Sunday Service Play Thread 01/03/2021

BuzzKill · Dec 26, 2020

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slotz · Dec 31, 2020

Pick Made: Dec 28 2020 8:25PM PST

HITMAN \| NFL Side	Sun, 01/03/21 - 4:25 PM
127 SEA -3.0 (-105) Bookmaker vs 128 SFX	double-dime bet

Analysis:

THIS IS A FIRST HALF BET

I make this game Seattle -6 for the full game, but the reason we are playing the first half is because of uncertainty with how long Seattle will play their starters.

Pete Carroll has said Seattle will play their starters and shoot for the number one seed. However, if Green Bay or New Orleans gets up big in the second half, there is an outside chance Seattle could pull some starters.

slotz · Dec 31, 2020

Pick Made: Dec 29 2020 11:38AM PST

HITMAN \| NFL Side	Sun, 01/03/21 - 4:25 PM
111 TEN -7.0 (-115) Pinnacle vs 112 HOU	triple-dime bet

Analysis:

It is often a mistake to assume rational coaching and organizational decisions. But we can all assume that the Houston Texans would be making a huge mistake to start Deshaun Watson against the Titans, and that they will think logically about it and sit their star quarterback.

Watson is dealing with an injury to his throwing arm, and from the information I have read, I believe it's more likely then not that Watson sits this one out. The Texans will be without their two starting offensive tackles for this game as well, further enticing the Texans to sit their star quarterback.

If Watson is 100% healthy, I make this line Titans -6.5. However, the matchups and motivation heavily favor the Titans. We have a top tier Titans offense going against a Texans defense that is in the discussion for the worst defense in the NFL. The Texans defense in their previous game against the Bengals allowed Brandon Allen and a previously lifeless Bengals offense to score 37 points and gain 7.6 YPP. No team in the NFL is worse aÃgainst the run this season than Houston.

If Watson does not play, I have the Texans power rated in the Jaguars tier of ineptitude (Titans -11.5 would be my line)

slotz · Dec 31, 2020

Pick Made: Dec 30 2020 10:53AM PST

HITMAN \| NFL Side	Sun, 01/03/21 - 1:00 PM
117 MIN -0.5 (-120) BetOnline vs 118 DET	double-dime bet

Analysis:

¬
2* 6 PT TEASER: Vikings -0.5/Eagles +7.5 -120

slotz · Dec 31, 2020

Pick Made: Dec 30 2020 11:12AM PST

HITMAN \| NFL Side	Sun, 01/03/21 - 1:00 PM
109 PIT 10.0 (-110) William Hill vs 110 CLE	double-dime bet

Analysis:

I made this game Steelers +1 with Big Ben, and Rudolph is not a 9 point downgrade off of Big Ben. Yes, I know the Browns " need to win", but that is being overpriced, especially with Tomlin saying the Steelers will only be resting a select few starters and the Browns are dealing with potential availability issu¬es with multiple offensive players.

Yankees5560 · Dec 31, 2020

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 3 2021 4:25PM
132 LOS 3.5(-110) Southpoint vs 131 ARI double-dime bet

Analysis: The Rams defense matches up well against Kyler Murray. All season the Rams defense has limited mobile quarterbacks from running for big yardage, and Kyler Murray is one of the most run dependent quarterbacks in the NFL. Further complicating matters is the fact that Murray has a lower body injury that could impact his rushing ability. In Murray's previous matchup against the Rams, Murray threw for only 4.4 YPP despite completing a wide open 59 yard touchdown pass on his first throw due to a coverage bust.

The Cardinals offense is limited, and is dependent on Murray's rushing, and DeAndre Hopkins in the passing game. The Rams can shadow Hopkins with arguably the best cornerback in football in Jalen Ramsey.

As you can tell, I think the Rams defense can dominate this game. What about the Rams new quarterback John Wolford?

I will put my faith in Sean McVay as a play caller in this one. McVay has absolutely shredded the Cardinals during his tenure as the Rams head coach. McVay is 7-0 ATS against Arizona, and has won those games by an average of 21 points per game.

Wolford does have some mobility, and the Cardinals are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Expect McVay to run the ball on a Cardinals defense ranked 26th in YPA allowed, and for McVay to run lots of bootlegs with Wolford.

Wolford just needs to not screw this game up, and cover a ugly, defensive battle. I expect that he will.

BuzzKill · Dec 31, 2020

Newsletters - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=332&p=13376466&viewfull=1#post13376466

GalenThomas · Jan 1, 2021

Leave one: Pregame King Creole Sports - A) NFL OVER 47.5 N.O. at Carolina. Request one: Marc Lawrence NFL AA) NFL Game Of The Year.

