KC -3 ?????

petyos · Sep 22, 2003

Why?
I mean Baltimore might be the worst 2-1 teams ever.
I think this line is because of Ray Lewis. He is good but he is not worth about 4.5 points.
Havent the linmakers seen Kc, yet? They pretty much destroy anything in their paths.
That kid Boller might be good in the future, but right now he is not good at all.
The reason they won yesteday was not because they were good, but because Sd was bad and the Ravens had lady luck on their sides.

TheGeneral+ · Sep 25, 2003

Baltimores defense is still a good shot to do very well and i am looking forward to see how they do this week.

I think it's a good number as I look at pts allowed.

KMAN · Sep 25, 2003

petyos - Trent Green has thrown quite a few interceptions already and this Baltimore team feeds off turnovers. Also, the KC defense was horrible last year. Have they improved enough to stop Baltimore's running game?

Don't doubt that KC should win but strange things happen when the better defense at home.

GL,
KMAN

Oren1 · Sep 25, 2003

their defense has improved a lot, yes. and here's Tommy Maddox's stats from game 1 gainst the Ravens:
PASSING
.............CP/AT YDS TD INT
T. Maddox 21/29 260 3 0

Hardwaymoney · Sep 25, 2003

KC will cash...balt goes 2-2..

Gridster · Sep 26, 2003

I don't understand this line at all. It could've opened at 6 and the action would have been balanced. If Vegas was just gambling they could've made it 4.5 and still had all the action on KC. But 3!? If it was a mistake I would have expected the line to move by now. Now it turns out the games been moved to 3pm, apparently for the TV market and even more action. Very suspicious.

WCBias · Sep 26, 2003

Sounds like something for smokinggun.com to look into!

bosox1086 · Sep 26, 2003

KC -3.0 does seem too easy for me. They stop Jamal Lewis, which isn't easy, they win by 21. Even if they don't, they should win by 10. Why is the line only 3 then? Guy I work with is a huge Ravens fan and he LOVES the Chiefs this week. I've been telling him all week it looks too easy. I'll probably still go small on KC though.

xpanda · Sep 27, 2003

Baltimore has never lost week 4.
Baltimore is 3-0 ATS their last three vs. AFC West teams.
Baltimore is at home, while this is KC's second straight road game.
KC's only road game thus far was against Houston.
Priest was a Raven two years ago ... Baltimore has his number.

I'm taking the Ravens SU and the Under in this game.

Gridster · Sep 27, 2003

If this game is "one for the books" as they call it, xpanda, I strongly suggest you take the points rather than betting the Ravens straight up. If the officials take control of this game they'd be more inclined to hook the Chiefs with the points as compared to giving the Ravens an outright victory. Its their way of keeping the NFL off their backs. Look for an absence of holding penalties on the part of the Ravens in this game.

Oren1 · Sep 27, 2003

the Raiders get that treatment quite often, the problem last year for the league, who I believe is behind the biased officiating in the Raiders case, was, they were good enough to beat their opponents, the team and the officials. If you watched last Mondays game the holding on the Broncos part during most of their running plays was pretty blatant.

xpanda · Sep 27, 2003

My typical rule of thumb is this: if I like the dog, I'll play 1/3 on the spread, 1/3 on the under and 1/3 on the moneyline. My profits are higher at the end of the year.

I did find a sportsbook offering the Ravens at +3.5, so placed my spread bet there.

Oren1 · Sep 27, 2003

Sorry, X, but you're going to lose. The under could hit, though.

Unless Holmes goes down in the 1st quarter they beat the Ravens by 10.

xpanda · Sep 27, 2003

Well, that's 'why they play the game.'

If you were in front of me, I'd challenge you to a sidebet, but we'll call it bragging rights for now. See you tomorrow at 7:30 ...

Oren1 · Sep 27, 2003

I was just playin', sure, Balt has a chance, I guess.

xpanda · Sep 28, 2003

Dammit! This is what I get for shooting my mouth off, I guess.

Oren1 · Sep 28, 2003

they got shafted by some penalties, it was very close.

Hardwaymoney · Sep 28, 2003

the roll is on for KC..... look for a higher spread in the weeks to come....

petyos · Sep 28, 2003

The linesmakers were sort of right, but this was a bad line regardless. All the squares were on KC. They had to lose a lot of money on this one, when they shouldnt have