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Thread: Monday Service Play Thread 09/20/2021

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  1. #1 Monday Service Play Thread 09/20/2021 
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  2. #2  
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    Parlay Winners

    Play Green Bay -10.5 over Detroit (NFL)
    Detroit has lost 44 of the last 73 road games against the spread when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have lost 86 of the last 154 games against the spread after allowing an average of six or more yards a play in their last game.
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  3. #3  
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    Scott Spreitzer

    Packers -11 (CU)
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  4. #4  
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    Vernon Croy

    Packers -11 (FU)
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  5. #5  
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    Pointwise Phones

    B Detroit
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  6. #6  
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    Jack Winningham

    Green Bay Packers -11 1/2
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  7. #7  
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    RJ White

    GB -11
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  8. #8  
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    Hitman

    B* GB -11
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  9. #9  
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    August Young

    G Unit Play: Take #298 Green Bay Packers -11
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  10. #10  
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    Las Vegas CRis

    B* Green Bay -11
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  11. #11  
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    Tokyo Brandon

    Fukuoka S. Hawks at (304150) Rakuten Gold. Eagles
    Game: (304149) Fukuoka S. Hawks at (304150) Rakuten Gold. Eagles
    Date/Time: Sep 20 2021 12:00 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: C%
    Play: Rakuten Gold. Eagles -130
    Masahiro Tanaka has been great vs SoftBank and the whole season and his lineup is hot right now. The Rakuten hitters have come back to life and the bullpen has been solid. SoftBank find themselves fighting to get in the playoffs and their hitting and bullpen are failing. 100 year old Wada takes the mound I do not like his chances against Rakuten today.
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  12. #12  
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    greenpunter us

    NFL – American Football
    Green Bay Packers - Detroit Lions
    Detroit Lions +11.5
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  13. #13  
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    Tokyo Brandon

    Game: (915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Tampa Bay Rays
    Date/Time: Sep 20 2021 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: A%
    Play: Toronto Blue Jays -105
    Robbie Ray is having a Cy Young-type of season and although his numbers are a little better at home I feel good taking him on the road here because he has a career .143 BAA vs Rays batters. Rays SP Shane Baz makes his debut and in the Olympics he got knocked around a bit by Japan. He might start strong but by the 4th and 5th innings the Jays should be able to get to him. The Jays have a better pen as well so I am taking them on the money line.
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  14. #14  
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    Pure Lock

    J* Cleveland Indians -145
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  15. #15  
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    pickstennis

    WTA - SINGLES: Ostrava (Czech Republic)
    Zakharova - Sorribes Tormo
    Under 20.5
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  16. #16  
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    SportsLine Projection Model

    DET at GB | 09/20 | 8:15 p.m. ET

    Against The Spread
    Pick: Lions +11.5
    Detroit covers in 54 percent of simulations

    Over-Under
    Pick: Over 48.5
    The Over hits in 53 percent of simulations
    Current Line: Detroit +11.5
    Projected Final Score: Green Bay 30, Detroit 20
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  17. #17  
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    Pickswise Sports

    MLB C* Best Bet - Rays/Blue Jays Under 8.5 [-115]

    NFL
    B* Packers -11.5
    B* Over 48.5
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  18. #18  
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    Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace

    NFL - Detroit Lions +12.5
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  19. #19  
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    Parlay Winners

    MONDAY MLB BASEBALL

    Play Oakland -165 over Seattle (MLB)
    Oakland has won 83 of the last 121 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 82 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Oakland has won 69 of the last 122 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game and they have won 60 of the last 112 games coming off two or more UNDER the totals.
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  20. #20  
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    Hunt Valley Sports

    B* Green Bay -12 ov Detroit
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  21. #21  
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    Martin Green

    Barcelona vs. Granada (Monday, 3 p.m. ET)

    Barcelona / Barcelona double result -128 (one unit)
    Barcelona over 2.5 goals -105 (half unit)
    Memphis Depay to score -125 (half unit)
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  22. #22  
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    NFL Sharp Action

    8:15 p.m. ET: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

    Both of these NFC North rivals are looking to bounce back from Week 1 losses. The Lions (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) fell to the 49ers 41-33 in last week's opener, although Detroit managed to cover as 9.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, the Packers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) got embarrassed by the Saints 38-3, losing straight up as 3.5-point neutral site favorites. This line opened with Green Bay listed as an 11-point home favorite. The public says Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are a great team and must get back on track by rolling the lowly Lions. This lopsided action has pushed Green Bay up from -11 to -11.5. Some shops even reached 12 before some Lions buyback dropped the number back down.

    The Lions match several profitable betting systems, most notably a contrarian road divisional dog in a primetime game. Double-digit road divisional dogs are 109-83 (57%) over the past decade. Primetime dogs are 4-1 ATS this season. Monday Night Football double-digit dogs are 26-10 ATS (72.2%) over the past decade. Double-digit dogs are 50-38 ATS (56.8%) in the month of September over the past decade. Also, when two winless teams face off, the dog has been a smart bet (35-25 ATS, 58.3% the past decade).

    We've also seen some respected money hit this total. It opened at 49.5 and the public is rushing to the window to take the over. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line fall from 49.5 to 48.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the under, which is also super contrarian in a heavily bet primetime game. Historically, divisional unders that fall at least a point are roughly 54% the past decade. Another reason to look at the under: the weather. The forecast calls for 15-20 MPH winds at Lambeau Field. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more, the under is roughly 55% the past decade. Adrian Hill, the lead ref, has historically favored unders (20-13, 60.6%).
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  23. #23  
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    Alan Scozzari

    GOM
    Sweden Allsvenskan
    AIK -0,5 -110
    GOM 55-36-3 67%
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  24. #24  
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    Marc lawrence monday pick mahalo
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    Northcoast Late Phone: 2* Over 48.5 Detroit/Green Bay
    Top Opinion - Monday Night Marquee: Green Bay -11.5
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