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Thread: MLB information, angles, etc

  1. #601  
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    "Algorithms, including v2 fade now 40-23-3 the L66...

    Sorry, nothing doing today. Both SF/NYM and WAS/MIA were close, but no cigar! Back Friday!

    1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

    1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

    1st 5 (25-24 -2.2u)

    Game (37-32 +0.7)

    Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"


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  2. #602  
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    "Book Needs

    Low on Baltimore +106 (1st 5 -102)

    High Level
    Full: 19-18 +9.9u
    1st Half: 21-12 +15.4u
    L5 Yrs Full: +298.5u

    Low Level
    Full: 36-46 +0.8u
    1st Half: 31-40 +1.3u

    ...
    BAL & AZ are -26.5 units as Low Level"



    ----------------------------------------------



    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"

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  3. #603  
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    Highest public concentrations...

    ...LA Angels -127 & NYY/OAK OV8.5 (-106)

    ...Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."
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  4. #604  
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    "MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 34-45 for -0.4u

    Baltimore +106
    LAA Tickets 91%
    LAA Money 89%
    RLM: BAL +141 to +106"

    I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."


    Hope someone else saw this great nugget
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  5. #605  
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    Nope I missed it Vinny. If I had read this I would have pulled the trigger and put down some money on the O's. Good shit X.
    "Just cover baby!"~Al Davis gambling relative. "Winners crack jokes and losers just say deal the cards." "Chance favors a prepared mind."
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  6. #606  
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    "Book Needs

    Low on Arizona +135 (1st 5 +110)

    High Level
    Full: 19-18 +9.9u
    1st Half: 21-12 +15.4u
    L5 Yrs Full: +298.5u

    Low Level
    Full: 37-46 +1.9u
    1st Half: 32-40 +2.3u

    ...BAL & AZ are -24.4 units as Low Level"


    --------------------------------


    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    "Past success is no guarantee of future success"
    "Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


    "Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
    “Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
    "I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

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  7. #607  
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    Winsday, August 25 recap:

    A highly profitable day for followers of the sharper info &/or faders of the public.

    Angle #1 Twins +147 ML: win

    MLB algos on a 39-23-3 run the L65...had MIL/CIN UN4 (-105): win

    Highest public concentrations...LA Angels -210 & LAD/SD OV8 (-102): Loss & pending (1-0 in 5th).

    Book Needs:
    Low on Baltimore +178 (1st 5 +195): win, loss, profitable 1-1 at + money.

    Book Needs: Low on Twins +141 (1st 5 +120): win, win, 2-0 at plus money.

    H on
    CWS/TOR under 4.5 -20: win.
    H prior to Monday was 53-32-1 (61.63%), his last 86 picks, +18.20 units, since May 18/21, daily best bet thread. One unit per pick allowed, all sports combined. Regression was & is still due, sooner or later, regarding that run.
    H prior to Monday was overall: 658-557-21 +79.67 UNITS

    MLB writeup thread: 0-2.

    On to Thursday, August 26. BOL.






    Thursday, August 26 recap:

    H had MLB NYY -106 ML: win
    H prior to Thursday H was 54-34-1 (61.36%), his last 89 picks, +16.95 units, since May 18/21 daily best bet thread. One unit per pick allowed, all sports combined. Regression was & is still due, sooner or later, regarding that run.
    H prior to Winsday was overall: 658-559-21 +77.42 units

    Angle #1 had Baltimore +106: win

    MLB algorithms: nothing doing. Back Friday.

    Book Needs: Low on Baltimore +106 (1st 5 -102): win, win. 2-0.

    Highest public concentrations......LA Angels -127 & NYY/OAK OV8.5 (-106): loss, win. 1-1.

    Book Needs: Low on Arizona +135 (1st 5 +110): win, win. 2-0.

    On to Friday, August 27. BOL.



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  8. #608  
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    "MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 35-45 for +0.7u

    Twins +119
    MIL Tickets 80%
    MIL Money 86%
    RLM: Twins +125 to +119

    I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."
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  9. #609  
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    "Algorithms, including v2 fade now 40-23-3 the L66...

    Been a great run, caution advised.

