NFL ....On the season, faves are 57-35 SU with 2 games closing pick-'em, but dogs lead 50-42 ATS (54.3 percent). Road teams are 50-41 SU with 3 neutral-site games (Packers-Saints in Week 1, plus the two London games in Weeks 5 and 6) and 53-38 ATS (58.2 percent). Unders lead 50-42-2 (54.3 percent) while primetime Overs (which started 6-0) are now 11-6-1 (64.7 percent).
Feedback keeps me posting info .....which I hope helps you guys ?
| NFL Double Digit Favorites | Using Circa Opening and Closing Lines |
| Updated 10/19/21 | This Weekend's Double Digit Favorites |
| Watch that line movement / See where line closes | |
| Not Counting Pushes | |
| Since 2015 | |
| Fav - 10 or more | |
| 99-65 Ats | |
| 60% | |
| Not Counting Pushes | Tampa Bay Open - 10 to - 13.5 now |
| Since 2015 | |
| Fav - 12 or more | |
| 55-32 Ats | |
| 63% | |
| Not Counting Pushes | Rams Open - 13.5 to - 15 now |
| Since 2015 | |
| Fav - 14 or more | |
| 31-15 Ats | |
| 67% | |
| Not Counting Pushes | Arizona - 14.5 to - 17 now |
| Since 2015 | |
| Fav - 16 or more | |
| 14-7 Ats | |
| 67% |
Denver may be ready ??? .............Broncos’ OLB Von Miller on Thursday night’s matchup vs the battered Cleveland Browns to @AricDiLalla
: “I don’t know who the tackle I’m going against is, but I’m going to kill him.”
Ravens place Pro Bowl left tackle Ronnie Stanley on injured reserve. In a statement, Stanley says he will have season-ending ankle surgery.
Browns ruled out RB Nick Chubb for Thursday night.
Titans fear first-round pick Caleb Farley tore his ACL last night and will do an MRI today to confirm, per source.
: “I don’t know who the tackle I’m going against is, but I’m going to kill him.”
Ravens place Pro Bowl left tackle Ronnie Stanley on injured reserve. In a statement, Stanley says he will have season-ending ankle surgery.
Browns ruled out RB Nick Chubb for Thursday night.
Titans fear first-round pick Caleb Farley tore his ACL last night and will do an MRI today to confirm, per source.
Plays I made earlier in the week
I bet light ... so I change plays before kick if needed
$7 Under 10.5 1st H Cleveland
$10 Lar - 13.5 - 140
$10 Ariz - 15 - 135
$10 Over 9.5 1st Q ........... going against huge trend ... if I lose ..oh well
$25 Den + 5 - 150 ....got it early
Trend
I know one thing ...more times than not .... when a trend is leaked out to the public and looks too good to be true ......it loses ....... here is the trend ............If you bet the Bears UNDER 1Q, 1H & full game you are 16-2 (89%) for the season & 15-0 the last five weeks!!!
I bet light ... so I change plays before kick if needed
$7 Under 10.5 1st H Cleveland
$10 Lar - 13.5 - 140
$10 Ariz - 15 - 135
$10 Over 9.5 1st Q ........... going against huge trend ... if I lose ..oh well
$25 Den + 5 - 150 ....got it early
Trend
I know one thing ...more times than not .... when a trend is leaked out to the public and looks too good to be true ......it loses ....... here is the trend ............If you bet the Bears UNDER 1Q, 1H & full game you are 16-2 (89%) for the season & 15-0 the last five weeks!!!
Great stuff. GL on Den. Great grab of early points too. I like the huge FAVs. Lions and Texans have packed it in per se. I’m sure an effort made but personnel wise they cannot hang. They are already looking at next yrs draft. STAFFORD will love to make a statement vs his former team and Texans on deck. While AZ I believe has chip on shoulder and will try to knock out fast then coast with Packers on deck.
Thx again for posting.
Thx again for posting.
$7 Under 10.5 1st H Cleveland..............winner
$25 Den + 5 - 150 ....got it early..........winner
Rec...19-10 Ats
Adding ...
$10 Cin + 7 - 130 ...a tail
$15 Carolina ML - 150 .... a tail
The guy is 30-11 Ats in NFL ....fyi
Updated Plays
$10 Cin + 7 - 130 ...a tail
$10 Lar - 13.5 - 140
$10 Ariz - 15 - 135
$10 Over 9.5 1st Q Chg / Tb ..... going against a huge trend here
$15 Carolina ML - 150 .... a tail
$25 Den + 5 - 150 ....got it early..........winner
Rec...19-10 Ats
Adding ...
$10 Cin + 7 - 130 ...a tail
$15 Carolina ML - 150 .... a tail
The guy is 30-11 Ats in NFL ....fyi
Updated Plays
$10 Cin + 7 - 130 ...a tail
$10 Lar - 13.5 - 140
$10 Ariz - 15 - 135
$10 Over 9.5 1st Q Chg / Tb ..... going against a huge trend here
$15 Carolina ML - 150 .... a tail
