Those who follow my threads in the NFL know I've come up with a pretty good system hitting at 70% or so clip and although the same system has not worked in college the last few weeks I've been working hard on it day and night to try and make it work.
*IF YOU WANT MORE INFO ON THE SYSTEM PLEASE REFER TO MY NFL THREAD IN THE NFL FORUM FROM PAST WEEKS!
The COLLEGE BOWL SYSTEM IS A BIT DIFFERENT than the Regular Season System. Did a small test yesterday and the system picked Appalachian State in the Opener so I decided to roll it out now. If adjustments need to be made they will be made as we go.
System Explained
I come up with 4 Suggested Lines using several different variances and data input. This includes injuries, stats, habits, weather, all of that. If the actual game line matches up with all four suggested lines then we have a play.
*Most plays will be posted 5-10 minutes before kickoff similar to the NFL
So here goes nothing, hoping to hit 60% or better to call it a success.
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Tuesday, December 22
Idaho Potato Bowl
Tulane vs Nevada
Suggested Line 1: Nevada -2.33
Suggested Line 2: Nevada -2.17
Suggested Line 3: Nevada -1.77
Suggested Line 4: Nevada -2.89
PLAY: Nevada Wolfpack +1 (10 Units)
My system likes Nevada not only to cover the spread here but to win this game straight up. This is obviously not the most exciting college football matchup of all-time but it should be a good one between two 6 win teams. Tulane has not played a football game since December 5 when they beat a pretty bad Memphis team 35-21 but the Green Wave have played a total of 11 games this season and obviously have a lot more reps than almost every other school in the Nation. Nevada on the other hand played 11 days ago and they come into this game off a pretty good game despite losing to San Jose State by 10. The Spartans eventually beat Boise State to win the Conference Championship and unlike Tulane, Nevada has only played 8 games this season and won six of them so they are in a nice groove, they're a very good football team and if they can find a way to control the clock and keep the Tulane offense off the field they'll have a chance to score points and get some stops. Nevada QB Carson Strong has been tremendous his last few games throwing 10 Touchdown Passes and only 3 Interceptions with a QB Rating of 145.3 in those games. Tulane has the #115 ranked pass defense in college football so I assume they are doing to have issue stopping Strong and this offense today and this also gives this offense the ability to play from behind and have a chance if they need to. Tulane comes into this game 2-6 ATS in their last eight games coming off a straight up win and as previously mentioned they have not played a game of football since December 5. Nevada comes into this game an impressive 3-0-1 ATS in their last four Bowl Games as an Underdog and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played in December. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an Underdog and seem to play much better under this role. Nevada is also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Bowl Games overall and they've been a good team this season.
Trend of the Game: Nevada is 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an Underdog.
Nevada 38, Tulane 29
:toast:
*IF YOU WANT MORE INFO ON THE SYSTEM PLEASE REFER TO MY NFL THREAD IN THE NFL FORUM FROM PAST WEEKS!
The COLLEGE BOWL SYSTEM IS A BIT DIFFERENT than the Regular Season System. Did a small test yesterday and the system picked Appalachian State in the Opener so I decided to roll it out now. If adjustments need to be made they will be made as we go.
System Explained
I come up with 4 Suggested Lines using several different variances and data input. This includes injuries, stats, habits, weather, all of that. If the actual game line matches up with all four suggested lines then we have a play.
*Most plays will be posted 5-10 minutes before kickoff similar to the NFL
So here goes nothing, hoping to hit 60% or better to call it a success.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, December 22
Idaho Potato Bowl
Tulane vs Nevada
Suggested Line 1: Nevada -2.33
Suggested Line 2: Nevada -2.17
Suggested Line 3: Nevada -1.77
Suggested Line 4: Nevada -2.89
PLAY: Nevada Wolfpack +1 (10 Units)
My system likes Nevada not only to cover the spread here but to win this game straight up. This is obviously not the most exciting college football matchup of all-time but it should be a good one between two 6 win teams. Tulane has not played a football game since December 5 when they beat a pretty bad Memphis team 35-21 but the Green Wave have played a total of 11 games this season and obviously have a lot more reps than almost every other school in the Nation. Nevada on the other hand played 11 days ago and they come into this game off a pretty good game despite losing to San Jose State by 10. The Spartans eventually beat Boise State to win the Conference Championship and unlike Tulane, Nevada has only played 8 games this season and won six of them so they are in a nice groove, they're a very good football team and if they can find a way to control the clock and keep the Tulane offense off the field they'll have a chance to score points and get some stops. Nevada QB Carson Strong has been tremendous his last few games throwing 10 Touchdown Passes and only 3 Interceptions with a QB Rating of 145.3 in those games. Tulane has the #115 ranked pass defense in college football so I assume they are doing to have issue stopping Strong and this offense today and this also gives this offense the ability to play from behind and have a chance if they need to. Tulane comes into this game 2-6 ATS in their last eight games coming off a straight up win and as previously mentioned they have not played a game of football since December 5. Nevada comes into this game an impressive 3-0-1 ATS in their last four Bowl Games as an Underdog and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played in December. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an Underdog and seem to play much better under this role. Nevada is also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Bowl Games overall and they've been a good team this season.
Trend of the Game: Nevada is 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an Underdog.
Nevada 38, Tulane 29
:toast: