MistaFlava's NFL Divisional Playoffs ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (System Plays Inside)

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MistaFlava's 2020 NFL Football Record: 109-71-1 (+292.50 Units)

MistaFlava's 2020 NFL ATS (Regular) Record: 98-62-1 ATS (+308.50 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL O/U Record: 7-6 (+4.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL *Big Plays*: 4-3 ATS (-10.00 Units)

Things were not working well for me so I had to go back to pure capping and designing unique systems and working hours through the night to getting back to what got me successful in the first place. True capping.


NFL System

We got back on track with the System last week and the adjustments I was able to make after a shaky Week 14 where I kind of got lost in a few losses and played around a bit too much. Currently in a nice groove with these games and looking to take that into the final few weeks of the Regular Season which is not easy to do.

*ALL POSTED PLAYS LAST WEEK WERE INCLUDED IN MY OVERALL!

System Win % Update (Started Week 6)
*with only Games That Mattered (both teams) Week 17

Wildcard Weekend: 3-3 ATS (%)50


System Overall: 82-33 ATS (71%)

Regular Games: 64-25 ATS (72%)

Primetime Games: 17-8 ATS (68%)


System Win % Update (Started Week 6)
*Counting ALL GAMES Week 17 regardless of playoff impact

Wildcard Weekend: 3-3 ATS (50%)


System Overall: 86-39 ATS (69%)

Regular Games: 68-31 ATS (69%)

Primetime Games: 18-8 ATS (69%)



For those who don't know about my system yet I basically run some numbers with a bunch of different factors and intangibles and come up with 4 suggested lines for each game. If the LIVE Line 10 minutes before kickoff matches up and adds up with each one of my suggested lines it becomes a play. If the overall average combined line is 5.0+ in differential it becomes a FADE PLAY! There are several other factors involved but this is basically it.

*Disclaimer: I am posting every single play the last 6 weeks (since my system went live) under Version B which most were posted on here. Again I'd like to think my reputation is good enough for my readers/followers to know I'm posting facts here and trying to help people win money.


VERSION B



Week 6

Minnesota -3.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Washington +2
Denver +7.5
Tennessee -4
Detroit -3
Chicago +1.5

Cleveland +3
LA Rams -2.5

Arizona +1.5

7-3 ATS


Week 7


NY Giants +5
Carolina +7
Green Bay -3
Pittsburgh +1
Detroit +1
Washington -1
San Francisco +3
LA Rams -6.5

8-0 ATS


Week 8

NY Jets +20
Las Vegas +1
Pittsburgh +4
New England +4
Denver +3
Chicago +5.5
Philadelphia -10


6-1 ATS


Week 9


Green Bay -6
Jacksonville +7
Baltimore +1
Atlanta -4.5
NY Giants +3

Detroit +3
Tennessee -6
Arizona -6
NY Jets +9.5

7-2 ATS


Week 10


Washington +2.5
Jacksonville +13.5
Houston +4.5
Buffalo +3
Miami -1.5
Pittsburgh -6.5

Chicago +3.5

5-2 ATS


Week 11


Arizona +3
Cincinnati +1.5

New Orleans -3.5
Pittsburgh -10.5
Carolina +3

New England -2.5
NY Jets +10
Green Bay +2
Las Vegas +8
LA Rams +4.5


6-4 ATS


Week 12

Detroit +3
Tennessee +3
Cleveland -7
Miami -7
Carolina +3.5
New Orleans -16.5
San Francisco +5.5

Chicago +8
Philadelphia +6.5

6-3 ATS


Week 13

Jacksonville +10
New Orleans -2.5
Cincinnati +10.5
Cleveland +4
Las Vegas -7
Arizona +3
Philadelphia +8.5
New England +2
Denver +13
Pittsburgh -6
Buffalo +1.5


6-5 ATS


Week 14

New England +4.5
Arizona -3
Minnesota +7
Tennessee -7.5
Cincinnati +3
Kansas City -7
San Francisco -3

Philadelphia +7.5
LA Chargers -1
Detroit +9


5-5 ATS


Week 15

Minnesota -3
New England -1

Tennessee -8.5
Houston +7.5
Dallas +4
NY Jets +17
Arizona -6
Cleveland -6
Cincinnati +14.5


7-2 ATS


Week 16

New Orleans -6.5
Detroit +12
San Francisco +6
Las Vegas +2.5
NY Jets +6.5
Atlanta +11

Indianapolis -1
Baltimore -9.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Carolina -1
LA Chargers -2
Dallas +3

LA Rams +1.5
Green Bay -3
Buffalo -7


12-3 ATS


Week 17


Playoff Imp:
Buffalo +3.5
Playoff Imp:
Pittsburgh +10.5
Playoff Imp:
NY Giants +1.5
Playoff Imp:
LA Rams pk
Non-Playoff Imp:
Atlanta +7
Non-Playoff Imp:
Cincinnati +13.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
New England -3
Non-Playoff Imp:
Detroit +3
Non-Playoff Imp:
San Francisco +7.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Carolina +6
Non-Playoff Imp:
Kansas City +6.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Indianapolis -15.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Las Vegas -2.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Philadelphia +6.5

4-0 ATS (Playoff Implication Games for both teams)
4-6 ATS (Non-Playoff Implication Games)
8-6 ATS



Wildcard Weekend

Indianapolis +7
LA Rams +3

Tampa Bay -10
Baltimore -3.5
Chicago +11
Pittsburgh -5.5


3-3



86-39 ATS overall the last 11 weeks and if you bet $1100 (-110) on every game you would be up $43,100 on these plays alone. If you bet a simple $100 you would be up $4,310 For the high stakes players you would be up $431,000 betting $10k on each game.

