MistaFlava's NFL Wildcard Weekend ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (System Plays Inside)

MistaFlava's 2020 NFL Football Record: 106-68-1 (+295.50 Units)

MistaFlava's 2020 NFL ATS (Regular) Record: 95-59-1 ATS (+311.50 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL O/U Record: 7-6 (+4.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL *Big Plays*: 4-3 ATS (-10.00 Units)

Things were not working well for me so I had to go back to pure capping and designing unique systems and working hours through the night to getting back to what got me successful in the first place. True capping.


NFL System

We got back on track with the System last week and the adjustments I was able to make after a shaky Week 14 where I kind of got lost in a few losses and played around a bit too much. Currently in a nice groove with these games and looking to take that into the final few weeks of the Regular Season which is not easy to do.

*ALL POSTED PLAYS LAST WEEK WERE INCLUDED IN MY OVERALL!

System Win % Update (Started Week 6) *with only Games That Mattered (both teams) Week 17

Week 17: 4-0 ATS (100%)

System Overall: 79-30 ATS (72%)

Regular Games: 61-24 ATS (72%)

Primetime Games: 17-6 ATS (74%)


System Win % Update (Started Week 6) *Counting ALL GAMES Week 17 regardless of playoff impact

Week 17: 8-6 ATS (57%)

System Overall: 83-36 ATS (70%)

Regular Games: 65-30 ATS (68%)

Primetime Games: 18-6 ATS (75%)


For those who don't know about my system yet I basically run some numbers with a bunch of different factors and intangibles and come up with 4 suggested lines for each game. If the LIVE Line 10 minutes before kickoff matches up and adds up with each one of my suggested lines it becomes a play. If the overall average combined line is 5.0+ in differential it becomes a FADE PLAY! There are several other factors involved but this is basically it.

*Disclaimer: I am posting every single play the last 6 weeks (since my system went live) under Version B which most were posted on here. Again I'd like to think my reputation is good enough for my readers/followers to know I'm posting facts here and trying to help people win money.


VERSION B



Week 6

Minnesota -3.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Washington +2
Denver +7.5
Tennessee -4
Detroit -3
Chicago +1.5
Cleveland +3
LA Rams -2.5
Arizona +1.5

7-3 ATS


Week 7

NY Giants +5
Carolina +7
Green Bay -3
Pittsburgh +1
Detroit +1
Washington -1
San Francisco +3
LA Rams -6.5

8-0 ATS


Week 8

NY Jets +20
Las Vegas +1
Pittsburgh +4
New England +4
Denver +3
Chicago +5.5
Philadelphia -10

6-1 ATS


Week 9

Green Bay -6
Jacksonville +7
Baltimore +1
Atlanta -4.5
NY Giants +3
Detroit +3
Tennessee -6
Arizona -6
NY Jets +9.5

7-2 ATS


Week 10

Washington +2.5
Jacksonville +13.5
Houston +4.5
Buffalo +3
Miami -1.5
Pittsburgh -6.5
Chicago +3.5

5-2 ATS


Week 11

Arizona +3
Cincinnati +1.5
New Orleans -3.5
Pittsburgh -10.5
Carolina +3
New England -2.5
NY Jets +10
Green Bay +2
Las Vegas +8
LA Rams +4.5

6-4 ATS


Week 12

Detroit +3
Tennessee +3
Cleveland -7
Miami -7
Carolina +3.5
New Orleans -16.5
San Francisco +5.5
Chicago +8
Philadelphia +6.5

6-3 ATS


Week 13

Jacksonville +10
New Orleans -2.5
Cincinnati +10.5
Cleveland +4
Las Vegas -7
Arizona +3
Philadelphia +8.5
New England +2
Denver +13
Pittsburgh -6
Buffalo +1.5

6-5 ATS


Week 14

New England +4.5
Arizona -3
Minnesota +7
Tennessee -7.5
Cincinnati +3
Kansas City -7
San Francisco -3
Philadelphia +7.5
LA Chargers -1
Detroit +9

5-5 ATS


Week 15

Minnesota -3
New England -1
Tennessee -8.5
Houston +7.5
Dallas +4
NY Jets +17
Arizona -6
Cleveland -6
Cincinnati +14.5

7-2 ATS


Week 16

New Orleans -6.5
Detroit +12
San Francisco +6
Las Vegas +2.5
NY Jets +6.5
Atlanta +11
Indianapolis -1
Baltimore -9.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Carolina -1
LA Chargers -2
Dallas +3
LA Rams +1.5
Green Bay -3
Buffalo -7

