Monday Service Play Thread 09/06/2021

BuzzKill · Sep 5, 2021

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BuzzKill · Sep 5, 2021

BuzzKill · Sep 5, 2021

Teddy Covers

C% Ole Miss Rebels -9' (-110)

BuzzKill · Sep 5, 2021

H&H Sports

CFB
Triple Dime - Mississippi -9.5 [-120]

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Barrett Sallee

LOUISVILLE @ OLE MISS | 09/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
OLE MISS -9.5
ANALYSIS: The over/under suggests that this will be a shootout, and there's no doubt that it will be. But that total is just a bit high. While Ole Miss' offense, led by coach Lane Kiffin, quarterback Matt Corral and running back Jerrion Ealy, will cruise up and down the field, the Rebels' defense will show signs of life for the first time in two years. With that said, a few stops on the Cardinals will go a long way toward putting this one in the win column for the Rebs. This one feels more like a 45-24 style game rather than "basketball on grass."

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Matt Severance

LOUISVILLE @ OLE MISS | 09/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 75.5
ANALYSIS: I realize both these teams were awful defensively last year, especially Ole Miss. However, this total is crazy and the biggest reason I am going Under is that the Rebs will be without head coach Lane Kiffin. Now, I think Kiffin is more important to Ole Miss than Nick Saban is to Alabama. Before Tide fans lose their minds, let me explain: Kiffin is his team's offensive play-caller. Saban doesn't call plays. Thus, we have to downgrade the Ole Miss offense a bit. And I actually think its defense will be better with nine starters back. This should end something like 40-30 so we're going Under (I'm not playing the spread).

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Big Al

Yanks
Red Sox
Astros

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Mike Tierney

LOUISVILLE @ OLE MISS | 09/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 76
ANALYSIS: Few coaches in college football exercise a greater in-game influence than Lane Kiffin of Ole Miss. He is all about offense, and he dives deeply into the play-calling. Now that he has been scratched because of COVID-19, the role transfers to an assistant from whom the players are unaccustomed to taking directions. The total that was a tad too high to begin with is unlikely to be reached. Both defenses should be improved over a year ago, which admittedly isn’t saying much, but the Rebels’ previous final score was 26-20, perhaps a harbinger for this season. The Cardinals even recorded a shutout of Syracuse in their ninth game last year.

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

over3goals

Euro U21 – Qualification
Czech Republic U21 – Albania U21
Over 3 @ 2.00

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

james-martingale

France – National
Red Star – Orleans
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.45 / A unit

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

totalgoalsvip

ENGLAND League One
Bolton vs Burton
Bet : 2 or 3 goals
Odd: 2.00

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

teamronaldinho

CHILE Primera Liga
Deportes Temuco – Magallanes
Deportes Temuco Over 1,5 @ 2.10

beeks19 · Sep 6, 2021

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Bob Balfe

1:05 PM EST
Rotation #911-912
Royals/Orioles Over 10.5 runs
Bubic/Lowther
Both teams have really struggled this year, but what they both do pretty well is hit left handed pitching. The Orioles will start Zac Lowther who has only 8 innings of big league work and was rocked in that short amount of time. Kris Bubic goes for the Royals and he gives up a lot of hits with many of them being home runs. I think it will be batting practice this afternoon for both teams. Take the Over.