Gastoniaman · Jan 2, 2021

Marc Lawrence won College game of the year with Ohio St
NFL - 10* Game 130 - Broncos (+3) - NFL Game of the Year
Edges - Broncos: 4-0 SUATS in the series from Game Thirteen out when Raiders are coming off three consecutive losses; and Raiders are 17-5 SU and 19-2-1 ATS as a home dog when coming off a division games, including 15-0-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or fewer points when facing an .800 or less opponent; and … Raiders: and 0-7 SU away last game of the season versus division foes; and Raiders are 1-7 SU away versus the Broncos, the win by 3-points; and NFL away teams coming off three consecutive home losses, the last as a dog, are 1-8 SU since 1990 … Best of all, we cement the call with these awesome angles from our powerful database as it notes 1) NFL home teams in their final games of the season coming off a division game and hosting a foe coming off consecutive losses are 18-2 SU and 20-0 ATS since 2000, and 2) NFL .615 or fewer road favorites of more than 2 points coming off three consecutive homes are 0-22 ATS if they failed to beat the spread by 20 or more points in their last game and the home dog in this contest did not beat the spread by 8 or more points in their last contest … And finally there are the two coaches in this contest, Vic Fangio for Denver who is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in his career against foes coming off a loss, and Jon Gruden for the Raiders who is 0-5 SUATS in his NFL career from Game Thirteen out during the regular season as a favorite when coming off consecutive losses … With that we recommend a 10* play on Denver. Thank you and good luck as always.

NFL - 3* Game 108 - Giants (+1.5 pick or dog only)
Edges - Giants: 6-0 ATS in season finales versus division foes coming off a double-digit win … Cowboys: 6-12 ATS as a road favorite in this series, including 0-6 ATS when coming off consecutive wins with that last at home … We cement the call with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any NFL division road favorite from Game Nine out who allows 4.4 or more Yards Per Rush if they are off consecutive wins, the last a double-digit win, and are facing a .454 or less opponent that has won 14 or fewer of its last 32 games. We do this because these road favorites are 0-15-1 ATS in this role since 1980 … Our well-oiled machine also shares this awesome angle: NFL home teams with a losing record coming off consecutive SUATS losses, the last by 3 or more points, are 15-1 SU and 16-0 ATS since 1997 in their final game of the season when facing foes with a losing record. With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on the New York Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.

Iron · Jan 2, 2021

Colin Cowherd Blazing 5 (38-39-2)
Gia +1.5
Car +6.5
Ten -7.5
SF +6.5
Phi +2.5

Iron · Jan 2, 2021

NY Daily News
T. Biersdorfer (9-4-3) Cle -10
P. Leonard (11-5) Ari +3.5
K. Wagner (10-6) Pit +10
R. York (4-0-1) NO -6.5

Iron · Jan 2, 2021

NY Post
Dunleavy (32-16) Bal -12; TB -6.5; Was -1.5
Serby (29-18-1) Cin +12; Atl +6.5; Den +2.5
Stitches (27-20-1) GB -5.5; LV -2.5; Sea -5.5
Kussoy (26-21-1) Mia +1.5; Bal -12; Atl +6.5

Charleen (21-26-1) Jax +14; LAC -3.5; LAR -1
Costello (20-25-3) BUF -1.5; TB -6.5; GB -5.5
Schwartz (20-26-2) Bal -12; Cle -10; Sea -5.5
Cannizzaro (19-28-1) Bal -12; TB -6.5; Ind -14
Blezow (17-28-3) Cin +12; Atl +6.5; Jax +14 (Lock 4-11-1 = Cin)
Loftis (15-33) NE -3; Pit +10; Hou +7.5

Iron · Jan 2, 2021

Dr. Bob (B & A = 53-25 / a = 16-27-1)
B) Dal/Gia under 47
B) Jets/NE under 41
A) LV +1
A) Dal -1
A) NO/Car under 50
A) LV/Den over 50.5

SalD'Amore · Jan 2, 2021

Iron said:
Colin Cowherd Blazing 5 (38-39-2)
Gia +1.5
Car +6.5
Ten -7.5
SF +6.5
Phi +2.5

Colin has never finished under .500% , so he has to go at least 3-2.