12-3 ATS


Week 17

Playoff Imp: Buffalo +3.5
Playoff Imp: Pittsburgh +10.5
Playoff Imp: NY Giants +1.5
Playoff Imp: LA Rams pk
Non-Playoff Imp: Atlanta +7
Non-Playoff Imp: Cincinnati +13.5
Non-Playoff Imp: New England -3
Non-Playoff Imp: Detroit +3
Non-Playoff Imp: San Francisco +7.5
Non-Playoff Imp: Carolina +6
Non-Playoff Imp: Kansas City +6.5
Non-Playoff Imp: Indianapolis -15.5
Non-Playoff Imp: Las Vegas -2.5
Non-Playoff Imp: Philadelphia +6.5

4-0 ATS (Playoff Implication Games for both teams)
4-6 ATS (Non-Playoff Implication Games)
8-6 ATS



83-36 ATS overall the last 11 weeks and if you bet $1100 (-110) on every game you would be up $43,400 on these plays alone. If you bet a simple $100 you would be up $4,340 For the high stakes players you would be up $434,000 betting $10k on each game.

***REMINDER: All plays will be posted 5-10 minutes prior to kickoff. This is due to the line I use being part of the system.

*If you have any questions shoot me a DM. I see them a lot better than I see posts on my thread. Sorry I am behind I will catch up later.


HOPE EVERYONE AT THE RX IS STAYING SAFE AND HAVE A GREAT 2021!





:toast:

Mr. Flava.........BOL with all your action during the playoffs buddy......

appreciate all your time and effort during the upcoming playoffs my friend........indy

BOL my friend !

curious to see the numbers on your games gl!

Let's do this Flava Flav! Hope you're doing well, my friend.

following..............

thanks MF

Good luck today. I'm eager to see how the system performs for the playoffs

So ready for the Playoffs!

Lets gooooooo...GL TODAY BUDDY!

Here are the Suggested Lines for the first game of Super Wild Card Weekend:



Indianapolis at Buffalo

Suggested Line 1: Buffalo -4.90
Suggested Line 2: Buffalo -3.97
Suggested Line 3: Buffalo -4.35
Suggested Line 4: Buffalo -3.79


It's pretty obvious which direction my System is going in the opener. I will be posting the official System Play around 10 minutes before scheduled kickoff time.




:toast:

with that suggest line..............Colts is the play

Thanks mista validates my thinking this week on the colts.....appreciate all you do for all of us!!!!!!!!!

Wow! I LOVE following your plays! I’m Already on the other side! Good luck my man!

adding...




Saturday, January 9




Indianapolis Colts +7 (10 Units)

The play on Wild Card Weekend has ALWAYS been the Underdog. All I keep seeing is people posting about the Underdogs going 11-1 ATS the last three seasons on Wild Card Weekend which is legit and always has to be considered but other factors have to be considered as well this year. Consider the fact that some of the teams playing this weekend would NOT be in the playoffs if it were not for the complete format switch because of Covid. They've added a few extra teams this year and that has changed everything. The Law of Football averages says Favorites will have a better time this weekend but I don't think it happens right here right now. The Colts come into this game looking pretty awful and that has to be on everyone's mind (bettors included). They blew a 21+ point lead in Pittsburgh which could have sent the Steelers off to their fourth straight loss but instead they completely blew it and then followed that up with another terrible 2nd Half performance in Jacksonville last week where they blew a spread (-15.5) covering lead and never recovered. Not good. But also not the end of the world. The playoffs are a complete reset on the season. Buffalo comes into this game as the HOTTEST ATS spread team in the NFL having covered the spread in 8 straight games so naturally the entire world is going to be on them in this one. It's a legit bet and makes a lot of sense until they show they can't cover a spread but teams who run the ball well have given the Bills problems all year. I'm not going to count New England in their final matchup of the year because the Pats (ranked #4 in the NFL in rushing yards per game) had given up on the season at that point. Another huge factor that I entered as a variable in the play today is the fact that Buffalo will 6,500 members of Bills Mafia in the stands for the first time all season. Now this might be a really hot take but could this record breaking season by the Bills be attributed to no pressure from the Home Fans? Unlikely but something to think about. It's a new element for them to deal with. The Colts have 5 spread covers on the road this season and are an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last five Road Games. They are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games versus a team with a winning record and they have a Hall of Fame Quarterback to guide the way. The rookie versus the vet. This should be a good one. I almost never bet on underdogs unless I think they can win straight up and I don't think the Colts can win straight up but I will bet this game is decided late and the Field Goal kickers have the stage today.

Trend of the Game: Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in their last five Road Games.


Buffalo 23, Indianapolis 19




:toast:

Ty Bol

Bol

On it

Cant believe Blank hit the upright on that fg. Rivers and Co need a better 4th quarter barring Buffalo does not score on this drive.

Mofome2 said:

Cant believe Blank hit the upright on that fg. Rivers and Co need a better 4th quarter barring Buffalo does not score on this drive.

Click to expand...

Not to mention the coach from indy not taking the FG before the half and then allowing Allen to go down filed for a TD...Changed the whole game...Flav write up was spot on too