MistaFlava's NFL Week 12 ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (Writeups & Analysis)

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Handicapping Machine
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MistaFlava's 2020 NFL Football Record: 62-42-1 (+147.50 Units)

MistaFlava's 2020 NFL ATS (Regular) Record: 51-34-1 ATS (+98.50 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL O/U Record: 7-6 (+4.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL *Big Plays*: 4-2 ATS (+45.00 Units)

Things were not working well for me so I had to go back to pure capping and designing unique systems and working hours through the night to getting back to what got me successful in the first place. True capping.


NFL System

The first so-so week for the system (last week) did not sit well with me at all. I did not like how the week ended nor did I like how things went overall so I went back to the drawing board a little bit and tried to make some minor adjustments. I know you guys know I keep an honest record no matter what but I will continue to be transparent with all my readers/followers in what I'm doing and posting. After spending a few sleepless nights crunching numbers and re-running numbers not only for last week but for the duration of the system, I wasn't able to make adjustments that changed the grand scaled of things but I did notice I made a minor error in the Monday Night Football Game and crunched some wrong numbers. The actual lines for that game should have been Suggested Line 1: Tampa Bay -2.37, Tampa Bay -3.54, Tampa Bay -2.73 and Tampa Bay -1.18. With the line being Tampa Bay -4 or -4.5 the play should have been LA Rams and I lost $1100 on that wager because of this error. I counted it up as a loss in my total but I'm just stating what's up. This is under Version B which went 6-4 with the correction.

1) Version A of the system is no more and we are moving to Version B only.

2) Version B is the more accurate version and after tabulating the numbers for the last 6 weeks has gone 39-12 ATS over the last 6 weeks.

3) I've created a Version C where I was able to run numbers and that system is 45-16 ATS the last 6 weeks and includes several of the same plays as Version B but also has some contrarian plays to that system so I'm putting that one on the sidelines for now and keeping it as a side project. Not as accurate but more profitable.


*Disclaimer: I am posting every single play the last 6 weeks (since my system went live) under Version B which most were posted on here. Again I'd like to think my reputation is good enough for my readers/followers to know I'm posting facts here and trying to help people win money.


VERSION B



Week 6

Minnesota -3.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Washington +2
Denver +7.5
Tennessee -4
Detroit -3
Chicago +1.5

Cleveland +3
LA Rams -2.5

Arizona +1.5

7-3 ATS


Week 7


NY Giants +5
Carolina +7
Green Bay -3
Pittsburgh +1
Detroit +1
Washington -1
San Francisco +3
LA Rams -6.5

8-0 ATS


Week 8

NY Jets +20
Las Vegas +1
Pittsburgh +4
New England +4
Denver +3
Chicago +5.5
Philadelphia -10


6-1 ATS


Week 9


Green Bay -6
Jacksonville +7
Baltimore +1
Atlanta -4.5
NY Giants +3

Detroit +3
Tennessee -6
Arizona -6
NY Jets +9.5

7-2 ATS


Week 10


Washington +2.5
Jacksonville +13.5
Houston +4.5
Buffalo +3
Miami -1.5
Pittsburgh -6.5

Chicago +3.5

5-2 ATS


Week 11


Arizona +3
Cincinnati +1.5

New Orleans -3.5
Pittsburgh -10.5
Carolina +3

New England -2.5
NY Jets +10
Green Bay +2
Las Vegas +8
LA Rams +4.5


6-4 ATS


39-12 ATS overall the last 6 weeks and if you bet $1100 on every game you would be up $24,800 on these plays alone.


I tried my hand at College Football again last week with a revamped and tested system and it went 8-2 ATS using the exact same formula. With an adjustment on the Penn State play (because both teams were favored at some point should be a NO PLAY under the matrix I use) it would have gone 9-1 ATS. I am also working on College Basketball but will keep those plays private for now as I am still in trial mode. Had some people message today and I sent them my "Trial" plays and they finished 4-2-2 ATS on the opening day of college hoops.


***REMINDER: All plays will be posted 5-10 minutes prior to kickoff. This is due to the line I use being part of the system.

*If you have any questions shoot me a DM. I see them a lot better than I see posts on my thread.


HOPE EVERYONE AT THE RX IS STAYING SAFE AND HEALTHY AND HAPPY THANKSGIVING TO ALL!



:toast:
 

Member
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Mr. Flava.........solid capping each week buddy, thank you........

you and your family have a great Thanksgiving .....BOL tomorrow........indy
 

New member
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Mista Flava thanks for everything you do. I would also like to try out ur college basketball plays.
 

Member
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Appreciate all your insights in college and nfl. Question: wasn’t your play on MNF Tampa? You have down LA Rams.
 

Member
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He’s missing Miami and Dallas too off the top of my head that I remember
 

Dain Bramaged
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just droppin by to say Happy Thanksgivin Flav

:toast:
 

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Happy Thanksgiving! We are all thankful for all your hard work on the forum!
 

Handicapping Machine
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adding...


Thursday, November 26



Houston at Detroit


Suggested Line 1: Houston -1.65
Suggested Line 2: Houston -1.53
Suggested Line 3: Houston -0.70
Suggested Line 4: Houston -2.76

Actual Game Line: Houston -3



Detroit Lions +3 (10 Units)

As you can see the line for this game did not originally fall under the system guidelines as Suggested Line 4 had Houston covering the 2.5 but with the move to 3 at all books I am tracking we are in business. The Lions have looked absolutely awful lately and the injury bug has taken over this team. When they went to Carolina last week the system was all over the Panthers in a game where most though the Lions would win easy with Teddy Bridgewater, CMAC out and the Panthers having a pretty bad defense. Well the opposite happened. The Lions managed only 185 total yards of offense and were completely shutout in the game. The Texans on the other hand beat the Patriots in impressive 27-20 fashion but you have to keep in mind they are only 1-4 on the road this season and have looked bad more than they have looked good at times. Houston comes into this game only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games and they are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four games as a Road Favorite. They are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games and have covered only 3 of their last 11 overall. Detroit on the other hand is 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after a game where their quarterback threw for less than 150 yards so they are in a good bounce back spot here. This is a bit of an unusual Thanksgiving Day matchup for the Lions but the system says they should keep it close or win.

Trend of the Game: Detroit is 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after their QB throws for 150 yards or less in the previous game.


Detroit 26, Houston 23




:toast:
 

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