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

JM Sports

Game: (923) Detroit Tigers at (924) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Sep 6 2021 1:35 PM EDT
Play Rating: C units
Play: Detroit Tigers -140 T Skubal (LHP), B Wilson (RHP) Must Start
C unit Detroit Tigers (-140) over Pittsburgh Pirates (Skubal/Wilson) —
The immediate difference is how this pitchers have performed in day games. Skubal is 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA in 11 starts, while Wilson is 1-3 with a 5.84 ERA in 5 starts and opponents are batting over .300! On top of that Wilson is 1-3 @ H with a 5.23 ERA and PIT is 1-4 in his L5 starts. Alongside that high ERA, the Pirates have struggled offensively this season, they are last in the league in runs/game, #27 in opponent runs allowed, totaling out to #29 in run differential. While the Tigers aren’t much better, being #19 in runs, #20 in opponent runs and #12 in batting average, paired with a solid ERA in day games should be enough to outdo this struggling Pirates team. Detroit is 11-2 in the first game of a series vs a non divisional opponent when the line is under 200 (5-0 on the road), they are 8-2 on the road vs a SP w/ ERA > 4.00, 5-0 after allowing less then 2 runs when the line is ≤ 135, and in Skubal’s L9 vs. RHP with a line > -140 Detroit is 7-2. The Pirates are 13-25as a D in the opener of a series (including 0-6 vs. LHP w/ line< 170, & 6-14 as D of ≤145. They have only won 11 out of their 42 games vs. LHP (including 2-9 @ H w/ 100<line<175) and they are 0-4 @ H after 6 straight A games with a line >115.

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Jack Winningham

Detroit Tigers -137 over the Pittsburgh Pirates, 1:35 EST

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

XS Sports

MLB:
E Detroit -1.5 +115
C Colorado +127
C Tampa Bay +120
D Cincinnati Under 8 -111

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

John Bollman

TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 09/06 | 1:05 PM EDT
TORONTO +130
ANALYSIS: The Blue Jays bats have awoken after their onslaught of the Athletics relievers continued. They have now won 4 straight games and 7 of their last 10 while the take on the slumping Yankees. The Yankees just lost 2 straight to the Orioles and have lost 6 of 10. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Jameson Taillon are both capable of pitching gems or getting lit up so I will take the value on the dog.

CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 09/06 | 2:20 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS +135
ANALYSIS: The Reds have the fifth worst wOBA in the league against lefties this season and they face Justin Steele today who allowed just 1 hit in 5 IP in his last start. The Cubs have sneakily won 6 straight games and 7 of their last 10 games including a 3 run 9th inning yesterday to walk off the Pirates. In the past three weeks, the Cubs are 11-7 while the Reds are 9-10. The Cubs are 3-4 against the Reds at home this season and they just won 2 out of 3 games in Cincy in August. Take the home dog.

SAN FRANCISCO @ COLORADO | 09/06 | 4:10 PM EDT
COLORADO +135
ANALYSIS: The Rockies and the Giants actually have the same record at 11-8 in the past three weeks, and the Rockies are one of the best teams at home in the league. The Giants are coming off multiple high leverage bullpen games against the Dodgers so their bullpen should be worn out. Not ideal for Coors Field. Kevin Gausman has yet to pitch at Coors Field this season and he allowed 5 ER in 10.1 IP in Coors Field last season. Kyle Freeland has been pitching really well lately including one run allowed in 6 IP against the Giants in his only start against them this season. The Giants tend to struggle against lefties and Buster Posey should be out of the lineup after playing back to back nights. Take the Rockies at home.

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Kyle Akins

PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE | 09/06 | 2:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -135
ANALYSIS: This is an elite pitching matchup with both starters (Zack Wheeler, Brandon Woodruff) pitching at All-Star levels. That gives the host Brewers an edge in such a game. Milwaukee has been playing well in the opening game of home series such as today, coming off Sunday's 6-5 win over St. Louis. The Brewers are 11-1 since May 24 at home in the first game of a series if they did not win by more than five runs or lose by more than three runs in the last game.

BuzzKill · Sep 6, 2021

Demarco Crew

Chris Jordan - Under Louisville-Mississippi
Gus Augustine - Minnesota Twins
Jay McNeil - Louisville Cardinals
Mitchell Newman - Ole Miss minus the points
Trace Adams - L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -1 1/2 runs over the St. Louis Cardinals (Mikolas)

Monday Service Play Thread 09/06/2021

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