Forum: Baseball Forum - Post your picks or discuss anything related to betting MLB here.

Thread: MLB information, angles, etc

  1. #551  
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    "Another pretty quiet day for sharp action. It's been a real drought for content the past two weeks.

    Thankfully the algorithms and Book Needs have been there. Likely an ugly Book Need today (GIF). We'll see where it lands and if it qualifies. Just over the line right now.







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  2. #552  
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    "Book Needs...

    Low on Baltimore +224 (1st 5 +206)

    High Level
    Full: 19-18 +9.9u
    1st Half: 21-12 +15.4u
    L5 Yrs Full: +298.5u

    Low Level
    Full: 34-40 +3.6u
    1st Half: 29-34 +4.8u
    *DBacks -11.2 units as Low Level"
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  3. #553  
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    "Highest public concentrations...

    Atlanta -227 & MIA/CIN OV8.5 (-117)

    Washington -5.5 & KC/AZ OV41"
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  4. #554  
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    Friday, August 20 recap:

    It was a good day for faders.

    H: MLB parlay lost. A rare 0-3 run from H. Though after the 65% winners run he was on he was - and is still - due for some regression, sooner or later. Nobody is going to keep winning at a rate of 65% with the type of picks he makes.

    Angle #1: Seattle +168: loss.

    MLB algorithms: went 0-4 after a hot 37-16-2 run. Were & are still also due for some regression.

    Book needs: the aforementioned fugly Orioles 1H & G: 0-2. They are on a 16 game losing run now.

    Highest public concentrations...MLB...Atlanta -227 & MIA/CIN OV8.5 (-117): win, loss, 1-1.

    Highest public concentrations...NFL...Washington -5.5 & KC/AZ OV41: loss, loss, 0-2 (2-0 fading the public).

    S: NFL forum lost with Washington -5.5 & won with CFL Calgary + the points: 1-1.

    On to Saturnday, August 21.
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  5. #555  
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    "MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 33-42 for +1.1u

    LA Angels +117
    CLE Tickets 64%
    CLE Money 76%
    RLM: LAA +130 to +117

    I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."


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  6. #556  
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    "Highest public concentrations...

    NY Yankees -221 & SEA/HOU OV9 (-105)

    Pittsburgh -6 & BAL/CAR UN35.5

    Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."




    -------------------------------------------




    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    "Past success is no guarantee of future success"
    "Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


    "Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
    “Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
    "I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

    “…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”



    -------------------------------------



    Free winners and keeping the touts honest thread...exposing the touts
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183019
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183832


    Free "Winners. Want to know who's winning at sports betting. Look here":
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1179690


    Secrets to winning at gambling:
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143182
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...887&highlight=


    "Won 200 units from Dec.19 thru Feb/20.":
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...034&highlight=

    "Responsible Gaming"..."Need help"?:
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183748


    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  7. #557  
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    "Algorithms, including v2 fade is now 37-19-3 the L59...

    Be cautious of regression after such a strong run...

    1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

    1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

    1st 5 (22-21 -2.1u) WAS/MIL UN5 (-119)

    Game (37-31 +1.8) WAS/MIL UN9 (-113)

    Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"



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  8. #558  
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    Good luck today, X!
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  9. #559  
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    X/Files.......BOL with all your action today buddy........indy
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  10. #560  
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    Thanks guys. Have an awesome weekend!

    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  11. #561  
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    "S" has a UFC pick with writeup, & his record in this sport, +17 units overall (@ 2 units each), is pasted below:



    UFC Vegas 34
    Jared Cannonier (Inside the Distance) +187 over Kelvin Gastelum


    Pinnacle +165 BET365 +187 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnline +170Bookmaker N/A

    Posted at 4:00 PM EST.

    UFC Vegas 34 - UFC APEX - Las Vegas, NV

    Jared Cannonier ITD +187 over Kelvin Gastelum

    10:45 PM EST. This should be a violent clash between middleweight contenders, although if the line movement is any indication, the market has taken a side in this fight. At open, Kelvin Gastelum was a near 2-1 underdog, but that line has come down steadily since then, as he's just a fraction of that price today. Why?

