony Campone	CFB – Fresno St under 58
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CFB – Vanderbilt +19.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CFB – Texas A&M -10
18.	VIP Action	CFB – Tennessee -2
19.	South Beach Sports	CFB – Hawaii under 62.5
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CFB – Texas -6.5
21.	NY Players Club	CFB – Memphis -18
22.	Fred Callahan	CFB – Oregon -10.5
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	CFB – Purdue +7
24.	Michigan Sports	CFB – Iowa -6.5
25.	National Consensus Report	CFB – Tulsa -10.5

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Saturday, November 7th, 2020 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Rutgers @ Ohio St
TIME: 7:30 PM EST
PICKS: OVER 63

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Totals4U

Thursday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh/Florida State over 50 (will be played on Saturday)

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

#1 Sports

Thursday's Bonus Play: Pittsburgh Panthers + 2 (will be played on Saturday)

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Hawkeye Sports

Thursday's Free Pick: Boston College Golden Eagles - 14

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Thursday: Texas State Bobcats + 17 1/2 (Saturday)

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

November 7, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the Meadowlands has a 13-race card set to roll. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Fire Start Hanover (8/5)-The only loss in the last 7 starts was on a sloppy track in the Breeders Crown Elim when she finished a comfortable 2nd. BC champ looks like a standout and should make it 8 wins in 11 starts this year.

Race 7

1-Saying Grace N (7/2)-Lost all chance after breaking at the start in last and before that was trying hard. Fits well with this bunch and should be a threat if minds manners. Does good work near the top of the stack and should be there tonight.
3-Whittaker N (10-1)-Steps up after a sharp gate to wire win and now gets the services of Todd McCarthy. Seven-year-old is versatile and has won 12 of 42 at the Big M.
4-Ocean Colony (2-1)-Was off for almost 6 weeks and raced well from post 9. Broke slowly but rolled home in .54 to cash a 3rd place check. Looks like a serious threat and has finished in the money in 25 of 50 starts at the Big M with 8 wins.

Race 8

1-Lindysmusclemania (3-1)-Comes off a nice win and likes to race on the engine or close to the lead and that can happen with this post draw. The Svanstedt barn has been going well in the last 30 days and best to respect this colt.
4-Jack Fire (7/2)-Comes off a dull effort as the favorite and now Andrew McCarthy takes the lines. Willing to overlook last start as this freshman has hit the board in 10 of 11 and will look for a better effort here.
5-Dee's Red Delicious (9/2)-Took the long way around in last start and couldn't make up any ground into a slow pace. Callahan can roll off cover as this race should set up nicely and could offer a square price.
7-Royson's Punch (10-1)-Zeron returns and he knows best. With the right trip this is a live price play. Could blast out and take control. Hasn't won at the Big M yet but has hit the board in 4 of 5 starts.

Race 9

2-Angers Bayama (3-1)-Was used aggressively against better to just miss as an odds on choice and now drops. McCarthy gets the call and should be a major threat at a very short price.
8-Another Daily Copy (10-1)-Gets some needed class relief plus Zeron returns and he has taken pictures in the past. Has the gate speed to get the top or a cozy seat. Looks like a live price shot who could surprise with a good steer.
10-Geez Joe (6-1)-Joe has won 8 of 23 in East Rutherford and has been facing tougher. Post 10 makes for a better price and might follow #2 who has some gate speed. Should like the company and best to not overlook.

0.50 Early Pick 4

2/1,3,4/1,4,5,7/2,8,10
Total Bet=$18

ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Jeff Siegel's Keeneland Analysis/Wagering Strategies

November 7, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Keeneland Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saturday, November 7, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

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RACE 1: Post: 10:15 ET Grade: X
Single: 1-Nashville

Forecast: Nashville was pre-entered in the BC Sprint-G1 but his connections opted for this easier non-graded stakes restricted to 3-year-olds. Listed at 4/5 on the morning line and likely to go even lower than that, the son of Speightstown obliterated his foes in his first two career starts while earning speed figures that would have made him a serious contender against the best sprinters in North America later this afternoon if he had been given the chance. Simply put, he’s a no-value rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
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RACE 2: Post: 10:45 ET Grade: B+
Use: 3-Absolutely Aidan; 6-Strike That

