My Top Pick & Big Bet [Pats should run over the Texans here and get back to .500 with a win ]. I have also increased my bets this week in my option with analysis that these games picked have a super good value over other games Sunday.
Houston Texans (2-7) vs New England Patriots (4-5)
The Patriots should have their way in this game as the Texans aren’t that good of a team. The Texans cannot run the ball and their defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Patriots can dominate this game and New England be favored just a couple of points, even with them on the road, is baffling to me. The Patriots score 21.0 points per game, but the offense has taken a step in the right direction throughout its last two games. The Patriots defense allows only 23.4 points per game to its opposition, as the defense has been a big part of the team's recent success as well. The Patriots now have a chance to reach .500 with a win over a weak Texans team, a win that would put the Patriots in serious playoff conversations. The New England Patriots are coming off their best win of the season with an upset over the Ravens, and the defense is showing massive improvement over the last few weeks.
The Houston Texans are coming off a contest where they scored just seven points and they're nearly the worst rushing team offensively while also being the worst defense at stopping the run. I think the Pats found something last year, that they can win with an improved defense and by running the ball. Fortunately for New England, they are facing a Texans team that can't stop the run. They gave up almost 300 yards on the ground to the Browns, so Belichick will no doubt look to exploit that weakness. The Pats should run over the Texans here and get back to .500 with a win.
The Texans have a lot of issues, but not being able to run the ball and not being able to stop the run is why they're in the position they're in. You can make a strong argument that the Patriots should be much bigger favorites in this game. The Patriots feast ATS against teams that are under .500 and the Texans are not good at home. Bill O’Brien really weakened this roster as the GM of the Texans before being fired and the Patriots have run over teams like this for the last 15 years.
Bet the -1 1/2 points [buying hook] and put your money on New England. $8400 [ bet includes the juice and hook]
Miami Dolphins (6-3) at Denver Broncos (3-6)
I like this red-hot Miami team to go on the road and take care of business against a turnover-prone Denver team. The Broncos just don’t have the offense to keep themselves in this game. Look for the Dolphins to run up the score and that will lead to them winning this game and covering the spread. The Dolphins have covered in their last five games and are on an absolute roll right now. They are not only playing well offensively, but their defense and special teams units are also playing fantastic football. Denver has scuffled over the last few weeks and could be without Lock in this game. Miami will win this game in a blowout. Denver has struggled offensively, averaging 20.7 points per game.
With Lock still recovering from bruised ribs, Brett Rypien will likely get the start on Sunday, which will be a tall order for the undrafted rookie because the Dolphins have an opportunistic defense that is giving up 20.2 points per game and has forced six turnovers in their last three games. Denver’s defense isn’t very good, with the team giving up 28.2 points per game. Even though he hasn’t put up big numbers since he took over as the team’s starter, Tagovailoa has been very efficient with the ball and hasn’t thrown an interception in three starts. Expect him to pick Denver’s secondary apart as he leads the Dolphins to a comfortable win. Miami has covered the spread in its last five trips to Denver, so the altitude has not been an issue. The Dolphins have more to play for in this one.
Dolphins -3 - 120 [ Buying Hook ] $3600 Bet ] bet includes the juice and hook]
Dallas Cowboys (2-7) at Minnesota Vikings (4-5)
Cowboys have not been able to turn their season around, the Vikings have been playing pretty good football since getting off to a horrible start. They began the season 1-5 and looked like they would just fade into oblivion and maybe tank for a replacement for Kirk Cousins. But Dalvin Cook, arguably the best running back in football, returned from injury and the Vikings have won 3 straight. They are coming off a big win at Chicago Monday night, beating the Bears 19-13 to crawl out of the basement in the NFC North. Dallas covered against one of the best teams in the NFL last time out, even though that spread was a ridiculous 15 points. But, the Cowboys started Garrett Gilbert at quarterback. Now, the plan is to go back with Andy Dalton, and he was turnover prone in his first couple starts. Dallas will have its hands full with a Vikings offense that is coming into its own. Look for the Vikings to roll in this one. These are two teams heading in very different directions as the Cowboys look lost on both sides of the ball while the Vikings have fought themselves back into playoff contention.
Dallas comes into this game ranked 31st in rushing defense which should lead to a huge game by Cook and as the Minnesota defense is holding their opponents to less than 20 ppg during their 3-game winning streak, I think Minnesota does enough at home to win this one by double-digits and covers this spread. On the season, Minnesota is averaging 26.2 ppg on 392.1 total yards per game (238.6 passing yds/g; 153.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Minnesota is led by Dalvin Cook who has 954 rushing yards & 12 TD on 174 carries. Cook has also hauled in 20 receptions for 189 yards & 1 TD. QB
Kirk Cousins has completed 66.1% of his passes for 2,147 yards (244.6 yds/g), 17 TD, & 11 INT. The top receiving threats for the Vikings have been Justin Jefferson (42 rec, 762 yards, 3 TD), Adam Thielen (41 rec, 523 yards, 9 TD), and Kyle Rudolph (18 rec, 238 yards, TD). Defensively, Minnesota is allowing their opponents to average 27.4 ppg on 394.2 total yards per game (278.6 passing yds/g; 115.7 rushing yds/g). The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
My Bet - 6 1/2 -120 Vikings[ buying hook] ] $3600 Bet
Teaser Bets
7 Point 2 Team Teaser >> Vikings Even & New England +5 $2600
7 Point 2 team >> Dolphins +4 & New England +5 $2600
7 Point 3 Team Teaser>>> Vikings Even & New England +5 & Dolphins +4 $1000
*** Handicapping information taken *some articles written* from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Contributors DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders > Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
Houston Texans (2-7) vs New England Patriots (4-5)
The Patriots should have their way in this game as the Texans aren’t that good of a team. The Texans cannot run the ball and their defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Patriots can dominate this game and New England be favored just a couple of points, even with them on the road, is baffling to me. The Patriots score 21.0 points per game, but the offense has taken a step in the right direction throughout its last two games. The Patriots defense allows only 23.4 points per game to its opposition, as the defense has been a big part of the team's recent success as well. The Patriots now have a chance to reach .500 with a win over a weak Texans team, a win that would put the Patriots in serious playoff conversations. The New England Patriots are coming off their best win of the season with an upset over the Ravens, and the defense is showing massive improvement over the last few weeks.