    A breakdown of Xs and Ox would suggest that Gastelum's superior wrestling ability will give him the edge and could possibly negate the heavy hands of Jared Cannonier. However, we don't see it that way at all. Gastelum is a tough fighter, but to ask him to stay away from the barrages of punches and kicks that Cannonier is going to fire off is a tough ask. In a 25 minute fight, the “Killa Gorilla" is likely to get his. A standup war in the smaller UFC Apex Octagon will not go well for Gastelum.

    Both of these fighters are coming off losses to Robert Whittaker, but it does not take long to see that Gastelum is on a rough slide with just one win in his last five trips to the Octagon. While the quality of his opposition has been tough (Israel Adesanya, Darren Till and Whittaker), Gastelum has not been able to take that next step. Hell, his title shot with Adesanya back in April of 2019 was built off the back of a two fight winning streak where he was fed what remained of Michael Bisping and defeated the aged Ronald Souza. Both fighters were great in their time but by the time Gastelum got to them, not so much. The 1-4 slide since his win over Souza suggests as much.

    Cannonier was slated to face Paulo Costa, but that dude was pulled from this fight on June 4 for undisclosed reasons. With over two months since the change of opponent, we doubt there will be any sort of letdown or surprises thrown at the "Killa Gorilla" that he can't handle. Since moving down to middleweight from the 205 LBS division, Cannonier is 3-1, with his only loss coming to Whittaker last time out. As we've seen over the years, there is no shame in losing to "Bobby Knuckles." Oddsmakers agreed, as Cannonier was pencilled in as a considerable favorite at open and now he's not. Rather than lay the lumber here, we are going to trust that the "Killa Gorilla" is going to be able to get his hands on Gastelum. If he does, this fight is not going to see the judge's scorecards.


    Season Record
    2006 3-8-0 (-4.00)
    2007 32-38-1 (+36.00)
    2008 19-43-0 (0.00)
    2009 4-14-1 (-13.00)
    2010 21-27-2 (-2.00)
    2011 15-26-0 (-11.00)
    2012 10-14-0 (0.00)
    2013 11-26-0 (-17.00)
    2016 6-10-0 (-3.00)
    2017 1-1-0 (0.00)
    2018 0-2-0 (-2.00)
    2019 23-11-0 (+35.00)
    2020 40-50-0 (+10.00)
    2021 19-33-0 (-12.00)



    ----------------------------------------------




    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.
    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  12. #562  
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    "Known Bettor Alert

    A "known" bettor placed 147% above their average wager on Gastelum +129 over Cannonier (LJP 0/0)

    League: UFC"


    ---------------------------------------


    A known bettor refers to a sharp.

    Going head to head with S, sort of.



    -----------------------------------------




    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.



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  13. #563  
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    H from under 30 minutes ago:

    "Manny Pacquiao - Yordenis Ugas
    Total – FT – Boxing Matches
    Under 10.5 (Rounds)

    +182 Pinnacle"
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  14. #564  
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    "Here's someone dropping a bomb today on a 42 year old fighter. A "recreational" bettor just placed...

    $903K on Pacquiao -361 over Ugas to win $250K"

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  15. #565  
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    Pound that Keyboard with your meat X

    Let’s get past all this stuff and get ya on board Streets total system

    PM for details
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  16. #566  
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    Saturday, August 21 recap:

    S went 3-0 in football CFL + NFL (see NFL forum). He's 2-2 -0.14 & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 8-3 +9.70 units overall in football YTD.

    S lost with UFC +187 pick.

    A "known" bettor lost with +129 UFC bet.

    H continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) to a rare 0-4 run L4 with a loss on
    Pacquiao u 12.5 +186. Going into yesterday he was 52-31-1 (62.65%), his last 84 picks, +18.20 units, since May 18/21. And overall 657-556-21 +79.67 UNITS at just one unit per pick.

    The "recreational" square bettor who placed...$903K on Pacquiao -361 lost. Faders at + money won big.

    Angle #1 LA Angels +117 lost.

    MLB algos on a 37-19-3 run the L59 continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) going 0-2.

    Highest public concentrations...the public went 3-0-1 on "public Saturday".

    On to Sunday, August 22. BOL.




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  17. #567  
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    "MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 33-43 for +0.1u

    Orioles +147
    ATL Tickets 81%
    ATL Money 87%
    RLM: BAL +156 to +147

    I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."


    ---------------------------


    The O's are on a 0-17 run. LOL.
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  18. #568  
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    "Algorithms, including v2 fade now 37-21-3 the L62...

    Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.

    1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

    1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

    1st 5 (22-22 -3.1u) PIT/STL OV4.5 (-108), NYM/LAD OV4.5 (-108)

    Game (37-32 +0.7)

    Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"






    -------------------------------------------




    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    "Past success is no guarantee of future success"
    "Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


    "Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
    “Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
    "I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

    “…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”



    -------------------------------------



    Free winners and keeping the touts honest thread...exposing the touts
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183019
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183832


    Free "Winners. Want to know who's winning at sports betting. Look here":
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1179690


    Secrets to winning at gambling:
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143182
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...887&highlight=


    "Won 200 units from Dec.19 thru Feb/20.":
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...034&highlight=

    "Responsible Gaming"..."Need help"?:
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183748

    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  19. #569  
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    "Highest public concentrations...

    (MLB) Atlanta -161 & WAS/MIL OV9 (-113)

    (NFL) Cleveland -4.5 & NYG/CLE OV35

    Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."



    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  20. #570  
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    As of about 15 minutes ago H is on:

    "979 SFG -09 Dimes"

    Starting soon.
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  21. #571  
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    Saturday, August 21 recap:

    S went 3-0 in football CFL + NFL (see NFL forum). He's 2-2 -0.14 & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 8-3 +9.70 units overall in football YTD.

    S lost with UFC +187 pick.

    A "known" bettor lost with +129 UFC bet.

    H continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) to a rare 0-4 run L4 with a loss on
    Pacquiao u 12.5 +186. Going into yesterday he was 52-31-1 (62.65%), his last 84 picks, +18.20 units, since May 18/21. And overall 657-556-21 +79.67 UNITS at just one unit per pick.

    The "recreational" square bettor who placed...$903K on Pacquiao -361 lost. Faders at + money won big.

    Angle #1 LA Angels +117 lost.

    MLB algos on a 37-19-3 run the L59 continued regressing (as warned about yesterday) going 0-2.

    Highest public concentrations...the public went 3-0-1 on "public Saturday".

    On to Sunday, August 22. BOL.




    Sunday, August 22 recap:

    S won again with his Sunday LAC +6 NFL pick, for a 4-0 football weekend. He's 3-2 +1.86 units & 6-1 +9.84 units YTD in those leagues. 9-3 +11.70 units overall in football YTD.

    Angle #1 Orioles +147 lost (for their 18th straight loss!).

    MLB algos on a 37-21-3 run were 1-1.

    Highest public concentrations...were 0-2 in NFL & 2-0 in MLB.

    H won with SF -109 ML.

    On to Monday, August 23. BOL.

    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  22. #572  
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    From TSP daily briefing Monday August 23/21:



    material early sharp buying...



    1. toronto +100 (mlb)
    2. getafe/sevilla un2 (-118) (spain’s la liga soccer)



    **at the 500 selection mark, the performance of early sharp buys exceeded variance, thereby demonstrating a level of confidence that esb’s would be a +ev angle. However, i would strongly advise only those with a disciplined bankroll management system use esb’s for wagering. Due to the fact there could be as many as 35 in a given week, it could lend itself to periods of extreme volatility.**





    my wagering strategy


    i will continue playing any primary & secondary angles, any ljp 2u’s and higher, my mlb totals algorithm plays (outside 1st inning v2.0), and any book needs. If i change my strategy at any time, i will change the color of the text in this section to blue so it catches your eyes. Otherwise, this is my wagering plan until further notice.


    Tsp daily briefing wagers

    pass

    that’ll do it for me today. I hope you have a wonderful day and good luck in your action!




    ................................................





    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  23. #573  
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    Angle #1:

    "MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 33-44 for -0.9u

    TEX +252
    BOS Tickets 70%
    BOS Money 91%
    RLM: TEX +279 to +252

    I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  24. #574  
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    Released about 77 minutes ago:

    H: "910 OAK -125 South Point"
    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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  25. #575  
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    "Algorithms, including v2 fade now 38-22-3 the L63...

    Been a great run, caution advised.

    1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

    1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

    1st 5 (23-23 -3.2u) SEA/OAK OV4.5 (+105)

    Game (37-32 +0.7)

    Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"


    Be well, live long & prosper! "What's the correct response to forum trolls": http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1142443
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