NCAAF notes, book needs, etc

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Feb 20, 2002
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"Book Needs


Low on Michigan St +3 (1st Half +1.5)


Low on Charlotte +6.5 (1st Half +3.5)



High Level

Full: 19-18 +9.9u

1st Half: 21-12 +15.4u

L5 Yrs Full: +298.5u



Low Level

Full: 39-48 +2.4u

1st Half: 34-42 +2.3u

BAL & AZ are -21.9 units as Low Level"





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Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."

"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

"Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
Been a great run, caution advised.

 
Joined
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"Highest public concentrations...

...Alabama -19.5 & San Jose St OV60

...NY Yankees -308 & MIN/TB OV8.5 (-115)

...Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."
 
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"Early Sharp Buys (0-0-1 +0.0 units) – We got the push last week, but let’s go for the win this week. The leading sharp buy here on Tuesday is Iowa St -4 over Iowa. I don’t know much about these teams, or their prospects this season. However, regardless of my knowledge of them, sharp money seems very interested in the Cyclones!"
 
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"Early Algorithm Look (1-0 +1.0 units) – Early Algorithm Look opens with a win, let’s see it continue with another one this week. The algorithm is showing the largest value this week on UAB +25 over Georgia. It sure is an ugly one. I could see this game getting out of hand quickly. So, while I will likely include this in a parlay, However, the algorithm feels perhaps the backdoor is wide open on this one and it likes the 25 points with the Blazers!"
 

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You're such a big phony. You go around here trying to be the POLICE and knocking everyone about what they should and shouldn't do. You talk about transparency with everyone, yet you fail to mention that TSP went 0-6 on the book needs on Saturday. If you're going to report, then report everything!! Do you honestly think you are doing everyone favors by reporting and copying H, S, TSP, and whoever else you steal from??
 
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You're such a big phony. You go around here trying to be the POLICE and knocking everyone about what they should and shouldn't do.

Yawn. Vague insults like that without any substance to them are rather useless, empty pitiful & sad - and easily ignored, forgotten, dismissed & laughed at - without specifics (or evidence or quotes or references, etc) so that i can respond to them.

Evidently many people are quite pleased with the many winners i've provided here over the years, especially in the past 2 years or so which have been highly successful with S & H picks. See also:

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1183934&page=2&p=13566869&viewfull=1#post13566869

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1160718&page=2&p=13503182&viewfull=1#post13503182

You talk about transparency with everyone, yet you fail to mention that TSP went 0-6 on the book needs on Saturday. If you're going to report, then report everything!!

Actually whenever i post TSP book needs his record includes any 0-6 or 6-0, etc, days he has. So what need is there to report it separately, especially since i never saw it till the games were over (who here is going to give a fuck about that) and don't subscribe to the content that that was a part of anyway? Furthermore not reporting absolutely everything or every result from everyone that i ever refer to or mention here - whether S, H, TSP, R, J.K., etc, etc etc - does not equate to any lack of transparency. It seems you may need to look up the meaning of the word.


Do you honestly think you are doing everyone favors by reporting and copying H, S, TSP, and whoever else you steal from??

There's another word - steal - that you are evidently ignorant re the meaning of, or misusing here, perhaps purposely, in your ranting.

Re "everyone favors"? Let's let some of those people you refer to - which no doubt could be multiplied many times - speak for themselves:

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1160718&page=2&p=13503182&viewfull=1#post13503182
 
Joined
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"Highest public concentrations...


...Coastal Carolina -26.5 & KAN/CC OV52


...Tampa -162 & TEX/OAK OV8.5 (-105)


...Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."




 
Joined
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Messages
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----------------------------------------




Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."

"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

"Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
Been a great run, caution advised.
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
Tokens
"Highest public concentrations...

...Ohio St -15 & Rutgers/Syracuse OV51

...Oakland -176 & LAA/HOU OV8.5 (-106)

...Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."

 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
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LJP ScoreWinLossWin Pct.Units +/-
UP MOVES98077655.8%147.8
OPEN MOVES20815058.1%49.4
DOWN MOVES (FADES)22428444.1%-84.9
5U6185.7%4.9
4U473061.0%15.1
4OPEN10566.7%2.9
4D7653.8%0.7
3U1015763.9%38.0
3OPEN392858.2%6.9
3D283643.8%-9.5
2U23718256.6%37.6
2OPEN623563.9%25.7
2D526245.6%-19.2
1U58950653.8%52.2
1OPEN978254.2%13.9
1D668942.6%-30.2
0D719143.8%-26.7



-----------------------------------





Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.


"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."


"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."



"Early Sharp Buys (0-1-1 for -1.1 units) – A loss last week as Iowa St did a great job in the stats, blowing away Iowa in that forum. Unfortunately, Iowa St also below Iowa away when it came to turnovers…and that was the difference maker. Time for a win! The Early Sharp Buy this week is on Middle Tennessee St +13.5 over UTSA. I am not familiar with either of the teams in any way to give you some insight into what could be happening here. When I look at this game though it is already a 62 on the TSP Live Radar and likely will be a 1OPEN on the LJP when the market achieves a key level of overall betting volume. Right now MTSU +13.5 is leading the way as the Early Sharp Buy! By the way, those in TSP Live wondering why MTSU doesn’t show up on the TSP Live Radar, the Radar doesn’t cover readings under 65. The level of 65 is seen as the lowest level for something to qualify as “material” sharp action."



 
Joined
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"Early Algorithm Look (1-1 for -0.1 units) – The Early Algorithm Look ended up “looking” quite ugly as UAB just got steamrolled. Let’s hope for better things this week. For the week ahead, the Early Algorithm Look is on Coastal Carolina -13.5 over Buffalo. The algorithm calculates Coastal Carolina at -18 over UB. So, a decent value situation here. Hopefully the value will pay off. Last week the first Sharp Consensus play of the football season, a Just Missed Premium Play, was achieved on Nebraska -13.5 over UB. Nebraska let the Bulls hang around for a while before opening it up late in the game (14-0 4th quarter) and getting the cover with a final of 28-3. However, it wasn’t so much that UB hung in there, but that Nebraska is just inept on offense. So, I could see why this number is a little out of whack. UB is getting some credit for quality. Coastal Carolina concerns me a bit because they beat Kansas by 27, but only out-yarded (not a word) the Jayhawks by 46 yards. So, that’s a concern, but the algorithm says it is no concern and the value lies with Coastal Carolina -13.5 as the largest value of the week!"
 
Joined
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Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
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"Highest public concentrations...

(NCAAF)
No concentration, one game. Lean to ULL -20...

(NFL)
No concentration, one game. Medium to Wash -3 & OV40.5

(MLB)
NYY -233 & NYY/BAL OV10 (-105)

Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."
 
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
24,349
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"Highest public concentrations...


...Maryland -7 & UCF/LVille OV67.5


...LA Dodgers -168 & SD/STL OV9 (-106)


...Prices are where the highest concentrations exist. Current price may be much better or worse."

 

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