NBA Finals Game 6

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Phoenix 1Q +1.5
- Phoenix has won the 1Q in 4 of the 5 games this series, saw this in an article I was reading. It isn't some brilliant thing I came up with. Also teams on the verge of being closed out typically come out strong in the 1Q.

Teams in the finals that win the game cover a sick amount of the time, since 2010:


season >= 2010 and W and PO and round = 4

SU:62-0 (11.61, 100.0%)
ATS:57-3-2 (9.79, 95.0%)

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Dogs that lose the game in NBA Finals since 2010:

ATS:3-33-2 (-8.16, 8.3%)

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Teams that win the game cover 95% of the time.....and obviously 100% if you're a dog. Grabbing the points with a dog has been historically a bad idea, you should instead take them on the ML. If they cover they will most likely win.......and if they lose they will most likely not cover......

If you like Phoenix for the game, you really should add some ML to your wager if you have alraedy taken the points.
 

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