Saturday Service Play Thread 03/13/2021

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Sacramento Kings {A**

win on Indiana yesterday

Worlds Worst Picker

Ohio St
Texas
Illinois

We play:
Michigan
Ok st
Iowa

Dave Cokin NHL Best Bet

D% Philadelphia Flyers (-120)

Insider Sports Report

Premier Picks® For 03/13/21

5* Western Kentucky -1 over North Texas (NCAAB)
Range: +1 to -3

3* Alabama -3 over Tennessee (NCAAB)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

3* Sacramento +4 over Atlanta (NBA)
Range: +6 to +2

What happen to posting consensushotline?

Big Al

Big East GOY - Creighton

NHL GOW- Philly Flyers

MAC GOY- Iona

Dave Cokin FCS Spring Football Play

VMI -6'

Bob Balfe

Witch St -4

Tx -2

14-7 since 3/1/21

Wayne Root

Gold standard- Alabama
Pinnacle- Georgia Tech

sailfish said:

Big Al

Big East GOY - Creighton

NHL GOW- Philly Flyers

MAC GOY- Iona

Click to expand...

additional plays

NCAAB
Texas -1.5

NBA
Portland -4.5
Indiana +6.5

Docs cappers? Bondi? Burns? TIA!

Kyle Marley

UFC

Edwards (-250) vs. Muhammad (+210): Muhammad by decision

Muhammad didn't get a full camp for this matchup because he is taking it on short notice and fought just a month ago. Both guys are on a roll and I expect a technical fight. Edwards has turned into a pretty good wrestler, but I still have to give that edge to Muhammad. I also think he is the one pushing the pace and moving forward. Edwards is the better striker, and he has more power on the feet. Muhammad pushes a faster pace and he can win the striking based on volume and he can also mix in his wrestling. I think this should be closer to a 50-50 line, so I am going to lean with the underdog.

Misha Cirkunov (-135) vs. Ryan Spann (+115): Cirkunov by decision

Spann is going to be the taller and longer fighter, but that is really the only edge I can give him. I think Cirkunov is the better striker, wrestler and grappler. I favor him anywhere this fight goes. I also think this is a step down from his last two fights and it is a step up for Spann after his last two. Give me Cirkunov to win a clear decision.

Ben Rothwell (-110) vs. Philipe Lins (-110): Rothwell by decision (FIGHT POSPTPONED)

I am not a believer in Lins at all. I wasn't impressed with him before the UFC and now he has had two bad UFC performances. I think he can win this fight with a knockout or even just an even with a decision. However, I think Rothwell is more dangerous everywhere and he is much more experienced.

Angela Hill (-380) vs. Ashley Yoder (+310): Hill by decision

This is a rematch from 2017 in which Hill won a unanimous decision. She is the one who has improved more as well, so I agree with her being a decent-size favorite. Hill is the better striker, but Yoder is the better grappler so she can win this fight on the mat. I don't think Yoder will just accept a striking battle because it likely won't go well for her. Hill should win more times than she loses, so she is the pick.

Manel Kape (-130) vs. Matheus Nicolau Pereira (+110): Pereira by decision

Pereira is making his return to the UFC, and I think he is the more well-rounded fighter. Kape is primarily a striker, but he lost his UFC debut because he was too inactive. Inactivity is my biggest pet peeve with fighters these days and for that reason I am going to take Pereira. I think he is a good striker as well and I don't think he will sit back and pick his spots as much as Kape. I also think he has a decent edge on the mat, so give me Pereira for the upset.

Darren Stewart (-175) vs. Eryk Anders (+155): Anders by decision

These are similar fighters and I think this is closer to a 50-50 fight. I don't see either guy having any real edge and it will probably be a slower-paced striking match for the most part. I think this will be an evenly paced and skilled fight and when I think it is closer to even, I always want the underdog.

JJ Aldrich (-145) vs. Cortney Casey (+125): Casey by decision

I am going to take Casey because I think this fight mainly takes place on the feet and she is the higher-paced striker and maybe more technical as well. Her biggest issue is her takedown defense and I think it would be smart of Aldrich to look for those. I don't think she is a good enough wrestler to take control of the fight, so the underdog is the pick.

Rani Yahya (-300) vs. Ray Rodriguez (+250): Yahya by decision

Rodriguez got submitted in 39 seconds in his UFC debut and now he is getting an even better grappler. He is going to need to keep this fight on the feet and I don't see Yayha complying. I think this probably hits the mat one time and ends shortly afterward.

Nasrat Haqparast (-400) vs Rafa Garcia (+320): Haqparast by decision

Garcia is making a late-notice UFC debut Saturday with his perfect 12-0 record. He looks like a decent fighter and might have some success in the UFC. This is a tough matchup because he looks like he will be a step behind Haqparast everywhere. I expect this fight to mainly play out on the feet and Haqparast should be the faster and more active striker. Garcia has a big overhand right that he could land, but he probably needs to get this fight to the mat and lock up a submission for the upset. I think Haqparast gets him on points or gets a late TKO.

Charles Jourdain (-250) vs. Marcelo Rojo (+210): Jourdain by TKO

Rojo is the better grappler and he is a finisher. He can land something heavy on the feet as well but Jourdain is going to be the better and more dangerous striker. If Rojo can get ahold of Jourdain, I think he can have success in the clinch and on the mat. But I agree that Jourdain should be the favorite so I will pick him outright.

Jonathan Martinez (-280) vs. Davey Grant (+240): Martinez by decision

Grant is going to have to get this fight to the mat to win and I don't think he can do that consistently. If he can get takedowns, he is live for a submission or to win two rounds with top control. I think this fight mainly takes place on the feet and Martinez has all the advantages there.

Gloria de Paula (-160) vs. Jinh Yu Frey (+140): de Paula by decision

De Paula is making her UFC debut and I think it's a good matchup for her. Frey is a decent striker and the more experienced fighter, but she is very inactive and throws one shot at a time. Conversely, de Paula puts together combinations every time she engages. She also looks like more dangerous striker and this should be a striking match. Give me de Paula to win possibly every round on volume and this is probably the last we see of Frey.

Matthew Semelsberger (-130) vs. Jason Witt (+110): Semelsberger by TKO

Witt is a decent wrestler, but I think that is the only way he wins. He needs to get the fight to the mat and keep top control or try to grab a submission. I think he is at a big disadvantage on the feet, and he might get knocked out if he can't get the fight to the ground. Semelsberger looks like a decent wrestler himself, so I think he can stuff takedowns.

Ben Burns
Ohio State

Matt Fargo
J* MWC Tournament Game of the Year
San Diego st

Stephen Nover

Tourney Total/Yr

Ok St/Tex under 145

Howard Eskin

michigan
oklahoma St.
Creighton
Florida St

Godfatherlocks

*** top rated B000 unit picks ***


#1 - Tennessee Volunteers +4 (ncaab)


#2 - Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5 (ncaab)


#3 - Arkansas Razorbacks -3.5 (ncaab)


#4 - Texas Longhorns -2.5 (ncaab)


#5 - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +4.5 (ncaab)

Brian Bitler

I* CBB Executive Order

Florida State -4 (-107)