MistaFlava's NFL Conference Championship ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (System Plays Inside)

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Handicapping Machine
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MistaFlava's 2020 NFL Football Record: 113-71-1 (+332.50 Units)

MistaFlava's 2020 NFL ATS (Regular) Record: 102-62-1 ATS (+348.50 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL O/U Record: 7-6 (+4.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2020 NFL *Big Plays*: 4-3 ATS (-10.00 Units)

Things were not working well for me so I had to go back to pure capping and designing unique systems and working hours through the night to getting back to what got me successful in the first place. True capping.


NFL System

We got back on track with the System last week and the adjustments I was able to make after a shaky Week 14 where I kind of got lost in a few losses and played around a bit too much. Currently in a nice groove with these games and looking to take that into the final few weeks of the Regular Season which is not easy to do.

*ALL POSTED PLAYS LAST WEEK WERE INCLUDED IN MY OVERALL!


System Win % Update (Started Week 6)
*with only Games That Mattered (both teams) Week 17

Divisional Weekend: 4-0 ATS (100%)

Playoffs: 7-3 ATS (70%)


System Overall: 86-33 ATS (72%)

Regular Games: 67-25 ATS (73%)

Primetime Games: 19-8 ATS (70%)




System Win % Update (Started Week 6)
*Counting ALL GAMES Week 17 regardless of playoff impact

Divisional Weekend: 4-0 ATS (100%)

Playoffs: 7-3 ATS (70%)


System Overall: 90-39 ATS (70%)

Regular Games: 70-31 ATS (69%)

Primetime Games: 20-8 ATS (71%)



For those who don't know about my system yet I basically run some numbers with a bunch of different factors and intangibles and come up with 4 suggested lines for each game. If the LIVE Line 10 minutes before kickoff matches up and adds up with each one of my suggested lines it becomes a play. If the overall average combined line is 5.0+ in differential it becomes a FADE PLAY! There are several other factors involved but this is basically it.

*Disclaimer: I am posting every single play the last 6 weeks (since my system went live) under Version B which most were posted on here. Again I'd like to think my reputation is good enough for my readers/followers to know I'm posting facts here and trying to help people win money.


VERSION B



Week 6

Minnesota -3.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Washington +2
Denver +7.5
Tennessee -4
Detroit -3
Chicago +1.5

Cleveland +3
LA Rams -2.5

Arizona +1.5

7-3 ATS


Week 7


NY Giants +5
Carolina +7
Green Bay -3
Pittsburgh +1
Detroit +1
Washington -1
San Francisco +3
LA Rams -6.5

8-0 ATS


Week 8

NY Jets +20
Las Vegas +1
Pittsburgh +4
New England +4
Denver +3
Chicago +5.5
Philadelphia -10


6-1 ATS


Week 9


Green Bay -6
Jacksonville +7
Baltimore +1
Atlanta -4.5
NY Giants +3

Detroit +3
Tennessee -6
Arizona -6
NY Jets +9.5

7-2 ATS


Week 10


Washington +2.5
Jacksonville +13.5
Houston +4.5
Buffalo +3
Miami -1.5
Pittsburgh -6.5

Chicago +3.5

5-2 ATS


Week 11


Arizona +3
Cincinnati +1.5

New Orleans -3.5
Pittsburgh -10.5
Carolina +3

New England -2.5
NY Jets +10
Green Bay +2
Las Vegas +8
LA Rams +4.5


6-4 ATS


Week 12

Detroit +3
Tennessee +3
Cleveland -7
Miami -7
Carolina +3.5
New Orleans -16.5
San Francisco +5.5

Chicago +8
Philadelphia +6.5

6-3 ATS


Week 13

Jacksonville +10
New Orleans -2.5
Cincinnati +10.5
Cleveland +4
Las Vegas -7
Arizona +3
Philadelphia +8.5
New England +2
Denver +13
Pittsburgh -6
Buffalo +1.5


6-5 ATS


Week 14

New England +4.5
Arizona -3
Minnesota +7
Tennessee -7.5
Cincinnati +3
Kansas City -7
San Francisco -3

Philadelphia +7.5
LA Chargers -1
Detroit +9


5-5 ATS


Week 15

Minnesota -3
New England -1

Tennessee -8.5
Houston +7.5
Dallas +4
NY Jets +17
Arizona -6
Cleveland -6
Cincinnati +14.5


7-2 ATS


Week 16

New Orleans -6.5
Detroit +12
San Francisco +6
Las Vegas +2.5
NY Jets +6.5
Atlanta +11

Indianapolis -1
Baltimore -9.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Carolina -1
LA Chargers -2
Dallas +3