    1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

    1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

    1st 5 (25-24 -2.2u) CHC/CWS UN5 (-104)

    Game (37-32 +0.7) CHC/CWS UN9 (+104) / PHI/AZ UN8.5 (+103)

    Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"


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  10. #610  
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    I hate to be the dumb one of the bunch but do we follow or fade the 1st 5 and game algorithims on the cubs and dbacks games
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  11. #611  
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    Quote Originally Posted by locker8 View Post
    I hate to be the dumb one of the bunch but do we follow or fade the 1st 5 and game algorithims on the cubs and dbacks games
    Asking questions is seldom dumb, but usually smart. And often helps others who would wonder the same.

    My answer is it is entirely up to you. As post #600 states:



    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    "Past success is no guarantee of future success"
    "Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


    "Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
    “Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
    "I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

    “…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

    "Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
    Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
    Been a great run, caution advised.


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  12. #612  
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    S & H have a pick each for football today. Posted in the NFL forum.
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  13. #613  
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    But X you are recommending those plays correct
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  14. #614  
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    Quote Originally Posted by locker8 View Post
    But X you are recommending those plays correct
    I have no recommendation either way.

    The source of the algos says "Been a great run, caution advised."

    I'm not aware how they did in past years, but i guess they would have had some measure of success or he would have dropped them.

    They are at 50% now for this season. They sucked (would have been a great fade) before the all star break & have been on fire since.
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  15. #615  
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    S & H have a pick each for football today. Posted in the NFL forum.
    I've posted a H pick in the NCAAF forum.
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  16. #616  
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    Quote Originally Posted by locker8 View Post
    But X you are recommending those plays correct
    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    I have no recommendation either way.

    The source of the algos says "Been a great run, caution advised."

    I'm not aware how they did in past years, but i guess they would have had some measure of success or he would have dropped them.

    They are at 50% now for this season. They sucked (would have been a great fade) before the all star break & have been on fire since.



    Here are the all time MLB algorithms records:



    Algorithms
    MLB 1st Inning Totals v1.0 52 40 56.5% 6.7
    MLB 1st Inning Totals v2.0 45 34 57.0% 9.0
    MLB 1st 5 Innings Totals 56 38 59.6% 15.1
    MLB Full Game Totals 50 47 51.5% -0.6
    MLB Grand Salami 20 16 55.6% 3.0
    MLB Underdog Algorithm (Beta) 1 1 50.0% 0.3


    Units W/L are, per each column above:

    +6.7
    +9.0
    +15.1
    -0.6
    +3
    +0.3


    Hope that helps.
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  17. #617  
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    Quote Originally Posted by locker8 View Post
    But X you are recommending those plays correct
    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    I have no recommendation either way.

    The source of the algos says "Been a great run, caution advised."

    I'm not aware how they did in past years, but i guess they would have had some measure of success or he would have dropped them.

    They are at 50% now for this season. They sucked (would have been a great fade) before the all star break & have been on fire since.
    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    Here are the all time MLB algorithms records:



    Algorithms
    MLB 1st Inning Totals v1.0 52 40 56.5% 6.7
    MLB 1st Inning Totals v2.0 45 34 57.0% 9.0
    MLB 1st 5 Innings Totals 56 38 59.6% 15.1
    MLB Full Game Totals 50 47 51.5% -0.6
    MLB Grand Salami 20 16 55.6% 3.0
    MLB Underdog Algorithm (Beta) 1 1 50.0% 0.3


    Units W/L are, per each column above:

    +6.7
    +9.0
    +15.1
    -0.6
    +3
    +0.3


    Hope that helps.

    Correction. The above records do not include the present season.
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  18. #618  
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    "Highest public concentrations...

    (MLB) Philadelphia -241 & MIL/MIN OV9.5 (-100)

    (NFL) Kansas City -4 & MIN/KC OV38.5

    Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."

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  19. #619  
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    "Book Needs

    Low on Marlins +126 (1st 5 +112)

    High Level
    Full: 19-18 +9.9u
    1st Half: 21-12 +15.4u
    L5 Yrs Full: +298.5u

    Low Level
    Full: 37-46 +3.3u
    1st Half: 32-40 +3.4u
    ...BAL & AZ are -21.9 units as Low Level"
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  20. #620  
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    "Good thing for Book Needs, because it's been a ghost town, with no Primary or Secondary Angles since the weekend, outside DeChambeau in golf. Quiet again today! Only thing on the radar is...

