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Thread: Office Pool 2021

  1. #1 Office Pool 2021 
    RX Wizard stander's Avatar
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    This is a breakdown of the picks in my office pool. Again, there's not as many people this year, but I will post what we have.

    All lines for the pool have a hook so there are no ties when scoring the sheets. If there is no set line Monday morning (like for the games the next week involving MNF teams), the boys who run the pool make a line themselves. Obviously, line moves and any difference with a "fudged" line is likely to influence players, so take that into account. Lines are from Monday morning, when sheets are passed out. For purposes here, obvious bad lines or "wrong favorites" (point spread differences of 3 or more for whatever reason on game day) are thrown out. Also - homer alert - many guys in the pool are Jets/Giants fans.

    Since I started posting the pool's picks, the criteria I used for a majority/consensus fade is 70% or more on a fave, play the dog, 60% or more on a dog, play the fave. Unfortunately, there are no plays this week according to the above criteria. But FWIW here's the breakdown.

    114_ENTRIES
    *_HOME

    FAVE__SPREAD____DOG___________________MAJORITY OF PICKS

    *CAR___5.5______NYJ___________________62 CAR
    DEN____2.5______*NYG__________________62 NYG
    *BUF___6.5______PIT___________________61 BUF
    JAX____3.5_____*HOU___________________62 HOU
    *TEN___3.5______ARI___________________70 TEN
    LAC____1.5______*WAS__________________69 WAS______WRONG FAVORITE, LINE WAS-2 @ BM ATP
    *ATL___3.5______PHI___________________64 ATL
    SEA____2.5______*IND__________________77 SEA
    MIN____3.5______*CIN__________________57 CIN
    SF_____7.5______*DET__________________76 SF
    *KC____6.5______CLE___________________66 KC
    *NE____2.5______MIA___________________62 NE
    GB_____4.5______*NO___________________76 GB
    *LAR___7.5______CHI___________________69 LAR
    BAL____4.5______*LV___________________70 BAL



    GOOD LUCK THIS SEASON RX BROTHERS!!!!!!!!


    Past Results
    2020-2021: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1165784
    2019-2020: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143845
    2018-2019: various threads
    2018-19 Pool Record: 21-25
    * 70% + on a fave: 12-17
    * 60% + on a dog: 9-8
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  2. #2  
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    Thanks for posting again this year!
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  3. #3  
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    125_ENTRIES
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    WEEK TWO

    FAVE__SPREAD____DOG___________________MAJORITY OF PICKS

    *CAR___3.5______NO___________________97 NO___________78% ON NO -- PUBLIC DOG
    *CLE___12.5_____HOU__________________72 HOU
    *CHI___3.5______CIN__________________73 CIN
    *PIT___6.5______LV___________________65 LV
    BUF____3.5______*MIA_________________74 BUF
    LAR____4.5______*IND_________________84 LAR
    SF_____3.5_______PHI_________________70 PHI
    DEN____6.5______*JAX_________________79 DEN
    NE_____4.5______*NYJ_________________78 NE
    *ARI___4.5______MIN_________________100 ARI_________80% ON ARI
    *TB____13.5_____ATL__________________74 TB
    *SEA___5.5______TEN__________________77 SEA
    *LAC___2.5______DAL__________________74 DAL
    KC_____3.5______*BAL_________________84 KC
    *GB____10.5_____DET__________________71 GB

    So, two plays this week:

    Panthers (fade a public dog)
    Vikings (fade more than 70% on a fave)


    GOOD LUCK RX BROTHERS!!!!!!!!

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  4. #4  
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    Wrong favorite in the Saints game. Sorry. No play there. So only Vikings.
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  5. #5  
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    I fucked up royally this week. NO is indeed listed as a fave on the sheet, therefore Carolina is still a play.

    Anyway, not like it matters too much but 78% of people in this pool DID pick NO -3.5
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  6. #6  
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    Really appreciate you posting this. Thank you!
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  7. #7  
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    Nice
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  8. #8  
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    Always a great thread, thanks for the info Stander.
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  9. #9  
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    135_ENTRIES
    *_HOME

    FAVE__SPREAD____DOG___________________MAJORITY OF PICKS

    ARI____7.5______*JAX_________________94 ARI
    *BAL___7.5______*DET_________________94 BAL
    *TEN___5.5______IND__________________101 TEN______74.8% TITANS
    *BUF___8.5______WAS__________________86 BUF
    *NE____3.5______NO___________________77 NO
    *KC____7.5______LAC__________________71 KC
    *NYG____3.5_____ATL__________________74 NYG
    *CLE____7.5_____CHI__________________68 CHI
    *PIT____4.5_____CIN__________________68 CIN
    *LV____5.5______MIA_________________100 LV_______74.1% RAIDERS
    *DEN___11.5_____NYJ__________________76 DEN
    *LAR___1.5______TB___________________98 TB_______72.6% BUCS (PUBLIC DOG)
    SEA____1.5______*MIN_________________79 SEA
    *SF____3.5______GB___________________72 GB
    *DAL___4.5______PHI__________________89 DAL





    2 fades of 70%+ on a fave
    Play:
    Fins +3.5
    Colts +4.5
    1 fade of 60%+ on a dog
    Play:
    Rams Pick

    Lines from Bookmaker at time of post.

