Sunday Service Play Thread 12/27/2020

BuzzKill · Dec 19, 2020

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BotPhat · Dec 22, 2020

Essler 3* GOY

Cincinnati +7 (New Years Day)

I know this is early. this is the last day so i will post it here or i will forget! sorry

ryangenero · Dec 23, 2020

Football Jesus Podcast FREE pick SEAHAWKS , Free picks football Since sept 1 62-24

Yankees5560 · Dec 24, 2020

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM
455 CLE -9.5(-110) Bookmaker vs 456 NYJ double-dime bet

Analysis: Teams playing the following week off of a win as a ten point underdog are 33-64-3 ATS. The logic is simple: After a upset win of that magnitude, teams typically come back to earth and have a let down spot. There may be no bigger let down spot this season after the Jets finally can now breath a sigh of relief that they will not be going 0-16 this season.

Let's remember that this Jets team is still a historically bad team. Their only pro bowl caliber defensive player, Quinnen Williams, is now out for the season. Baker Mayfield is playing his best ball of the season, and he thrives against defenses that can not pressure him. The Jets were bottom five in most major pass rushing metrics, and that was with Williams.

When we bet against a team as bad as the Jets, typically we are getting negative power rating value, as the market is essentially begging for Jets money. I make this game Browns -10.5, giving us value going through a semi key number, and I love the matchup and situation for Cleveland!

Yankees5560 · Dec 24, 2020

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM
465 IND / 466 PIT UNDER 45.0 Westgate double-dime bet

Yankees5560 · Dec 24, 2020

Warren sharp

455 Cleveland Browns Over 46.5 -117 (0.75 units)

onetrikpony · Dec 25, 2020

Doc's CFB
D* Buff-4.5

optionboy · Dec 25, 2020

Of course. Merry Christmas, you are much appreciated.

BuzzKill · Dec 26, 2020

Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...1#post13368878

GalenThomas · Dec 26, 2020

Leave one: Pregame King Creole Sports C) OVER 44 Indy at Steelers . Request one: Marc Lawrence B) NFL Game Of The Week

dough · Dec 26, 2020

Ness GOY

Steelers +2

Yankees5560 · Dec 26, 2020

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM
465 IND / 466 PIT UNDER 45.0 Westgate double-dime bet

Analysis: Christmas Props

Alvin Kamara O45.5 Rec Yds -110 (MGM/WHill)

Saturday Props

DeAndre Swift (DET) O24.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK)
Kendrick Bourne (SF) U37.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK/WHill)
DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) O6.5 Rec -140 (WHill)

Yankees5560 · Dec 26, 2020

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM
464 HOU 0.0(-140) Westgate vs 463 CIN double-dime bet

Analysis: 2* 7 PT TEASER: TB -2.5/HOU PK -140 (Consensus)

Short and sweet.

Detroit finds themselves in one of the worst situational spots of the season. The season is over, the day after Christmas, their opponent is motivated to lock in a playoff berth, and the Lions will not only be without their head coach and offensive play caller but will also be without their defensive play caller.

The Tampa offense has thrived all season when Brady has not been pressured, and only only can Detroit not pressure the quarterback, but they have multiple starting cornerbacks out for this game, who will now be asked to cover quite possibly the best pass catching group in the NFL. The Lions have allowed a TD a drive on 47% of their drives over the last month.

I am not buying the Bengals being able to win yet another game without Joe Burrow. Tyler Boyd is out with a concussion, and despite some people thinking the Bengals are now back able after last weeks performance, let me remind you that Ryan Findlay completed 7 passes against Pittsburgh. That game was more about Pittsburgh losing then the Bengals winning, and you won’t find many bigger quarterback mismatches then what the Bengals will be going up against in week sixteen.

Yankees5560 · Dec 26, 2020

Warren sharp

457 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 54.5 (0.75 units)
___
455 Cleveland Browns Over 46.5 -117 (0.75 units)
Add: Longshot Future: Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC East (+700) risk 0.75 units
Note: this is purely a value play in lieu of betting the Panthers this week vs WAS – if you ML parlay CAR with PHI this week and roll winnings to next week on PHI ML vs WAS, you’ll make roughly +475. So anything over +525 is worth a small 0.75 unit future risk. At 6.5 (Draftkings) to 7:1 (Bet365), it is a clear +EV wager. If CAR wins and so does PHI, we now can hedge next week on WAS ML.

The

Yankees5560 · Dec 26, 2020

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 4:05PM
469 CAR 8.0(-120) Westgate vs 470 WAS triple-dime bet

Analysis: 6 PT TEASER: 3* Panthers +8/Rams +7.5 -120

Iron · Dec 26, 2020

NY Daily News
T. Biersdorfer (9-3-3) Ind +2.5
P. Leonard (11-4) Phi -1.5
K. Wagner (10-5) KC -10.5
R. York (3-0-1) Sea -2

BuzzKill · Dec 26, 2020

Garry Costley's Coaching Trends
NFL Game of the Year Total Play · Under [459] San Francisco 49ERS vs. [460] Arizona Cardinals

Pay Day Sports
NCAA FB Game of the Year Side Play · [283] Liberty Flames

Total Pleasure
NCAA FB Game of the Year Total Play · Over [283] Liberty Flames vs. [284] Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Iron · Dec 26, 2020

NY Post
Dunleavy (30-15) TB -9; Ari -5; Chi -7.5
Serby (27-17-1) Gia +10.5; Car +2; Dal +2.5
Stitches (26-18-1) Ari -5; Chi -7.5; LAR +1.5
Kussoy (24-20-1) TB -9; Pit +2; Phi -2.5

Loftis (15-30) Cle -9.5; Was -2; NE +7
Blezow (15-27-3) Mia -3; Pit +2; Atl +10.5 (Lock 4-10-1 = Mia)
Cannizzaro (17-27-1) NO -7; KC -10.5; Buf -7
Costello (18-24-3) LV +3; KC -10.5; Sea -1.5
Schwartz (19-24-2) Ari -5; Cle -9.5; Chi -7.5
Charleen (20-24-1) Gia +10.5; Phi -2.5; Sea -1.5

Iron · Dec 26, 2020

Colin Cowherd Blazing 5 (37-36-2) - only has 4 plays
LAR +2
Dal +2
Jax +7.5
Ind -1.5

MilkmanDough · Dec 26, 2020

Dave Cokin:

Texans -8
Steelers +1.5

Sunday Service Play Thread 12/27/2020

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