MistaFlava's 2021 NFL Football Record: 10-10 ATS (-10.00 Units)
As I mentioned in my College Football Week 4 thread, I will be working on the system on the side for both College and NFL because it appears things are a lot different this year than last year. Makes sense. Longer schedule, fans are back and intangibles are all over the place. I am not abandoning the system or any of the systems but they need some work, some data collection and some study casing. It's all good. I don't really settle for anything but excellence and if it's not happening I try and find another way to win.
Back to natural handicapping we go. I can't promise as many plays but I will be posting the games I like and providing some type of writeup.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE THIS WEEK!
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Thursday, September 23
Carolina Panthers -8 (10 Units)
The Carolina Panthers are big time Road Favorites and that should be enough to scare most handicappers off but because the Houston Texans are shockingly 2-0 ATS this season having played two very competitive games, the betting public is pretty much split all-around. The Texans have been the biggest overachievers of the NFL Season so far beating the Jaguars in a Week 1 beatdown and then going toe-to-toe with a very good Cleveland Browns defense on the road and being competitive enough to cover the +13.5 spread despite losing their starting Quarterback Tyrod Taylor. In comes QB Davis Mills. Have you seen Mills play? Okay well yes he did an okay job keeping the Texans competitive last week in the second half but so far this year he has completed 44.4% of his passes for 5.7 yards per pass attempt and a QB Rating of 58.1 with 1 Touchdown Pass and 1 Interception. That's great but in this game he is going up against a very surprising Carolina defense that manhandled the New Orleans Saints last week and made the New York Jets look pretty terrible (easy to do) in Week 1. Panthers QB Sam Darnold has actually been on fire this season with his new team completing 68.5% of his passes for 8.0 yards per pass attempt, 3 Touchdown Passes, 1 Interception and a QB Rating of 100.5 on the season. THE PANTHERS ARE AN INCREDIBLE 7-0 ATS in their last seven Road Games dating back to last season and although they have a very shady history of being a Favorite on the road and most of those spread covers came as a Road Underdog, they have played well enough to warrant such a high number. It's a new era in Carolina. Both teams have atrocious records in recent Thursday Night Football Games so I think I'll take Darnold over Mills. The Texans had little to no running game against the Browns and are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games coming off a game where they rushed for less than 90 yards in their previous game. I think the Panthers will be relentless on both sides of the ball and win this game big.
Trend of the Game: Carolina is 7-0 ATS in their last seven Road Games.
Carolina 34, Houston 7
:toast:
As I mentioned in my College Football Week 4 thread, I will be working on the system on the side for both College and NFL because it appears things are a lot different this year than last year. Makes sense. Longer schedule, fans are back and intangibles are all over the place. I am not abandoning the system or any of the systems but they need some work, some data collection and some study casing. It's all good. I don't really settle for anything but excellence and if it's not happening I try and find another way to win.
Back to natural handicapping we go. I can't promise as many plays but I will be posting the games I like and providing some type of writeup.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE THIS WEEK!
-------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, September 23
Carolina Panthers -8 (10 Units)
The Carolina Panthers are big time Road Favorites and that should be enough to scare most handicappers off but because the Houston Texans are shockingly 2-0 ATS this season having played two very competitive games, the betting public is pretty much split all-around. The Texans have been the biggest overachievers of the NFL Season so far beating the Jaguars in a Week 1 beatdown and then going toe-to-toe with a very good Cleveland Browns defense on the road and being competitive enough to cover the +13.5 spread despite losing their starting Quarterback Tyrod Taylor. In comes QB Davis Mills. Have you seen Mills play? Okay well yes he did an okay job keeping the Texans competitive last week in the second half but so far this year he has completed 44.4% of his passes for 5.7 yards per pass attempt and a QB Rating of 58.1 with 1 Touchdown Pass and 1 Interception. That's great but in this game he is going up against a very surprising Carolina defense that manhandled the New Orleans Saints last week and made the New York Jets look pretty terrible (easy to do) in Week 1. Panthers QB Sam Darnold has actually been on fire this season with his new team completing 68.5% of his passes for 8.0 yards per pass attempt, 3 Touchdown Passes, 1 Interception and a QB Rating of 100.5 on the season. THE PANTHERS ARE AN INCREDIBLE 7-0 ATS in their last seven Road Games dating back to last season and although they have a very shady history of being a Favorite on the road and most of those spread covers came as a Road Underdog, they have played well enough to warrant such a high number. It's a new era in Carolina. Both teams have atrocious records in recent Thursday Night Football Games so I think I'll take Darnold over Mills. The Texans had little to no running game against the Browns and are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games coming off a game where they rushed for less than 90 yards in their previous game. I think the Panthers will be relentless on both sides of the ball and win this game big.
Trend of the Game: Carolina is 7-0 ATS in their last seven Road Games.
Carolina 34, Houston 7
:toast:
