My futures & bets from william hill sports book nv

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FUTURES FROM WILLIAM HILL SPORTS BOOK NV
Updated Mon, Jan. 4, 7:15 AM ET
ODDS TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (1/24/21)
TeamAmericanFractional
***** Kansas City Chiefs-1205/6
Buffalo Bills+3507/2
Baltimore Ravens+6507/1
Pittsburgh Steelers+100010/1
Tennessee Titans+130013/1
Indianapolis Colts+150015/1
Cleveland Browns+180018/1




NFC CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS

ODDS TO WIN NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (1/24/21)
TeamAmericanFractional
*****Green Bay Packers+1608/5
*****New Orleans Saints+27511/4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+4004/1
Seattle Seahawks+4509/2
Los Angeles Rams+120012/1
Chicago Bears+330033/1
Washington Football Team+330033/1


Updated Mon, Jan. 4, 7:15 AM ET - - Subject to Change [ My bets ******& Different amounts wagers On Each Bet



2021 SUPER BOWL ODDS TO WIN

There are several good bets to win Super Bowl LV in 2021. The current odds to win Super Bowl 55 today are:


  • *******Chiefs: +200 {My Bet Is In On This Game**
  • Packers: +450
  • Saints: +700
  • Bills: +700
  • Buccaneers: +1000
  • Ravens: +1200
  • Seahawks: +1300
  • Steelers: +2200 Titans: +2800 Rams: +3000



NFL SPREAD
freeodds_hdr_vegas1_nfl.gif

I’m going with the Chiefs all the way!!!! With the defending champs well-rested and coming in fresh, I’m not sure the Browns will be able to keep up. The line here seems just about right, but I like KC to eke out a cover and move on This is something of a strange matchup, however. The Browns have surprised people all season—in ways both good and bad. Cleveland came off a 23-16 loss to the lowly Jets in Week 16 to a pair of convincing wins over the Steelers and a spot in the Divisional Round. With the defending champs well-rested and coming in fresh, I’m not sure the Browns will be able to keep up.



The Chiefs are not only the favorites in this game but the overall favorites to win the Super Bowl yet again. Mahomes and company own one of, if not, the most explosive offenses in the entire league. The defense for Kansas City has also played well, making this year's Chiefs team a tough out for any team..The Kansas City Chiefs were given the bye in the Wild Card round due to their league-best 14-2 record. That 14-2 record includes the Chiefs Week 17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in a game that the Chiefs sat many starting players like Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill. The line here seems just about right, but I like KC on Money Line besides my future bet. -$500 [ laying 5-1


The over is 7-1 in the Rams last eight games as an underdog. The Packers are 7- 2 against the spread in their last nine games played in January.The over is 6-2 in the Packers last eight divisional playoff games. The favorite is 9-1 against the spread in the last 10 meetings played between the two teams. The Rams have some issues with their offense and I think they are going to struggle to get the job done in this game. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are focused, and they are going to have no issue in this game. Look for the Packers to run up the score and they will come away with a victory and a cover of the spread.


The Los Angeles Rams shouldn't be taken lightly after what they just did to the Seahawks last week, and their defensive effort gives them a fighting chance each week. Green Bay Packers are also one of the hotter teams in the league with a red hot offense, and seven of their last 10 wins have been decided by double digits.However, the Rams are still a banged up football team and have a limited Goff at the quarterback position. I'm also not sure how much I trust visitors going into Lambeau this time of year where it's freezing and horrible weather conditions. If the Packers keep scoring at this clip, I don't see the hobbled Rams finding the firepower to respond. Green Bay -6 [Buying The Hook]
Handicapping information taken *some articles written* from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Contributors DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders > Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~





 

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H/hat......solid info and writ ups buddy........good looking plays.........

will probably be on both with you......indy
 
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Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric

With Patrick Mahomes directing the shots, the Chiefs have the No. 2 ranked offense according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric. (Per Football Outsiders, DVOA measures a team’s efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.)Patrick Mahomes would shatter Tom Brady’s playoff passing record of 505 yards if Kansas City uncharacteristically abandoned their run game. The Browns defense isn’t built to compete with the stallions at Arrowhead. Few defenses are but Cleveland will have major issues against tight end Travis Kelce and the fastest man in football (Tyreek Hill).
However, the spread may be too high. Because the Browns will be able to score on the Chiefs. Kansas City has the No. 16 pass defense and is ranked 31st against the run. Considering Cleveland just scored 48 points on the Steelers, the Browns’ offense should play well against a lesser defense.
Some sportsbooks have the Browns as 10-point underdogs, meaning the line already moved a half point because bettors are on the Chiefs. It’ll be interesting to follow this line through the week.
Remember, the Browns get back All-Pro guard Joel Bitoino and Pro Bowl corner Denzel Ward along with their head coach and play-caller Kevin Stefanski. Of course, they all believe Cleveland can pull off another all-time upset.
 

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If GB, TB or No makes the SB? They win. Mahomes doesn’t have a shot at winning. Their Defense is weaker than all 3. NFC is winning the SB this yr
 

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Check me please, but believe Andy Reid is 19-3 regular season and 5-2 playoffs off a BYE. KC all day. Yes they’ve coasted this season and pretty much an ATS mess, 7-9 YTD, but they’ve also been everyone’s Super Bowl each week. Think they get out fast and full court press most of game to show all they mean business and expect to REPEAT.

When KC gets to SB, another BYE week blows up above post by Wizard. Andy Reid will be 6-2 playoffs and 7-2 with SB win.

Thx Harry for post and thoughts. Like em!
 
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Excellent Reply Vinny!!!

Check me please, but believe Andy Reid is 19-3 regular season and 5-2 playoffs off a BYE. KC all day. Yes they’ve coasted this season and pretty much an ATS mess, 7-9 YTD, but they’ve also been everyone’s Super Bowl each week. Think they get out fast and full court press most of game to show all they mean business and expect to REPEAT.

When KC gets to SB, another BYE week blows up above post by Wizard. Andy Reid will be 6-2 playoffs and 7-2 with SB win.

Thx Harry for post and thoughts. Like em!
Excellent Reply Vinny!!! NICE ANALYSIS !!!! Thank You Vinny!! Lets Just Win My Friend !!!!!!!!!
 
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NFL Divisional Round Odds [cheat sheet: injuries, weather and more]

FL Divisional Round Odds

These are the current NFL Divisional Round odds. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.
MatchupTimeSpreadOver/Under
Rams at Packers4:35 p.m. ET SaturdayPackers -6.545.5
Ravens at Bills8:15 p.m. ET SaturdayBills -250
Browns at Chiefs3:05 p.m. ET SundayChiefs 1056
Buccaneers at Saints6:40 p.m. ET SundaySaints -352
Odds courtesy of The SuperBook



Teddy Covers NFL betting analysis


Complements of HarryTheHat !!!!!! Lets Just Win !!!!!!
 

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With Patrick Mahomes directing the shots, the Chiefs have the No. 2 ranked offense according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric. (Per Football Outsiders, DVOA measures a team’s efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.)Patrick Mahomes would shatter Tom Brady’s playoff passing record of 505 yards if Kansas City uncharacteristically abandoned their run game. The Browns defense isn’t built to compete with the stallions at Arrowhead. Few defenses are but Cleveland will have major issues against tight end Travis Kelce and the fastest man in football (Tyreek Hill).
However, the spread may be too high. Because the Browns will be able to score on the Chiefs. Kansas City has the No. 16 pass defense and is ranked 31st against the run. Considering Cleveland just scored 48 points on the Steelers, the Browns’ offense should play well against a lesser defense.
Some sportsbooks have the Browns as 10-point underdogs, meaning the line already moved a half point because bettors are on the Chiefs. It’ll be interesting to follow this line through the week.
Remember, the Browns get back All-Pro guard Joel Bitoino and Pro Bowl corner Denzel Ward along with their head coach and play-caller Kevin Stefanski. Of course, they all believe Cleveland can pull off another all-time upset.

FWIW...Cleveland hasn't had a full defense in months. Hill is fast, but coverages always matter. Ward and Johnson are back... something that the Browns haven't had with all the others on defense at the same time until now.
They all do believe! thats why a couple years ago they coined the word...Believeland!
 
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Trends [Odds Shark ]

Trends



  • [*=center]CLEV

    [*=center]

  • Cleveland are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
  • Cleveland are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Cleveland are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Kansas City.
  • Cleveland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Kansas City.
  • Cleveland are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • Cleveland are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Cleveland are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games played in January.

    • [*=center]


      [*=center]KC



    • Kansas City are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
    • Kansas City are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.
    • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games against Cleveland.
    • Kansas City are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games at home.
    • Kansas City are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland.
    • Kansas City are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games this season.
    • Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
    • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference North division.
    • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games played in January.


    Opening Odds Analysis

    Kansas City opened the betting as a 10-point favorite, though you can now find -10.5 depending on where you wager. The total is set at a sky-high 56, the eighth time in nine games the Chiefs have seen a total above 50.
    Cleveland News & Notes

    It wasn’t pretty as Cleveland jumped out to a 28-0 first-quarter lead, then held on for dear life in a 48-37 wild-card win over the rival Pittsburgh Steelers for the Browns’ first playoff triumph since 1995.
    More impressively, the Browns won despite having to deal with COVID-19 concerns that left them without head coach Kevin Stefanski and Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio, among others.
    Cleveland comes in having won seven of nine but has covered just four times over that span. Still, there’s reason for optimism, at least from a cover standpoint: the Browns have gone 3-1 ATS in their past four road games, including a pair of outright wins as underdogs.
    Look for Cleveland to lean on the run game against a Chiefs team ranked 21st in rushing defense.
    Kansas City News & Notes

    The Browns will need a whole lot more than five yards per carry to advance to the AFC championship game as they tangle with a formidable Chiefs offense. Kansas City finished with the sixth-most points in the NFL this season, while their plus-111 point differential ranked No. 7 overall. The defending champions also led the league in passing offense at 303.4 yards per game.
    But there are plenty of reasons for Browns bettors to be bullish here. The Chiefs boasted one of the worst ATS records of any team in the league, and each of their final seven regular-season victories came by six or fewer points.
    They’re also a dismal 1-4 ATS in their last five games as double-digit favorites, including an outright 40-32 loss to Las Vegas at -10.5 on October 11.
    Betting Pick: Browns +10.5 (-110)

    Cleveland was full value for its upset win over Pittsburgh – and with Stefanski returning and a full week of normal practice ahead of them, the Browns should make this one a lot closer than oddsmakers project.


    Trends


    • [*=center] NO

    • New Orleans are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
    • The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans' last 8 games.
    • New Orleans are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
    • New Orleans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Baltimore.
    • New Orleans are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Baltimore.
    • New Orleans are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games on the road.
    • New Orleans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
    • New Orleans are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference North division.
    • New Orleans are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in October.

      New Orleans News & Notes

      The New Orleans defense put together another dominant performance in its wild-card win against the Chicago Bears, holding the Bears to only 239 total yards and nine points, with 99 of those yards and a touchdown coming on a meaningless game-ending drive.
      The Saints finished the regular season ranked fourth in the NFL in total yards allowed at 310.9 per game and were fifth in points allowed at 21.1 per game.
      Drew Brees completed 28 of his 39 pass attempts on Sunday for 265 passing yards and two touchdown passes with no interceptions. One of those scoring strikes was to Michael Thomas, who has struggled with injuries this season and hadn’t caught a touchdown pass prior to this one.
      If the Saints can get things going on offense and continue to play at the level they’ve been playing at on defense, they could be the team to beat in the NFC.
      Betting Pick: New Orleans -3

      • [*=center]BAL


      • Baltimore are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
      • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
      • Baltimore are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.
      • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games against New Orleans.
      • Baltimore are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.
      • Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans.
      • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games this season.
      • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
      • Baltimore are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.
      • Baltimore are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played in October.