Forecast: Absolutely Aidan would have been a whole lot closer than fifth, beaten less than five lengths, in the recent Phoenix S.-G2 had he been able to secure room from the furlong pole to the wire but the son of Stay Thirsty still ran well enough to indicate he can win this softer listed stakes, especially given an extra furlong to work with. Victorious in seven of 14 career starts and with enough tactical speed to be within range in a race that projects to have a soft early pace, the W. Hawley-trained colt is listed at 10-1 on the morning line and will offer considerable value at or near that price both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play. Strike That also is worth including on your ticket. Fresh from a career-top winning performance in a strong allowance race over this track and distance last month, the lightly-raced gelding has never been off the board while finishing first or second in eight of nine career starts. Additionally, he’s a versatile sort that can be tough on the front end or from off the pace.
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RACE 3: Post: 11:20 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Artie’s Princess; 4-Wicked Whisper; 7-Merneith

Forecast: Here’s an extremely competitive listed stakes restricted to 3-year-old fillies at six furlongs and contains a number of legitimate contenders. We’ll settle on just three in our rolling exotics but you should probably spread as deep as your budget allows. Merneith is fresh from a confidence-building win at Santa Anita, and after being tried over several types of conditions – routes, turf, etc. – the daughter of American Pharoah has established her niche as a one-turn, main track specialist. She arrives fit and ready for another top performance, but to be truthful she’s never really been one to trust, having failed on all three occasions that she was sent to the post as the favorite. Wicked Whisper, a Grade-1 winner as a 2-year-old, looked good winning the Miss Preakness S.-G3 at Pimlico last month, rallying from off the pace to win going away while earning a number that makes her tough right back. She’s reunited with R. Santana, who was aboard when the daughter of Liam’s Map broke her maiden at Saratoga last year in her debut by more than six lengths. Artie’s Princess has dangerous early speed and should be on or near the lead throughout. She won the highly-rated Ruling Angel S. at Woodbine in mid-September, picks up F. Prat, and will have a good look if she can reproduce her all-weather form in what will be her first career start over conventional dirt.
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RACE 4: Post: 12:02 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Gamine; 7-Serengeti Empress

Forecast: Gamine has won all three of her one-turn races by a combined 32 lengths, which is why trainer B. Baffert opted for this seven furlong affair over the mile and one-eighth BC Distaff S.-G1. With two triple-digit Beyer performances on her resume including a “Rachelesque” 110 fig earned in an 18 � length destruction of a representative but outclassed field in the Acorn S.-G1, the B. Baffert-trained filly certainly is the one to beat based on pure numbers. The only concern is that she will be facing tougher, older, seasoned high-class competition for the first time, including Serengeti Empress, who based on our fractional study has been consistently quicker during the early stages of her races and seems certain to be sent hard from the gate to secure her preferred trip. That said, the T. Amoss-trained ‘Empress will be making her 19th race career start, but only once has she been able to crack the Beyer triple digit barrier, a 101 that was achieved two-turning over a sloppy track when capturing the Azeri S.-G2 earlier this year.

Bottom line is that we’ll prefer Gamine on top, but if Serengeti Empress isn’t respected, gets away with a clear lead and is able to set reasonable splits, it’s entirely possible that she’ll never look back. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying Gamine on top.
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RACE 5: Post: 12:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 7-Glass Slippers; 7-Leinster; 8-Oleksandra; 12-Got Stormy

Forecast: This 14-runner affair is a grass grab bag with several contenders and a number price possibilities. We’ll go four-deep looking for wagering value. European invader Glass Slippers is a high-quality filly who won the prestigious Prix de l’Abbaye-G1 on Arc Day at Longchamp last year and then finished an excellent second in that same race last month. She always seems to peak this time of the year – all six of his career victories have been accomplished during the fall months – and with enough early speed to keep her free of trouble the English-bred filly certainly offers long shot value at 12-1 on the morning line. Oleksandra, freshened since beating the boys in the Jaipur S.-G1 at Belmont Park in late June, shows a prior stakes win over this course and distance and can fire a big shot off the bench. She’s a deep closer that will need pace up front and clear room to rally but when things break her way she’s capable of a devastating late kick. She’s another 12-1 morning line runner that must be included on your ticket. Got Stormy has been very comfortable in her new role as a turf sprinter, winning her last pair in graded stakes company with her typical powerful speed figures. The high-class mare should draft into a good second flight, stalking position outside and have every chance to kick home when the pressure is turned on. We’ll also toss in the Keeneland course specialist Leinster, winner of three of four over the local lawn including his last pair. Most effective when settling in mid-pack and then responding when called upon, the veteran son of Majestic Warrior is fast on figures and thoroughly genuine.
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RACE 6: Post: 1:18 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Art Collector; 5-Knicks Go; 10-Complexity