    Note: Baltimore and Arizona both had 69.62% of the picks. I didn't list them as fades but of course there is the narrowest of margins there. FWIW.


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  10. #10  
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    Thanks for sharing
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  11. #11  
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    Good stuff, Thanks!
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  12. #12  
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    Pool record on consensus picks:

    Over 70% on a fave: 1-3
    Over 60% on a dog: 0-1

    Titans won last week. Raiders and Bucs lost.

    Here's the breakdown for this week:

    143_ENTRIES
    *_HOME

    FAVE__SPREAD____DOG___________________MAJORITY OF PICKS
    *ATL____0.5_____WAS___________________86 WAS___________60.1% WAS (PUBLIC DOG)
    *CHI___3.5______DET___________________101 DET__________70.1% DET (PUBLIC DOG)
    TEN___7.5______*NYJ___________________118 TEN_________82.5% TEN
    CLE___1.5______*MIN___________________75 CLE
    *MIA____1.5_____IND___________________91 MIA
    *DAL____4.5_____CAR___________________92 DAL
    *NO____8.5_____NYG____________________72 NO
    KC____6.5_____*PHI____________________114 KC__________79.7% KC
    *BUF____17.5___HOU____________________73 HOU
    *LAR____6.5____ARI____________________79 ARI
    *SF___3.5_____SEA_____________________88 SEA___________61.5% SEA (PUBLIC DOG)
    *DEN___2.5____BAL_____________________93 BAL__________65.0% BAL (PUBLIC DOG)
    SEA____1.5______*MIN__________________79 SEA
    *GB____7.5______PIT___________________90 GB
    *LAC___3.5______LV____________________82 LV

    Above lines are from the pool pick sheet passed out Monday. The Atlanta game almost qualifies as a "wrong favorite" but not quite.
    4 fades of 60%+ on a dog and 2 fades of 70%+ on a fave.

    Plays:
    ATL +1.5
    CHI -3
    NYJ +6
    PHI +6.5
    SF -2.5
    DEN -1

    "Plays" lines from Bookmaker @ time of post.

    GOOD LUCK RX BROTHERS!!!!!!!!


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  13. #13  
    RX Semi-God indiana's Avatar
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    stander........appreciate the info.....BOL with all your Sun. action buddy......indy
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  14. #14  
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    The consensus picks did well last week. The pool won on Washington, KC, Seattle and Baltimore. They lost with Tennessee and Detroit.

    Pool record on consensus picks:

    Over 70% on a fave: 2-4
    Over 60% on a dog: 3-2

    Here's what the football geniuses like this week:

    136_ENTRIES
    *_HOME

    FAVE__SPREAD____DOG___________________MAJORITY OF PICKS
    *ATL____3.5_____NYJ___________________70 ATL (LONDON)
    *TB____9.5______MIA___________________97 TB_____________71.3% ON BUCS
    *CAR___4.5______PHI___________________75 CAR
    NO___1.5______*WAS___________________69 WAS
    TEN____4.5____*JAX___________________86 TEN
    *MIN____8.5____DET___________________74 DET
    DEN____0.5_____*PIT___________________79 PIT
    GB____3.5_____*CIN____________________94 GB
    NE____9.5___HOU_______________________74 NE
    *LV____5.5____CHI____________________84 LV
    CLE___1.5_____*LAC_____________________98 LAC_____WRONG FAVORITE (LINE ATP LAC-2.5)
    *DAL___7.5____NYG_____________________72 NYG
    *ARI____5.5____SF__________________87 ARI
    *KC____3.5______BUF___________________91 BUF__________66.9% ON BUF (PUBLIC DOG)
    *BAL___7.5______IND____________________93 BAL

    Above lines are from the pool pick sheet passed out Monday.

    So, two fades today, 1 70%+ on a fave and one 60%+ on a dog

    Plays:
    Miami +10
    KC -3

    "Plays" lines from Bookmaker @ time of post.


    GOOD LUCK RX BROTHERS!!!!!!!!


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