Nfl betting tutorial for new bettors and maybe some old

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Anybody interested in some advice on your betting going forward. staking plan, situational bets, rolling stats etc. I'd like to think my 40 years of betting has some knowledge, so let me know what you feel you need to improve on and hopefully we can make up some sort of templatethat helps all :103631605
 

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Can you post the ATS winners for the NFL Sunday? Thanks...by the way, ATS means against the spread.
 

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The truth is I feel after 40 years + betting sports I might have something to offer guys starting out as I remember the tears, losing runs, clueless bets, no understanding of spreads etc when I started out. It seems Forums haven't changed much as they're quite happy to let bully assholes like azbollocks post negative comments ( I nearly said plays but of course these wasters haven't the balls to post plays ) that dont even have a funny or witty side. So dont let these pricks intimidate you, we can all do with help when it comes to beating sports betting. :103631605
 

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The truth is I feel after 40 years + betting sports I might have something to offer guys starting out as I remember the tears, losing runs, clueless bets, no understanding of spreads etc when I started out. It seems Forums haven't changed much as they're quite happy to let bully assholes like azbollocks post negative comments ( I nearly said plays but of course these wasters haven't the balls to post plays ) that dont even have a funny or witty side. So dont let these pricks intimidate you, we can all do with help when it comes to beating sports betting. :103631605


Good luck trying to have a good informative discussion on games in here these days.
 

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Good luck trying to have a good informative discussion on games in here these days.

Your right Chris but we have to keep trying, just to stop people playing bad odds/numbers, play smart. Thought you were in Minny years ago but maybe I'm wrong. You knocked out some winners years ago, one of the best cheersgif
 

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The truth is I feel after 40 years + betting sports I might have something to offer guys starting out as I remember the tears, losing runs, clueless bets, no understanding of spreads etc when I started out. It seems Forums haven't changed much as they're quite happy to let bully assholes like azbollocks post negative comments ( I nearly said plays but of course these wasters haven't the balls to post plays ) that dont even have a funny or witty side. So dont let these pricks intimidate you, we can all do with help when it comes to beating sports betting. :103631605

I'll take some advice on situational bets and rolling stats. I'm a horrible bettor by myself and I'm clueless being a blonde lol.
 

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I’ll kick things off. See where it goes! I have 9 games circled From after week 6 that I was eyeing for week 8. I will likely come out of the woods and post my plays this week. So let’s here some thoughts and discussions from any angle, situation or stat support.

Dallas at Minnesota

I will be on Minnesota here. Both team off bye. Dallas is 6-0 ATS but not exactly why I was liking Vikings after week 6. So far it’s very lopsided with about a 95-5 Dallas ticket count but it’s early. Dak a bit hobbled but will be good to go. SNF crowd should be ready in Minny. Cook with extra time should be back to to 100%. I like the Vikings SU here so any small line movement doesn’t matter too much to me. As Vikes should stay the dog. The smaller the dog the more I like them. This should be the healthiest the Vikings have been on defense minus Peterson. Kirk is notorious for not being good under the lights. Vikings o line with darasaw extra time to catch up and extra film time for Vikings should help also. Believe the Vikings will have an advantage in the trenches both sides of ball. Outside of Tampa I believe the Vikings with a now healthy Cook will be the Cowboys biggest offensive challenge for Cowboys defense.

Philly at Detroit

Detroit gets the win. 0-7 team with major defense issues and depth. But for whatever reason this team imo likes the coach and is playing hard for him. I think the Lions have a very underrated O line. And Swift has been good even not at a 100%. Simply Put the Lions despite 0-7 have been close to several wins and are eager for that first win. Eagles have not done much of anything and refuse to even try to run the ball. I will be a believer in the Lions O line can control some clock and be very effective with the run. Would worry me they had letdown vs big Rams game in another game they could have won. Team for as bad as I believe they are on defense plays hard. 4 losses to Rams Packers Bengals Ravens are teams that are 22-6. Tough schedule so far for Lions. The angle here for me is Lions O line and the fact being down in many positions they seem to be playing hard every game for their coach. And get a home game vs a team I believe they are confident this week they are the better team. I don’t see this as a typical 0-7 team. And The Eagles imo are still trying to find their identity with their new coach. Nothing fancy stat wise for me this game. Or even x’s And o’s. Time just feels right lions win a game.

.
Anybody with thoughts to discussing these games or any other games? What do you like? Not like? Somebody fire away!
 

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Vikings secondary has real issues. Breeland has played so horrible i cant understand why he still starts dantzler is a better cb. Dak will pick them apart if the front 4 cant generate a pass rush, but Minnesota does lead the league in sacks. Minnesota should be able to move the ball efficiently on offense
 

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I’ll kick things off. See where it goes! I have 9 games circled From after week 6 that I was eyeing for week 8. I will likely come out of the woods and post my plays this week. So let’s here some thoughts and discussions from any angle, situation or stat support.

Dallas at Minnesota

I will be on Minnesota here. Both team off bye. Dallas is 6-0 ATS but not exactly why I was liking Vikings after week 6. So far it’s very lopsided with about a 95-5 Dallas ticket count but it’s early. Dak a bit hobbled but will be good to go. SNF crowd should be ready in Minny. Cook with extra time should be back to to 100%. I like the Vikings SU here so any small line movement doesn’t matter too much to me. As Vikes should stay the dog. The smaller the dog the more I like them. This should be the healthiest the Vikings have been on defense minus Peterson. Kirk is notorious for not being good under the lights. Vikings o line with darasaw extra time to catch up and extra film time for Vikings should help also. Believe the Vikings will have an advantage in the trenches both sides of ball. Outside of Tampa I believe the Vikings with a now healthy Cook will be the Cowboys biggest offensive challenge for Cowboys defense.