Forecast: This one mile main track event will have a relatively short run into the clubhouse and will conclude at the sixteenth pole, so tactical speed is paramount and a good inside post highly preferred. Art Collector lands the favorable rail and should have every chance to bounce back after an uncharacteristically disappointing run when a distant fourth in the Preakness S.-G1 in his most recent appearance. In that race the son of Bernardini was bottled up for the first six furlongs while wanting to pull and never seemed happy, eventually coming off the bridle when clear approaching the far turn and failing to mount a rally thereafter. The winner of the Blue Grass S.-G2 over the local main track last summer and with pace-pressing style to land a favorable early position, he’s likely to return to form at offers value at or near his morning line of 6-1.

Complexity is the 2-1 morning line favorite due to his Kelso H.-G2 romp at Belmont Park last month that was assigned a career top 110 Beyer speed figure. However, that huge fig was earned with the benefit of a lovely stalking trip that may have flattered him. While he deserves attention, the son of Maclean’s Music is thoroughly unproven around two turns and arguably is drawn a bit farther out in the 10-post position than we’d preferred.

Liam’s Map won this race over this track and distance five years ago in gate-to-wire fashion, and while Knicks Go is far less accomplished up to this point he certainly projects to the be controlling speed. His two 2020 outings have produced wins by a combined nearly 18 lengths – significantly his only two starts since being transferred to the B. Cox barn - and he just broke the Keeneland track record when thrashing a much softer allowance field four weeks ago.

All three listed above should be included in rolling exotic play. We’ll press with extra tickets keying Art Collector on top.
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RACE 7: Post: 1:57 ET Grade: B
Use: 6-Rushing Fall; 7-Terebellum; 11-Audarya; 14-Cayenne Pepper

Forecast: This year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf will be contested at a mile and three-sixteenths and thus may favor the American-based entrants over the European contingent, which is comprised primarily of runners that have been competing over longer distances. But make no mistake, there are several exceptional performers from overseas in the lineup, perhaps none more appealing than the rapidly progressing Cayenne Pepper, an Irish-bred 3-year-old filly who shouldn’t be inconvenienced by her extreme outside draw in a race with a relatively long run before the initial turn. The slight drop in trip after a thoroughly dominating mid-September win at The Curragh in the Blandford S.-G2 that produced a career-top 112 Timeform rating isn’t of any concern, either. First or second in seven of eight career starts, she possesses excellent tactical speed to be wherever jockey S. Foley wants her to be and a superior turn of foot when called upon in the final stages. She’s also proven to be especially effective on good ground that is similar to what she’ll be asked to handle at Keeneland.

Another import with credentials to do some damage is Audarya, a Group-1 winner two races back over soft turf at Deauville before finishing a close third behind BC Turf-G1 major contender Tarnawa in the Prix de l’Opera S.-G1 on Arc day last month, and Terebellum, below form when fifth in the Sun Chariot S.-G1 last time out but with excellent form vs. the best English milers last summer.

Rushing Fall is the best of the locals and the deserving favorite. Successful in 11 of 14 career starts including five wins from six starts over the Keeneland lawn, the C. Brown-trained mare is perfect in three outings this year, two of which were Grade-1’s, and based on her recent speed figures she’s every bit as good now as she’s ever been. Almost impossible to get by when gifted a front-running trip but quite comfortable in a stalking role should the race flow dictate, the daughter of More Than Ready has never been as far as today’s 9.5 furlong distance, so if added distance is her Achilles heel, that extra half-furlong may cause a bit of concern.

Starship Jubilee is a remarkable race mare with 19 victories in 38 career starts and just beat the boys in the Woodbine Mile-G1 over a mile, though this longer distance is well within her scope. She couldn’t handle Rushing Falls when they clashed at Saratoga in the Diana S.-G1 and this will be her first career start over the sand-based Keeneland turf course, but she’s simply too much race mare to completely leave out.
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RACE 8: Post: 2:36 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-C Z Rocket; 6-Frank’s Rockette; 8-Firenze Fire; 10-Yaupon; 11-Diamond Oops

Forecast: With the scratching of post time favorite Vekoma, this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1 takes on a much different look and probably requires a significant spread in rolling exotic play. Thanks to the defection of his S. Asmussen-trained stable mate Nashville (who runs instead in today’s first race), unbeaten Yaupon projects to be the controlling speed in a race in which the opening furlong shouldn’t be taxing at all. Given that type of trip, this lightly-raced colt could take this field a long way. He’ll need a career top effort to win, but with just four career starts who’s to know what this son of Uncle Mo truly is capable of?