LA Rams +1.5
Green Bay -3
Buffalo -7


12-3 ATS


Week 17


Playoff Imp:
Buffalo +3.5
Playoff Imp:
Pittsburgh +10.5
Playoff Imp:
NY Giants +1.5
Playoff Imp:
LA Rams pk
Non-Playoff Imp:
Atlanta +7
Non-Playoff Imp:
Cincinnati +13.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
New England -3
Non-Playoff Imp:
Detroit +3
Non-Playoff Imp:
San Francisco +7.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Carolina +6
Non-Playoff Imp:
Kansas City +6.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Indianapolis -15.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Las Vegas -2.5
Non-Playoff Imp:
Philadelphia +6.5

4-0 ATS (Playoff Implication Games for both teams)
4-6 ATS (Non-Playoff Implication Games)
8-6 ATS



Wildcard Weekend

Indianapolis +7
LA Rams +3

Tampa Bay -10
Baltimore -3.5
Chicago +11
Pittsburgh -5.5


3-3 ATS


Divisional

Green Bay -7
Buffalo -2.5
Cleveland +8.5
Tampa Bay +2.5

4-0 ATS


90-39 ATS overall the last 12 weeks and if you bet $1100 (-110) on every game you would be up $47,100 on these plays alone. If you bet a simple $100 you would be up $4,710 For the high stakes players you would be up $471,000 betting $10k on each game.

***REMINDER: All plays will be posted 5-10 minutes prior to kickoff. This is due to the line I use being part of the system.

*If you have any questions shoot me a DM. I see them a lot better than I see posts on my thread. Sorry I am behind I will catch up later.
*PLEASE KEEP IN MIND this is the very first year of the system and there is no precedent when it comes to the NFL Playoffs so I've had to make adjustments on the fly.


HOPE EVERYONE AT THE RX IS STAYING SAFE!





:toast:
 

Dain Bramaged
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Finish it off in Flava Flav fashion. I'll leave the broom here for ya :103631605

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Handicapping Machine
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Here are your Suggested Lines for the NFC Championship Game today:



Tampa Bay at Green Bay

Suggested Line 1: Green Bay -4.89
Suggested Line 2: Green Bay -5.32
Suggested Line 3: Green Bay -5.76
Suggested Line 4: Green Bay -5.01



The official System Play will be posted here 10 minutes prior to schedule kickoff. See you all then!




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I’d be curious to know what your system line was and play was the first time each team played earlier in the season
 

MLB

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Handicapper
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Good luck MistaFlava. Looks like GB will be the play.
 

New member
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I’d be curious to know what your system line was and play was the first time each team played earlier in the season

his picks from week 6 are in the first post on this thread..doesn't look like there was a play so maybe it didn't fit the system?
 

Handicapping Machine
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adding...



Sunday, January 24




NFC Championship Game


indexNFC.jpg



Green Bay Packers -3 (10 Units)

The Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are going head to head to decide the NFC Conference representative at the Super Bowl in two weeks and my System is picking the Packers to win and cover this spread. My system was on Tampa Bay last week to win as an underdog in New Orleans and came through huge but this week it likes the Packers. The Bucs absolutely destroyed the Packers in their regular season meeting but for anyone hanging on to that I hope you didn't hang on to the fact that the Saints had won both games over the Bucs in the regular season because that didn't exactly work last week. Antonio Brown is OUT for this game and he had become not only a reliable pass catcher and a comfortable for one for Tom Brady but he was also a very good blocker, great route runner and he drew some attention in the secondary. Now they don't have that option. Also out for the Bucs is Antoine Winfield Jr who had become a big part of the Bucs secondary as a rookie. Any little gap or edge you give Aaron Rodgers he will take it and I don't see this game being particularly close. The Home Team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams and the Buccaneers come into this game 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played in January despite the win and spread cover last week. There is a big difference between playing in Tampa Bay and playing in Green Bay and I'm sure the conditions, although they should not be a problem for Brady, are going to impact the team in general. Also good to keep in mind from the first meeting is that despite the lop-sided final score the Packers were not playing as well back then as they are playing right now. Had it not been for all the turnovers their defense forced last week in New Orleans who knows how that game would have ended with the Bucs outyarding the Saints by only 22 total yards. Green Bay comes into this game 5-0 ATS in their last five Home Games versus a team with a winning record away from home and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six Home Playoff games. The Packers are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine Playoff Games overall and an impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of January. Green Bay is just way too good at home, they are way too good in their balanced offense and Tampa Bay has reached their limit. The Packers are going to the Super Bowl and their defense will have a good game.

Trend of the Game: Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last six Home Playoff Games.


Green Bay 31, Tampa Bay 13




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Handicapping Machine
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It wasn't meant to be today! Here are the Suggested Lines for tonight's AFC Championship Game:



Buffalo at Kansas City

Suggested Line 1: Buffalo -0.75
Suggested Line 2: Kansas City -3.34
Suggested Line 3: Kansas City -3.75
Suggested Line 4: Kansas City -1.95



This is the first time all playoffs the four Suggested Lines don't align. Unfortunately not going to force a play, will instead analyze this and see what kind of data I can grab from this weekend's games to be used next year and in the Super Bowl. Enjoy the game everyone!




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