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seer
Joined
Jun 23, 2006
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there are reasons why i dont post a record. i do many prop plays that overlap each other or allow a hedge.
so allow me to make bets that illustrate that on this game.
all things considered equal. i would take kc to the house. ml. 1q 1h and game.
however, this game is nothing but equal. everytime i start to write my pros and cons for this game
there are so many pros for kc but one big one.
that is mahomes.
i really believe that the media wants to make you sweep this injury he has (turf toe) under the carpet
i looked up this injury online and they liken this injury to the gas pedal on a car. if you cant press on it - it doesnt go.
on oct 19th these teams met on monday night. how did kc win? as i mentioned many times this game was won against
a shoddy bills d. helaire had 161 yds on the ground on 26 carries. mahomes had 36 the team had 245 on the ground.
i cant say that the bills run d is better but with a hobbling qb they wont have to stack the box.
now i am looking at the player props rushing yds being offered to me
helaire is listed at 36.5 and mahomes is 14.5 under -125.
for a running qb this is all the info i need to say that this turf toe injury is serious. you would at least expect the prop to be at the same or near? but the books is offering u waaaayyyy less.
jury says to me. mahomes is hurt wayyyyyy more than the media downplays.

caveat emptor this is still the world champs..
so....

bills +3 8*
bills ml +135 2*
now here is why i dont keep a win loss record
tribet either team win 1-5 pts +225
bills and kc win 1-6 pts +400 bills kc +350 both equal for 2* each
bills tm ttl 25.5 over 2*
bills alt -3.5 +162
 
Joined
Apr 9, 2007
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there are reasons why i dont post a record. i do many prop plays that overlap each other or allow a hedge.
so allow me to make bets that illustrate that on this game.
all things considered equal. i would take kc to the house. ml. 1q 1h and game.
however, this game is nothing but equal. everytime i start to write my pros and cons for this game
there are so many pros for kc but one big one.
that is mahomes.
i really believe that the media wants to make you sweep this injury he has (turf toe) under the carpet
i looked up this injury online and they liken this injury to the gas pedal on a car. if you cant press on it - it doesnt go.
on oct 19th these teams met on monday night. how did kc win? as i mentioned many times this game was won against
a shoddy bills d. helaire had 161 yds on the ground on 26 carries. mahomes had 36 the team had 245 on the ground.
i cant say that the bills run d is better but with a hobbling qb they wont have to stack the box.
now i am looking at the player props rushing yds being offered to me
helaire is listed at 36.5 and mahomes is 14.5 under -125.
for a running qb this is all the info i need to say that this turf toe injury is serious. you would at least expect the prop to be at the same or near? but the books is offering u waaaayyyy less.
jury says to me. mahomes is hurt wayyyyyy more than the media downplays.

caveat emptor this is still the world champs..
so....

bills +3 8*
bills ml +135 2*
now here is why i dont keep a win loss record
tribet either team win 1-5 pts +225
bills and kc win 1-6 pts +400 bills kc +350 both equal for 2* each
bills tm ttl 25.5 over 2*
bills alt -3.5 +162

Thanks for posting! Best of luck!
 

seer
Joined
Jun 23, 2006
Messages
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Tokens
teaser bills +10 with the over 47.5 - since this wont be a game won on the ground this time to chew out the clock.
26 to win 20
ov 54.5 8*
 

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