If it’s not Yaupon – and it certainly doesn’t have to be – there are several others that have a huge look. California shipper C Z Rocket has improved dramatically since being claimed for $40,000 by trainer P. Miller, who certainly knows how to win Breeders’ Cup sprint races on any surface. Perfect in five starts since the barn change, the City Zip gelding should be forwardly placed inside and have his chance from the top of the lane to the wire. Firenze Fire is back in winning form, and with 12 victories on his resume the veteran sprinter always has to be respected. Diamond Oops won the recent Phoenix S.-G2 over this track and distance last month and has a couple of back speed figures that can win at this level. Frank’s Rockette is a filly tackling the boys and is a tad shy in the speed figure department to win, but she’s won her last four in convincing fashion and continues to sparkle in the a.m. At 10-1 on the morning line we’ll give her a look as well.
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RACE 9: Post: 3:15 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Kameko; 6-Safe Voyage; 11-Ivar

Forecast: Kameko was a classic winner at Newmarket in the 2000 Guineas-G1 last spring and returned to that form with an authoritative score in the Joel S.-G2 over that same course and distance in his most recent outing in late September. The son of Kitten’s Joy likes to stay within range early and then blast home, and with a ground-saving trip and room to rally when it matters the A. Baldwin-trained colt can produce a career top effort today over firm ground that we suspect he’ll relish. At 6-1 on the morning line, we’ll put him on top. Ivar won the local prep for this race last month when rallying very wide from off the pace to register his fifth win from just seven career starts. Bred on Southern Hemisphere time (he was foaled in October), he’s still a very young four-year-old with plenty of room for improvement and development, and his recent score in the Shadwell Turf Mile-G1 indicates he can act with the big boys. He’s also effective on the front end or from off the pace, so J. Talamo has his options depending upon the race flow. Safe Voyage is a tough-as-nails gelding with 12 career wins, most of which were earned in legitimate graded stakes company overseas. Third but beaten just a neck in the Prix de la Foret-G1 at Longchamp in his last outing, the Irish-bred 7-year-old had won three of his previous five starts and is another that should be comfortable on quick ground. At 10-1 on the morning line, he should at least outrun his odds and may do even better than that.
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RACE 10: Post: 3:54 ET Grade: B
Use: 5-Swiss Skydiver; 10-Monomoy Girl

Forecast: The connections of Preakness winner Swiss Skydiver were contemplating a start in this year’s BC Classic but they wisely opted for this less challenging but immensely intriguing showdown with Monomoy Girl. Simply put, it’s a two-horse race with the younger ‘Skydiver getting a slight edge on top under the assumption that she’ll be able to duplicate her terrific winning performance when facing the colts in the Preakness S.-G1 five weeks ago. There’s always a fear that a hard, taxing effort will cause some regression in the next start – even with several weeks rest to recover – and this K. McPeek-trained 3-year-old and fallen into a pattern of a win followed by a defeat in her last five appearances, so the possibility of a backward move certainly exists. However, the 105 Beyer speed figure earned by ‘Skydiver at Pimlico tops anything Monomoy Girl has accomplished and being two years younger she has a right to have a bit more upside than her chief rival.

Still, Monomoy Girl will not be easy to defeat. She’s actually crossed the wire first in her last 10 starts (she had her number taken down once) and her only true “defeat” in a 12 career outings came in the Golden Rod S.-G2 in a photo back in 2017 during her juvenile campaign. Additionally, she’s already won a Breeders’ Cup Distaff-G1, having done so two years ago when she defeated, among others, Midnight Bisou, but what has made her especially difficult to deny is her versatility. Whether it’s as the controlling speed or a deep closer, fast ground or a sloppy surface, main track or on grass, it hasn’t much mattered. Monomoy Girl always seems to find a way.

