MistaFlava's NFL Week 2 ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (System Plays Inside)

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MistaFlava's 2021 NFL Football Record: 6-5 ATS (+5.00 Units)

What an incredible 2021 Season that only started in Week 6 when I came up with my system. Things were not working well for me so I had to go back to pure capping and designing unique systems and working hours through the night to getting back to what got me successful in the first place. True capping.


NFL System

The system consistently picked winners in 2020 at an incredible rate (See Below). Don't forget the system started Week 6 of the season after I struggled pretty badly in the first six weeks with my own capping and it never looked back putting up incredible numbers. We're back for another go at it in 2021.


2020 System Win % Update (Started Week 6)
*with only Games That Mattered (both teams) Week 17

Divisional Weekend: 4-0 ATS (100%)

Playoffs: 7-3 ATS (70%)


System Overall: 86-33 ATS (72%)

Regular Games: 67-25 ATS (73%)

Primetime Games: 19-8 ATS (70%)




2020 System Win % Update (Started Week 6)
*Counting ALL GAMES Week 17 regardless of playoff impact

Divisional Weekend: 4-0 ATS (100%)

Playoffs: 7-3 ATS (70%)


System Overall: 90-39 ATS (70%)

Regular Games: 70-31 ATS (69%)

Primetime Games: 20-8 ATS (71%)



For those who don't know about my system yet I basically run some numbers with a bunch of different factors and intangibles and come up with 4 suggested lines for each game. If the LIVE Line 10 minutes before kickoff matches up and adds up with each one of my suggested lines it becomes a play. If the overall average combined line is 5.0+ in differential it becomes a FADE PLAY! There are several other factors involved but this is basically it.

90-39 ATS overall the last 12 weeks of the 2020 season and if you bet $1100 (-110) on every game you would be up $47,100 on these plays alone. If you bet a simple $100 you would be up $4,710 For the high stakes players you would be up $471,000 betting $10k on each game.


2021 NFL Football System


Week 1

Dallas +9.5
NY Jets +3.5
Arizona +3
LA Chargers +2.5
Cincinnati +3

Atlanta -3.5
Seattle -3
Cleveland +5.5
NY Giants +3
Green Bay -3.5
LA Rams -9.5 (not posted but part of system so keeping for tracking)
Baltimore -3.5

7-5 ATS (6-3 ATS if I remove the 3 Fade Plays which went 1-2 but fade plays are huge part of system)

*Not the greatest start for the system but almost all my variables were designed for Week 6 and beyond last season so I think we stay on track with the variables and keep things as is hoping it balances out properly. No more adjustments will be made this week we are staying on track with the formulas I've created.


***REMINDER: All plays will be posted 5-10 minutes prior to kickoff. This is due to the line I use being part of the system.

*If you have any questions shoot me a DM. I see them a lot better than I see posts on my thread. Sorry I am behind I will catch up later.
*PLEASE KEEP IN MIND this is the very first year of the system and there is no precedent when it comes to the NFL Playoffs so I've had to make adjustments on the fly.


HOPE EVERYONE AT THE RX IS STAYING SAFE!

*Disclaimer: Bet only what you can and what you want to on games. No system is perfect and maybe the 2020 season was just a fluke!



:toast:
 

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At the top of your post is says you are 6-5 +5 units, but towards the bottom it says you are 7-5 (is that a typo?)
 

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You had a winning week in week 1, nothing wrong with that! Looking forward to the picks this week! I'll be back at 8 to see what ya got :)
 

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He's counting a non posted play in his YTD?? lol, ok

So he's 6-5 YTD and 1-0 with non posted plays
 

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Here are you "Suggested Lines" for tonight's Thursday Night Football Game to kickoff Week 2 of the Regular Season:



NY Giants at Washington

Suggested Line 1: NY Giants -0.05
Suggested Line 2: Washington -0.88
Suggested Line 3: Washington -0.12
Suggested Line 4: NY Giants -0.35

Once again it's looking like an obvious play for tonight. Primetime Games went 20-8 ATS (71%) last season and off to a 2-1 ATS start this year. See you all closer to kickoff!



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adding...


Thursday, September 16


New York Giants +4 (10 Units)

The system was on the Giants last week and things looked pretty good until QB Daniel Jones, OC Jason Garrett and the entire offense decided to implode and turn the ball over in the Red Zone on multiple occasions. Having said that their defense kept them in the game and with so much on the line tonight in a Divisional Game it's pretty easy to see why the system is going back to the well. We all know Saquon is not 100% and may not even play much in this game but Washington's defense is good I'm not sure it's going to make a big difference. The Football Team are down to their backup (although I still consider FitzMagic a backup) QB Taylor Heinicke who has actually not been that bad. Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has a career completion percentage of 66.7% for 55 Touchdowns and 36 Interceptions with a QB Rating of 90.1 in 7 seasons. Heinicke has completed 64.1% of his passes for 3 Touchdown Passes and 3 Interceptions and a career QB Rating of 79.5 in only 4 seasons in the league. You can't compare the two. All day ESPN has been showing us a graph saying the Giants are 0-6 SU on Thursday Night Football, the only winless team since 2016 in the entire league but who cares. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus NFC East Division opponents and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus NFC Conference opponents dating back to last season. The Giants have also covered the spread in 19 of their last 26 Road Games overall and are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Road Games as an Underdog. Washington on the other hand are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games played in September dating back to a few seasons ago and they are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a Favorite (including a loss to the Chargers last week). They have also covered the spread in only 5 of their last 16 games versus NFC East Division opponents. The Road Team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams and the Giants have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games played in Washington. Football Giants > Football Team for the System.

Trend of the Game:
NY Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Road Games as an Underdog.


NY Giants 20, Washington 16




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Week 1

Dallas +9.5
NY Jets +3.5
Arizona +3
LA Chargers +2.5
Cincinnati +3

Atlanta -3.5
Seattle -3
Cleveland +5.5
NY Giants +3
Green Bay -3.5
LA Rams -9.5 (not posted but part of system so keeping for tracking)
Baltimore -3.5

That's not right. I thought counting non-posted plays was against the rules here at the Rx.
 

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