    Sorribes Tormo +100 over Kontaveit achieves an LJP 1U"


    ---------------------------------


    WTA Cleveland
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  21. #621  
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post
    Thursday, August 26 recap:

    H had MLB NYY -106 ML: win
    H prior to Thursday H was 54-34-1 (61.36%), his last 89 picks, +16.95 units, since May 18/21 daily best bet thread. One unit per pick allowed, all sports combined. Regression was & is still due, sooner or later, regarding that run.
    H prior to Winsday was overall: 658-559-21 +77.42 units

    Angle #1 had Baltimore +106: win

    MLB algorithms: nothing doing. Back Friday.

    Book Needs: Low on Baltimore +106 (1st 5 -102): win, win. 2-0.

    Highest public concentrations......LA Angels -127 & NYY/OAK OV8.5 (-106): loss, win. 1-1.

    Book Needs: Low on Arizona +135 (1st 5 +110): win, win. 2-0.

    On to Friday, August 27. BOL.



    Friday, August 27 recap:

    After 2 good days for sharper info on Winsday & Thursday, Friday was really bad:

    Angle #1 Twins +119 ML: win

    MLB algos: 0-3

    S lost his CFL pick (NFL forum)

    H lost with his NFL pick.

    Highest public concentrations...(MLB) Philadelphia -241 & MIL/MIN OV9.5 (-100): Win, Loss. 1-1.

    Highest public concentrations..(NFL) Kansas City -4 & MIN/KC OV38.5: Loss, Win. 1-1.

    Book Needs...Low on Marlins +126 (1st 5 +112): Loss, loss. 0-2.

    WTA Tennis...Sorribes Tormo +100: Loss.

    On to Saturday, August 28. BOL!
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  22. #622  
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    "MLB Ticket & Money %'s w/RLM is 35-46 for +1.9u

    Indians +132
    BOS Tickets 67%
    BOS Money 58%
    RLM: CLE +139 to +132

    ...
    I'm not a proponent of the above theory, but I track in MLB for those interested. Last 5 yrs, MLB is the only sport with a +ROI using tickets & money w/RLM."
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  23. #623  
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    Here are the MLB algorithm records up to & excluding the present season:


    Quote Originally Posted by X-Files View Post



    Algorithms
    MLB 1st Inning Totals v1.0 52 40 56.5% 6.7
    MLB 1st Inning Totals v2.0 45 34 57.0% 9.0
    MLB 1st 5 Innings Totals 56 38 59.6% 15.1
    MLB Full Game Totals 50 47 51.5% -0.6
    MLB Grand Salami 20 16 55.6% 3.0
    MLB Underdog Algorithm (Beta) 1 1 50.0% 0.3


    Units W/L are, per each column above:

    +6.7
    +9.0
    +15.1
    -0.6
    +3
    +0.3


    Hope that helps.
    And as for the present season:


    "Algorithms, including v2 fade now 40-26-3 the L69...

    An 0-3 day yesterday, continued caution advised.

    1st Inn v1 (5-3 +1.8u)

    1st Inn v2 (6-15 -13.9u)

    1st 5 (25-25 -3.2u) STL/PIT OV4.5 (+102), PHI/AZ UN5 (-119)

    Game (37-34 -1.3)

    Grand Salami (2-1 +0.9u)"
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  24. #624  
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    Regarding all the info/content i've posted in this thread:


    --------------------------------



    Info FYI & consideration.
    Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
    Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


    "Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
    "Past success is no guarantee of future success"
    "Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


    "Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
    “Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
    "I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

    “…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

    "Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
    Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
    Been a great run, caution advised.





    -------------------------------------






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  25. #625  
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    "Highest public concentrations...

    ...
    Cincinnati -112 & HOU/TEX OV8.5 (-115)

    ...
    Baltimore -3.5 & TB/HOU OV36

    ...Fresno St -27.5 & HAW/UCLA UN67.5

    Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."

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