Swiss Skydiver will be the better price, so we’ll put her on top and perhaps press with extra tickets keying her in the win pool and rolling exotic play. But there is no way Monomoy Girl won’t be prominently on our ticket as well.
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Race 11: Post 4:33 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Magical; 3-Tarnawa

Forecast: At 6-1 on the morning line, Tarnawa represents our best gamble of the two-day Breeders’ Cup festival. The European-based daughter of Shamardal was a multiple group stakes winner during her 3-year-old season last year but in 2020 she’s taken a leap to near the top of her division in what so far has been a spotless campaign in three starts that includes recent back-to-back victories in the Prix Vermeille-G1 and Prix de l’Opera-G1. Equally effective on soft or firm and capable of producing a devastating turn of foot, the D. Weld-trained Irish-bred has Timeform ratings that make her a serious danger in what we’re expecting to be the best race of her career. Champion European jockey C. Keane takes over for regular rider C. Soumillon, who will miss the race due to Covid-19 complications.

However, as good as Tarnawa has become, she’s still looking up to Magical, the deserved 5/2 morning line favorite who finished a close second (while nine lengths clear of the rest) to the magnificent Enable in this same race two years ago at Churchill Downs. The Irish-bred mare has done little wrong since for trainer A. O’Brien, having won a total of six Group-1 races including the Irish Champions S.-G1 at Leopardstown two races back and then losing little when third in a bog three weeks ago in the Champions S.-G1 at Ascot. These two superior female performers look a cut above the American contingent - which we judge to be topped by last year’s BC Turf runner-up United - and will receive most of our attention on the tote.

As for our wagering strategies, Tarnawa is a play in the win pool and key along with Magical and to a lesser extent United in whatever vertical exotics s you wish to participate. With regards to multi-race play, Tarnawa and Magical belong on the main ticket while United can be used somewhere as a saver.
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RACE 12: Post: 5:18 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Tiz the Law; 4-Tom’s d’Etat; 8-Improbable; 9-Authentic

Forecast: Despite enjoying a gorgeous, in-the-clear stalking trip, Tiz the Law came up empty in the final furlong and had to settle for second behind Authentic in the Kentucky Derby-G1 as the 3/5 favorite. His inability to seal the deal was clearly a disappointment and a step back from his magnificent victory four weeks earlier in the Travers S.-G1, though his Beyer speed figure (103) was the second highest in his eight race career, so he hardly performed badly. Perhaps it’s a coincidence that the only two defeats in his eight race career came at Churchill Downs. In any event, we’re expecting his best race today. Freshened for two months, the son of Constitution has displayed his usual enthusiasm in recent workouts to indicate he’s spot on, and from his comfortable number two position he should draft into an ideal second flight, ground-saving trip and then have every chance to exert his superiority from the top of the lane to the wire. Yes, this will be his first test against older competition but his race in the Travers, to our way of thinking, was the best performance of the year and, if repeated should be good enough to win this year’s renewal of the Breeders’ Cup Classic-G1 and clinch Eclipse Awards both as the champion 3-year-old and Horse of the Year.

In case Tiz the Law doesn’t bring his best game, punters may want to protect in rolling exotic play using the other main contenders. Tom’s d’Etat looks quite attractive at 6-1 on the morning line after losing all chance when stumbling badly at the start and then rallying to be second in the Whitney S.-G1 in his most recent outing three months ago, a defeat that snapped a four race winning streak that had established the son of Smart Strike as the top older horse in training. The winner of the Lafayette S.-G2 in his only prior outing over the Keeneland main track, the A. Stall, Jr. trained 7-year-old has a history of firing a big shot fresh and, like Tiz the Law, should settle in just behind the leaders and have dead aim from the quarter pole home.

Authentic surely will be sent to the front and could prove troublesome if not policed. Five years ago American Pharoah led gate-to-wire to win the Classic over this track and distance and given the projected race flow it’s not difficult to imagine this year’s Kentucky Derby winner doing the same. His B. Baffert-trained stable mate Improbable, victorious in three successive Grade-1 races with rising Beyer speed figures in each, looks like the most dangerous of the closers, though we’re stuck with the notion that extremely favorable circumstances in each of those three victories may have flattered his form.

From a rolling exotic wagering standpoint, we’ll put Tiz the Law on top and include him in our main push along with Tom’s d’Etat and Authentic while relegating Improbable to a backup ticket.
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ConleyPicks · Nov 7, 2020

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Opening Pick 5 on Breeders' Cup Saturday

November 7, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Nashville will be a single on many, many opening Pick 5 tickets on Breeders’ Cup Saturday at Keeneland – including this one.

