Delta Downs 04-14-2021

DED 04-14-2021

Another card of very tough races. Hopefully can catch a few prices. If off-track, then expect an outside bias.
Meet finishes this week, FYI when this track first dries after being sealed it tends to be extremely speed favoring and post-neutral.


race #1 - 6.5f
#1 7-2 BIG POWER RED
#9 9-5 RACE CRAFT
#3 5-1 PIPES AND DRUMS
#6 20-1 THE BIG IRISHMAN - exotic booster, trainer with $2.47 ROI is in the money 78% with MSW

race #2 - 5f
... extremely wide open, inspect all
#7 6-1 I'M ALL MIXED UP
#6 2-1 MAJESTIC EDGE - logical, slop+, drops
#9 4-1 MATT'S PRIDE - jock sticks
#10 12-1 WRINKLED ROSE - bomb alert, trainer can bring layoff runners ready

race #3 - 6.5f
... ignore the morning line, it's all wrong ...
#10 20-1 BACK INTHAT ACTION - was likely supposed to be the 9/5 ML-fav and not the #9
#4 9-2 SASSY SUE'S BAND - nightmare trip in debut and still finished 4th
#2 12-1 CUSTOM FOR ALY
#6 15-1 IBEGTODIFFER - Alonzo runners shipped from FG 99% suck, but this one could accidentally be in right spot.

race #4 - 7.5f
#5 6-1 CLOCKED IN TYME - filly has balls
#3 9-2 CHARMING FLIRT - logical heavy fav
#4 7-2 JEWELED CROWN
#8 10-1 SWEET MILAGROS - can't ignore

race #5 - 5f
... cheap maiden, don't be afraid to play bombs if they look good.
#5 4-1 G KATE
#4 7-2 QUICK HEAT - Paulina could get her first win back
#9 15-1 MISTY MALICE
#8 20-1 ZUMBERTA

race #6 - 6.5f
#6 4-1 SY MICHAEL
#7 5-1 SMITTYS PATRIARCH
#3 2-1 JANETS JAY JAY

... rest to follow if and when scratches come out...!

race #7 - 5f
#8 9-5 TIGERBEACH
#7 12-1 ROYAL REALITY
#5 10-1 ZMOR ARISTOCAT

race #8 - 6.5f
#10 3-1 HIGH CRUISE
#7 9-5 GOTTA GO
#11 6-1 CAYMANS COBRA

race #9 - 5f
#1 6-1 ADIOS CARLOS
#9 9-5 PAPA BRO
#6 12-1 LOVE TO SINGH - exotic booster

race #10 - 8.5f
#9 9-2 BUXTERHOOTER
#7 7-5 CANTRELL HILL
#6 8-1 MOMENT
#3 12-1 THREE RUN HOMER


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
Good luck to all!

Good luck Prof.

Lt1 said:

Good luck Prof.

Click to expand...

Thanks, Lt. Same to you!

hey prof see you nailed race 5 cold tri . ???

To race 3 - think he transposed the ml numbers as the #9 was 37-1 in the same race as the #10 last out . It goes to show you how
these small mistakes spreads over to the markets overseas and bookies as The #10 was actually 9-2 and the #9 was 9/4 with 2 hours to
jump time. To be fair I actually don't believe that the linesmaker could have made such a terrible mistake , just a slip of the pen .

anyway hope the rest of the day goes great tri payed almost 100.00 ???

great capping

I'm sure you hit the nail on the head, Yes.
Thanks for the insight.