***REMINDER: All plays will be posted 5-10 minutes prior to kickoff. This is due to the line I use being part of the system.

*If you have any questions shoot me a DM. I see them a lot better than I see posts on my thread. Sorry I am behind I will catch up later.
*PLEASE KEEP IN MIND this is the very first year of the system and there is no precedent when it comes to the NFL Playoffs so I've had to make adjustments on the fly.


HOPE EVERYONE AT THE RX IS STAYING SAFE AND HAVE A GREAT 2021!




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Here are your Suggested Lines for the NFC Divisional Game of the day!



LA Rams at Green Bay

Suggested Line 1: Green Bay -7.89
Suggested Line 2: Green Bay -8.12
Suggested Line 3: Green Bay -8.75
Suggested Line 4: Green Bay -8.71



The official System Play will be released around 10 minutes before scheduled kickoff this afternoon. See you all then!




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Saturday, January 16




NFC Divisional Playoffs



indexDivisional.jpg



Green Bay Packers -7 (10 Units)

The Green Bay Packers not only won the Golden Ticket of being the #1 seed in the NFC Conference for the remainder of the playoffs which means they host every game up to the Super Bowl but they also won the right to be the only team to get an extra week of rest and preparation. Did the Packers expect the Rams to be the team they would be playing? Probably not but my System picked the Rams to win last week and this week it has picked the Packers to win and cover the spread. The Rams pulled off an incredible win last week and they did it solely on defense but man are the injuries starting to pile up for them and I don't know that they can make it through another week of injuries. Jared Goff is going to be the quarterback again today but not by choice. He is still fresh off his thumb surgery and will have to really be careful to not get banged up since it's on his throwing hand. That should make this interesting. The Rams were able to play while ahead last week but there is a good chance they'll have to play from behind in this one and that changes everything. These two teams have not met since October of 2018 so there isn't much data from the current rosters but the Packers have been tremendous and most recently played a massive game at Lambeau versus the Titans as a -3 and won 40-14. The Packers and Aaron Rodgers are a different animal in games that matter. So much talk about Jalen Ramsey shutting down WR's but today he has arguably the best one in the game and what people forget is that Rodgers has other options. The Packers have 5 other players who caught at least 30 passes in 2020 and have 11 different players who caught Touchdown passes on the season. That's incredible. The Rams come into this game 0-4 ATS in their last four games coming off a game where they ran for 150+ rushing yards and they have a long history of misery versus the Packers. Green Bay comes into this game 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings with the Rams and the Favorite is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these teams. The Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Home Games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games played in January. Aaron Rodgers is 4-1 ATS in his last five Home Playoff Games and 5-2 ATS in his last seven playoff games as a Favorite. The Packers should dominate this game with the Rams running out of steam on offense and incapable of playing from behind.

Trend of the Game: Aaron Rodgers is 4-1 ATS in his last five Home Playoff Games.


Green Bay 34, LA Rams 6





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Here are your Suggested Lines for the AFC Divisional Playoff game today:



Baltimore at Buffalo

Suggested Line 1: Buffalo -5.75
Suggested Line 2: Buffalo -4.98
Suggested Line 3: Buffalo -6.05
Suggested Line 4: Buffalo -6.11


I will be posting the official System Play 10 minutes prior to scheduled kickoff time for this game. See you all then!




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might be a fade again like last week :think2:

better wait and see
 

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AFC Divisional Playoffs


indexDivisional.jpg


Buffalo Bills -2.5 (10 Units)

The conversation all week has been about Lamar Jackson versus Josh Allen and who the better quarterback has been so far in their young careers and who the better quarterback will be for the rest of their careers. Hard to say but Josh Allen in Buffalo seems like a fit made in heaven and so far it has been. My System was bang on last week when it picked the Colts to cover the spread against the Bills but this week it likes the Bills to play a much better game defensively and both win and cover this game. So much talk last week about the Colts running game and they didn't disappoint with 163 rushing yards against the Bills and one of the big reasons that game was even close to begin with but again I think we see a tighter run D tonight and I think the Bills will force Lamar to beat them in the air. Indianapolis had the #11 ranked running attack in the NFL coming into last week which shows you their balance and balance is a problem for the Bills. One dimensional offenses are NOT. The Baltimore Ravens come into this game ranked #32 in the NFL in passing yards per game. That's right. They are predictable and the Bills know exactly what's coming. We all saw the Ravens shut down the Tennessee Titans last week but can they do the same to this Buffalo offense that is averaging 31.3 points per game this season (#2 in the NFL)? I don't think so. The Bills have a lot more balance than the Ravens despite losing Zack Moss because his clone Devin Singletary is still there and the plethora of deep threat and slot receivers for the Bills is impressive. I think they'll make some big time stops on defense, they'll force some turnovers and they'll score off those turnovers. Under John Harbaugh the Ravens have been lethal on the road in the playoffs but that string of good luck ends tonight. The Home Team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between these teams. Despite not covering the spread last week against the Colts the Bills are still a crazy 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall and should get back on track in this game. They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight Home Games as a Favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a winning record on the season. Look back at all the games where the Bills allowed a ton of yards in their previous game and you'll see they always bounce back defensively. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games coming off a game where they allowed 350+ total yards of offense in their previous game. This is a massive event in Buffalo to host another home playoff game and Bills Mafia will once again be there to make some noise. Keep in mind how badly the Ravens struggle to move the ball in the air. It will be the difference in this game.

Trend of the Game: Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.


Buffalo 34, Baltimore 13





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