When you are enjoying your first cup of Joe, Nashville and six others will head to the gate in the Perryville Stakes. It’s a Breeders’ Cup undercard race, but Nashville could be close to joining some of the runners going in the late afternoon races. The first three races are non-Breeders’ Cup races, the fourth and fifth are the Fillies and Mare Sprint and the Turf Sprint.

Nashville began his career with a bang September 2 at Saratoga. He caught a sloppy track, was never remotely challenged and won his debut by 11 lengths. The 6.5 furlong-event was accomplished in 1:14 2-5 after the Steve Asmussen charge cut out fractions of :21 2-5, :43 4-5 and 1:07 4-5 for the first three quarters. He lived up to his 1-5 odds and so impressive in came back as the 1-2 favorite in a non-winners of two allowance over the Keeneland strip. Again, there were so serious challenge and won the six furlongs race by 9 3-4 lengths in 1:09.

The top offering of the first five races comes in the fourth, when Gamine, Seregenti Empress and Bell’s the One lead the fastest distaffers in the worlds in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. The opening sequence also has the Lafayette Stakes, Qatar Fort Springs Stakes and Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint.

Here’s the $67.50 suggested Pick 5 ticket to open the action:

Race 1 (10:15 a.m. ET, Perryville Stakes)

NASHVILLE looks like he’s going to stay perfect after three starts. If you’re queasy about putting it all on a single in the opening event of entire two-day festival, skip it and start with the Pick 4 beginning in the second.

Race 2 (10:45 a.m. ET, Lafayette Stakes)

ENGAGE came up empty in the Vosburgh but that was his first in 11 months. Was fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint year and this spot is considering softer than that one. Expect a wake-up call in his second back.

SLEEPY EYES TODD was fifth in the G1 Awesome Again against Improbable and Maximum Security and others. Has been mostly at two turns lately and should have plenty in the tank for this.

STRIKE THAT was up in time at Keeneland last out and is good form is undeniable. It’s a class question for his today.

EBBEN won three straight until fifth in Churchill’s Ack Ack. Recent starts set him up for a good seven furlongs.

MIND CONTROL has some good graded performances to his credit an comes off a closing third at Monmouth. Has passed some of his class tests.

Race 3 (11:20 a.m. ET, Qatar Fort Springs Stakes)

WICKED WHISPER won the G3 Miss Preakness and has taken half of her six lifetime starts. Tired in the Juvenile Fillies after winning the G1 Frizette. Getting back to good form. Classy.

MERNEITH ran six furlongs in 1:08 4-5 last out at Santa Anita and this American Pharoah filly cannot be overlooked. Improving for Bob Baffert.

MOTIVATED SELLER perfect in two starts. Has been impressive in each for Chad Brown and her most recent score was off a nine-month layoff.

Race 4 (12:02 p.m. ET, Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint-G1)

GAMINE’s talent is the farthest thing from a secret and her seven-length score in the G1 Test should’ve answered any question about her turning back to seven furlongs. We know how good she is.

SERENGETI EMPRESS lost by nose last out after battling six furlongs in 1:08. Came within an inch or two of lasting the seven furlongs, which she had done.

BELL’S THE ONE was up in time over SERENGETI EMPRESS with the big late run last out. Again, she’ll get the pace and she’s probably never been better. She’s the most obvious answer for lower-priced options.

Race 5 (12:39 p.m. ET, Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint-G1)

BOMBARB lost photos in two of three races this year and looks like he’s getting stronger. Will be a good price and Richard Mandella is an expert at getting his horses ready for the top events.

GOT STORMY is a familiar face and the gender of opponents just doesn’t matter. This tough girl has been a short-priced favorite on many occasions and she’ll bring her best.

EXTRAVAGANT KID doesn’t lose much talent as he gets older. He was second in his last Grade 2 races and will be a major factor from the start of this one.

Here’s the suggested ticket for 50-cent Early Pick 5 on Breeders’ Cup Saturday at Keeneland:
1) #1 Nashville.
2) #1 Engage, #6 Sleepy Eyes Todd, #8 Strike That, #9 Ebben, #10 Mind Control.
3) #4 Wicked Whisper, #7 Merneith, #10 Motivated Seller.
4) #2 Gamine, #7 Serengeti Empress, #9 Bell’s the One.
5) #10 Bombard, #12 Got Stormy, #14 Extravagant Kid.
50-cent Early Pick 5: 1 with 1-6-8-9-10 with 4-7-10 with 2-7-9 with 10-12-14 ($67.50)