      Los Angeles News & Notes

      Injuries were a huge storyline going into LA’s wild-card game last weekend against Seattle, and bettors will once again have to pay close attention to the injury report this week.
      This time, the big name to watch is two-time Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald, who left the Rams’ 30-20 win over the Seahawks with an apparent rib injury. X-rays on Donald’s ribs came back negative and head coach Sean McVay told reporters Sunday that he’s optimistic he will have his all-world defensive tackle available against the Packers.
      The status of star wide receiver Cooper Kupp and quarterback John Wolford was also up in the air at the time of writing. Kupp, who missed the Rams’ regular-season finale due to COVID-19 protocol, was seen favoring his right knee late in last week’s game, while Wolford was knocked out of his second career start after taking a shoulder to the head.
      Jared Goff relieved Wolford and finished the game just two weeks after undergoing surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand, completing nine of 19 passes for 155 yards in 50 minutes of action.
      Given the Rams’ quarterback issues, expect LA to once again lean on its running game and league-leading defense. Cam Akers ran for 131 yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks, while the Rams defense scored a touchdown for the second consecutive week, this time on a 42-yard interception return by Darious Williams. LA allowed just 278 total yards, recorded five sacks and limited Seattle to 2-for-14 on third-down conversions.
      Green Bay News & Notes

      Packers fans got a bit of a scare last week with the news that Davante Adams wasn’t participating in practice, but the superstar wideout was simply resting, according to head coach Matt LaFleur. Adams set a Packers single-season record with 115 catches this year and led the NFL in touchdown receptions despite missing 2.5 games due to a hamstring injury.
      His quarterback also enjoyed a career season, and that’s saying something when you’re talking about Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers’ 48 touchdown passes were eight more than any other quarterback in the NFL, and he’s emerged as the favorite to win league MVP after finishing the campaign first in completion percentage, total quarterback rating and passer rating.
      As good as Rodgers and Adams have been this year, Packers backers might be even more excited about the improvement of their defense. Green Bay held four of its last five opponents to 16 points or less and finished the season ninth in total yards allowed and seventh against the pass.
      Take those recent numbers with a grain of salt, however. Green Bay’s final five opponents were the Bears, Titans, Panthers, Lions and Eagles. LA was able to hold down a struggling Seahawks attack last week, but things get a whole lot tougher here, especially without Donald at 100 percent. Expect Rodgers and the Packers to advance to the NFC championship game with a convincing victory.
      Betting Pick: Packers -7







 

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​I think you have the wrong trends for Baltimore and the Saints.
 
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Jimmy The Trends I posted was from Odds Shark

​I think you have the wrong trends for Baltimore and the Saints.
Jimmy The Trends I posted was from Odds Shark [ https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl ] I post a lot of information from different sources. So everyone looks at my threads can see besides my picks & bets you can judge matchup for themselves. In my view Jimmy you just can't,get enough info, and I reach out to everyone. I also research Pros & Cons from different aspects of match-ups and post them. Members looking at my threads make there own options. Best Of Luck To Jimmy in the divisional games!!!!! Lets Just Win !!!!
 
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`Hartstein lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers Analysis & Projection Divisional Round ~

Former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the 2019 season, he went 58-39 on his against-the-spread NFL picks, giving his followers a profit of more than $1,500. What's more, he heads into this weekend on a 19-9 run on against-the-spread picks for SportsLine members. Hartstein also has had a keen eye for the tendencies of these clubs, posting an incredible 16-3 record on spread picks involving the Browns or Chiefs over the past three seasons! Anyone who has consistently followed him is winner winner chicken for dinner! NO!! Filay Menon !!! Now, he's studied Browns vs. Chiefs from every possible angle. We can tell you he's leaning Over the total, and he's also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread! You absolutely need to see it before you lock in your own picks.

Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield have faced each other just once in their NFL careers, back in Week 9 of 2018 when the Chiefs beat the Browns by 16 points. It's not the only time they have ever faced off in their football careers, however, as the two set a college-football record with 1,279 combined passing yards when Oklahoma and Texas Tech matched up in 2016. It's more about the run game when it comes to the Browns, however, as in 14 games with Nick Chubb active, the Browns have rushed for 160.2 yards per game and 23 touchdowns, and finished the regular season with the No. 3 rushing offense in the league. Interestingly enough, the Chiefs have allowed 122.1 rushing yards per game this season, which is worst among all playoff teams. Still, I have a hard time believing that the Browns will upset the Chiefs in the divisional round. I do think that they can cover the spread, however, as the Chiefs haven't won a game by more than six points since Week 8. Since Week 9 they are 1-7 against the spread, which is worst in the NFL!

My Projected score: Chiefs 27-21 Chiefs Win But Don't Cover The Spread

The Bears have a great defense, but Brees and the Saints still found ways to create success on offense this past weekend. Alvin Kamara came just one yard shy of 100 rushing yards and rushed for a touchdown, Michael Thomas caught five passes for 73 yards and a score and versatile weapon Deonte Harris caught a game-high seven passes for 83 yards. The Saints didn't play up to their potential last week and it still felt like they dominated the whole game, so I'm going to take them to sweep the Buccaneers this season. Tampa Bay is going to be a popular upset pick this week, so I would consider waiting a day to see if this line falls below NO -3.

Projected score: Saints 31-27


(2) Saints at (1) Packers

The Saints and the Packers are the two best teams in the NFC in my opinion, so I'll go ahead and predict they meet in the NFC Championship Game. These two teams actually met on "Sunday Night Football" back in September, and the Packers escaped the Mercedes-Benz Superdome with a 37-30 win. Rodgers didn't even need Adams, as Allen Lazard led all receivers with 146 yards and a touchdown, while Rodgers threw three scores. Brees also threw three scores but it was Kamara who kept New Orleans in the game, as he accounted for 197 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns. Will the return of Thomas be enough for the Saints to change the outcome this time around, or are the Packers destined to go to the Super Bowl after coming so close last year? Unfortunately, I have Brees retiring without winning another Super Bowl, as the Packers get back to the big game.


You've heard the phrase "defense wins championships," and the Rams have the best in the business. Their pass defense led the NFL in yards per attempt and passing touchdowns. They ranked second in sacks behind the Steelers, but now rank first if we include the playoffs. It will be fun to watch Davante Adams go up against Ramsey, but is this Rams team talented enough to upset the Packers? Green Bay is on a six-game win streak, and has won each game by seven or more points during that span. Additionally, Aaron Rodgers has covered the spread every time he has played the Rams and has only lost to them once. I had the Packers going to the Super Bowl in my first bracket, and I'll again take them to at least make the NFC Championship game.
My Projected score: Packers 28-20 Packers Cover The Spread

Complements Of HarryTheHat [ research ]
 
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wizard I Am with you all the way !!!!!

Well scratch TB. They’re out beings they host. Rams Saints or GB.
Yes I have the same bets on futures..ODDS TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (1/24/21)
ODDS TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (1/24/21)
TeamAmericanFractional
***** Kansas City Chiefs-1205/6


NFC CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS


ODDS TO WIN NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (1/24/21)
TeamAmericanFractional
*****Green Bay Packers+1608/5
*****New Orleans Saints+27511/4

 

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GREAT STUFF, Harry.........thank you for the write ups.

BOL with your plays, my friend.
 

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An NFL approach that if a dog of 7, or more, can run for 150 yards, or more, they usually cover.

This is not a trend, it is data.

I do not have backup link for this but have seen it over the years and it matters as a factor, not the only point of consideration to take the dog, you need to look at other factors, but I have found it to be solid.

To boot, I would expect the Browns to try to hold the ball and keep KC off the field (like everybody) but IMO Cleveland has the OL and RBs to do it in this spot.
 
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Thank You For Constructive comment Serbone very well appreciated !!!

An NFL approach that if a dog of 7, or more, can run for 150 yards, or more, they usually cover.

This is not a trend, it is data.

I do not have backup link for this but have seen it over the years and it matters as a factor, not the only point of consideration to take the dog, you need to look at other factors, but I have found it to be solid.

To boot, I would expect the Browns to try to hold the ball and keep KC off the field (like everybody) but IMO Cleveland has the OL and RBs to do it in this spot.
Thank You For Constructive comment Serbone very well appreciated
 

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