The Houston Texans are coming off a contest where they scored just seven points and they're nearly the worst rushing team offensively while also being the worst defense at stopping the run. I think the Pats found something last year, that they can win with an improved defense and by running the ball. Fortunately for New England, they are facing a Texans team that can't stop the run. They gave up almost 300 yards on the ground to the Browns, so Belichick will no doubt look to exploit that weakness. The Pats should run over the Texans here and get back to .500 with a win.
The Texans have a lot of issues, but not being able to run the ball and not being able to stop the run is why they're in the position they're in. You can make a strong argument that the Patriots should be much bigger favorites in this game. The Patriots feast ATS against teams that are under .500 and the Texans are not good at home. Bill O’Brien really weakened this roster as the GM of the Texans before being fired and the Patriots have run over teams like this for the last 15 years.
Bet the -1 1/2 points [buying hook] and put your money on New England. $8400 [ bet includes the juice and hook]
Miami Dolphins (6-3) at Denver Broncos (3-6)
I like this red-hot Miami team to go on the road and take care of business against a turnover-prone Denver team. The Broncos just don’t have the offense to keep themselves in this game. Look for the Dolphins to run up the score and that will lead to them winning this game and covering the spread. The Dolphins have covered in their last five games and are on an absolute roll right now. They are not only playing well offensively, but their defense and special teams units are also playing fantastic football. Denver has scuffled over the last few weeks and could be without Lock in this game. Miami will win this game in a blowout. Denver has struggled offensively, averaging 20.7 points per game.
With Lock still recovering from bruised ribs, Brett Rypien will likely get the start on Sunday, which will be a tall order for the undrafted rookie because the Dolphins have an opportunistic defense that is giving up 20.2 points per game and has forced six turnovers in their last three games. Denver’s defense isn’t very good, with the team giving up 28.2 points per game. Even though he hasn’t put up big numbers since he took over as the team’s starter, Tagovailoa has been very efficient with the ball and hasn’t thrown an interception in three starts. Expect him to pick Denver’s secondary apart as he leads the Dolphins to a comfortable win. Miami has covered the spread in its last five trips to Denver, so the altitude has not been an issue. The Dolphins have more to play for in this one.
Dolphins -3 - 120 [ Buying Hook ] $3600 Bet ] bet includes the juice and hook]
Dallas Cowboys (2-7) at Minnesota Vikings (4-5)
Cowboys have not been able to turn their season around, the Vikings have been playing pretty good football since getting off to a horrible start. They began the season 1-5 and looked like they would just fade into oblivion and maybe tank for a replacement for Kirk Cousins. But Dalvin Cook, arguably the best running back in football, returned from injury and the Vikings have won 3 straight. They are coming off a big win at Chicago Monday night, beating the Bears 19-13 to crawl out of the basement in the NFC North. Dallas covered against one of the best teams in the NFL last time out, even though that spread was a ridiculous 15 points. But, the Cowboys started Garrett Gilbert at quarterback. Now, the plan is to go back with Andy Dalton, and he was turnover prone in his first couple starts. Dallas will have its hands full with a Vikings offense that is coming into its own. Look for the Vikings to roll in this one. These are two teams heading in very different directions as the Cowboys look lost on both sides of the ball while the Vikings have fought themselves back into playoff contention.
Dallas comes into this game ranked 31st in rushing defense which should lead to a huge game by Cook and as the Minnesota defense is holding their opponents to less than 20 ppg during their 3-game winning streak, I think Minnesota does enough at home to win this one by double-digits and covers this spread. On the season, Minnesota is averaging 26.2 ppg on 392.1 total yards per game (238.6 passing yds/g; 153.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Minnesota is led by Dalvin Cook who has 954 rushing yards & 12 TD on 174 carries. Cook has also hauled in 20 receptions for 189 yards & 1 TD. QB
Kirk Cousins has completed 66.1% of his passes for 2,147 yards (244.6 yds/g), 17 TD, & 11 INT. The top receiving threats for the Vikings have been Justin Jefferson (42 rec, 762 yards, 3 TD), Adam Thielen (41 rec, 523 yards, 9 TD), and Kyle Rudolph (18 rec, 238 yards, TD). Defensively, Minnesota is allowing their opponents to average 27.4 ppg on 394.2 total yards per game (278.6 passing yds/g; 115.7 rushing yds/g). The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
My Bet - 6 1/2 -120 Vikings[ buying hook] ] $3600 Bet
Teaser Bets
7 Point 2 Team Teaser >> Vikings Even & New England +5 $2600
7 Point 2 team >> Dolphins +4 & New England +5 $2600
7 Point 3 Team Teaser>>> Vikings Even & New England +5 & Dolphins +4 $1000
*** Handicapping information taken *some articles written* from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Contributors DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders > Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