Philly at Detroit

Detroit gets the win. 0-7 team with major defense issues and depth. But for whatever reason this team imo likes the coach and is playing hard for him. I think the Lions have a very underrated O line. And Swift has been good even not at a 100%. Simply Put the Lions despite 0-7 have been close to several wins and are eager for that first win. Eagles have not done much of anything and refuse to even try to run the ball. I will be a believer in the Lions O line can control some clock and be very effective with the run. Would worry me they had letdown vs big Rams game in another game they could have won. Team for as bad as I believe they are on defense plays hard. 4 losses to Rams Packers Bengals Ravens are teams that are 22-6. Tough schedule so far for Lions. The angle here for me is Lions O line and the fact being down in many positions they seem to be playing hard every game for their coach. And get a home game vs a team I believe they are confident this week they are the better team. I don’t see this as a typical 0-7 team. And The Eagles imo are still trying to find their identity with their new coach. Nothing fancy stat wise for me this game. Or even x’s And o’s. Time just feels right lions win a game.

.
Anybody with thoughts to discussing these games or any other games? What do you like? Not like? Somebody fire away!

I like both of your plays. Also looking at Cleveland and the Chargers to cover right now
 

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Good to see you're going to post again Chris! I value the information you post. I like Detroit too, but I suck at gambling, that's why I lurk on this site to catch some plays. Good luck next week.
 

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Great post Chris, Detroit M/L is my 1st bet of the week and most of the reasons are the same. Statistically Philly are the better team and certainly with less injuries but I think the Lions are catching them at the right time. The Lions are not only on an upward curve but the team and coaches are all buying into the energy, especially after another gritty performance Sunday. Goff must draw loads of confidence from this game and the level of play far exceeds that of a 0-7 team. They lost another CB Sunday and Ragnow is gone for the year, being paper thin now in nearly all positions there’s a good chance of a collapse further down the line but that's for another week.

The Eagles appear to be going the other way with plenty of under performing players and indecision by the coaches, it seems the problem is worse on the defensive side where the DC is close to losing the players. Their 2 wins have come against lowly Atlanta and Carolina, last week they played a sad game against what I consider an overrated team which is an accident waiting to happen. It looks like they lost Sanders this week which is a blow as he’s been playing reasonably well while according to Philly fans Hurts is completely off his game at the moment.

As I said earlier, there’s very little in any stats I use so just a heavy lean that the Detroit facility will be a lot more enthusiastic making plans than the Eagles facility. Of course it is the Lions and I don't see the point of playing the spread, I just hope my comment a few weeks back ( never bet the Lions no matter) doesn’t come back to bite me.

Just as an aside The Athletic, an online sports site is offering an annual sub with 33% off, so about $50. I cannot rate it highly enough with their in depth coverage of all sports, each team has its own individual writer so plenty of insight. I have 3 free passes left for a 30 day trial which I will send to someone by notification.
 

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I’ll kick things off. See where it goes! I have 9 games circled From after week 6 that I was eyeing for week 8. I will likely come out of the woods and post my plays this week. So let’s here some thoughts and discussions from any angle, situation or stat support.

Dallas at Minnesota

I will be on Minnesota here. Both team off bye. Dallas is 6-0 ATS but not exactly why I was liking Vikings after week 6. So far it’s very lopsided with about a 95-5 Dallas ticket count but it’s early. Dak a bit hobbled but will be good to go. SNF crowd should be ready in Minny. Cook with extra time should be back to to 100%. I like the Vikings SU here so any small line movement doesn’t matter too much to me. As Vikes should stay the dog. The smaller the dog the more I like them. This should be the healthiest the Vikings have been on defense minus Peterson. Kirk is notorious for not being good under the lights. Vikings o line with darasaw extra time to catch up and extra film time for Vikings should help also. Believe the Vikings will have an advantage in the trenches both sides of ball. Outside of Tampa I believe the Vikings with a now healthy Cook will be the Cowboys biggest offensive challenge for Cowboys defense.

Philly at Detroit

Detroit gets the win. 0-7 team with major defense issues and depth. But for whatever reason this team imo likes the coach and is playing hard for him. I think the Lions have a very underrated O line. And Swift has been good even not at a 100%. Simply Put the Lions despite 0-7 have been close to several wins and are eager for that first win. Eagles have not done much of anything and refuse to even try to run the ball. I will be a believer in the Lions O line can control some clock and be very effective with the run. Would worry me they had letdown vs big Rams game in another game they could have won. Team for as bad as I believe they are on defense plays hard. 4 losses to Rams Packers Bengals Ravens are teams that are 22-6. Tough schedule so far for Lions. The angle here for me is Lions O line and the fact being down in many positions they seem to be playing hard every game for their coach. And get a home game vs a team I believe they are confident this week they are the better team. I don’t see this as a typical 0-7 team. And The Eagles imo are still trying to find their identity with their new coach. Nothing fancy stat wise for me this game. Or even x’s And o’s. Time just feels right lions win a game.

.
Anybody with thoughts to discussing these games or any other games? What do you like? Not like? Somebody fire away!

Carr completed 91% of his passes last week and made it look easy
Goff will do enough to win this game
Gannon is losing his players confidence
Cox is being played out of position and not happy
defense is a mess!
 

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