PhillyBurb · Jan 3, 2021

Marc Lawrence
J GOY Denver
C New York Giants

1313 · Jan 3, 2021

Circa Contest / Las Vegas - Top 5

ODBMG-2 ------- 1. WASHINGTON -2 --- 5. PACKERS -5 --- 14. PANTHERS +7 --- 21. RAVENS -12 --- 27. SEAHAWKS -6

DSR90-1 ------- 10. STEELERS +8½ --- 12. TEXANS +7½ --- 19. BUCS -7 --- 21. RAVENS -12 --- 24. DOLPHINS +1

DV8-1 ------- 1. WASHINGTON -2 --- 5. PACKERS -5 --- 11. TITANS -7½ --- 18. LIONS +7 --- 21. RAVENS -12

PRESENCE-2 ----- 1. WASHINGTON -2 --- 7. --- COWBOYS -1½ --- 14. PANTHERS +7 --- 18. LIONS +7 --- 30. BRONCOS +2½

MINURA11-1 ------- 5. PACKERS -5 --- 10. STEELERS +8½ --- 14. PANTHERS +7 --- 23. BILLS -1 --- 27. SEAHAWKS -6

Iron · Jan 3, 2021

WESTGATE SUPERCONTEST

#	Rank	Team	Week17 1st	Week17 2nd	Week17 3rd	Week17 4th	Week17 5th	Season Record	Win%	Total Points
1	1	ODBMG2	WAS(-2.5)	DAL(-1.5)	PIT(+9)	CAR(+6.5)	BAL(-12.5)	51-24-5	68%	53.5
2	2	YUGO77	GB(-5.5)	CAR(+6.5)	NYJ(+3)	DET(+6.5)	ARI(-2.5)	52-26-2	66.7%	53
3	3	TRIBE OJIBWA	GB(-5.5)	HOU(+7.5)	CAR(+6.5)	DET(+6.5)	ATL(+6.5)	48-28-4	63.2%	50
4	3	INVISIBLE	CAR(+6.5)	DET(+6.5)	MIA(+2.5)	LAC(-3.5)	LAR(+2.5)	48-28-4	63.2%	50
5	3	DIXON_CIDER	WAS(-2.5)	IND(-14)	DAL(-1.5)	TEN(-7.5)	ARI(-2.5)	48-28-4	63.2%	50
6	3	CHAZMAN	IND(-14)	GB(-5.5)	TEN(-7.5)	ATL(+6.5)	MIA(+2.5)	49-29-2	62.8%	50
7	3	CAPENJ	IND(-14)	CHI(+5.5)	NYG(+1.5)	NO(-6.5)	MIN(-6.5)	49-29-2	62.8%	50
8	8	OOPHIE 69	WAS(-2.5)	CLE(-9)	CAR(+6.5)	MIA(+2.5)	SEA(-6)	47-28-5	62.7%	49.5
9	8	DFLEMING 221	WAS(-2.5)	DAL(-1.5)	HOU(+7.5)	TB(-6.5)	SEA(-6)	48-29-3	62.3%	49.5
10	10	WALTERFOOTBALL.COM	IND(-14)	CAR(+6.5)	DET(+6.5)	LAC(-3.5)	LAR(+2.5)	48-30-2	61.5%	49
11	10	COSMOKRAMER	WAS(-2.5)	HOU(+7.5)	BAL(-12.5)	BUF(-2.5)	DEN(+2.5)	48-30-2	61.5%	49
12	10	3RD WARD COUGARS	PIT(+9)	CAR(+6.5)	ATL(+6.5)	BAL(-12.5)	SEA(-6)	47-29-4	61.8%	49
13	13	THE KINGS OF GREEN	JAC(+14)	CHI(+5.5)	DAL(-1.5)	HOU(+7.5)	ATL(+6.5)	46-29-5	61.3%	48.5
14	13	HOUSTON 69	PHI(+2.5)	JAC(+14)	NYG(+1.5)	PIT(+9)	HOU(+7.5)	47-30-3	61%	48.5
15	15	TOM LIPPARD	WAS(-2.5)	CLE(-9)	BAL(-12.5)	LAC(-3.5)	SEA(-6)	46-30-4	60.5%	48
16	15	ICED TEA	WAS(-2.5)	CAR(+6.5)	NYJ(+3)	TB(-6.5)	BAL(-12.5)	47-31-2	60.3%	48
17	15	GOOSBUMPS	WAS(-2.5)	GB(-5.5)	TB(-6.5)	BAL(-12.5)	BUF(-2.5)	46-30-4	60.5%	48
18	15	CALREF	GB -5.5)	DAL(-1.5)	TEN(-7.5)	MIN(-6.5)	BUF(-2.5)	47-31-2	60.3%	48
19	15	BUCK BUNDY	CHI(+5.5)	DAL(-1.5)	TEN(-7.5)	LAC(-3.5)	LAR(+2.5)	46-30-4	60.5%	48

ryangenero · Jan 3, 2021

Football Jesus Podcast Free Pick NYGiants+pts when they recorded Giants were plus 3 but he said 2 ½ o 2 was ok he said they win outright
u can hear podcast its free on twitter he also referenced betting AZ cards as a dog at home cashed in Sat Free pick gave out NCAA TXAM

BuzzKill · Jan 3, 2021

Teddy Covers

B Jets +3
C Cowboys -1.5
C Packers -5.5

THEMINK · Jan 3, 2021

Galen Thomas said:
Leave one: Pregame King Creole Sports - A) NFL OVER 47.5 N.O. at Carolina. Request one: Marc Lawrence NFL AA) NFL Game Of The Year.

King creole is E* play thanks for posting

Sunday Service Play Thread 01/03/2021

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