~Sunday NFL Week # 7~ Analysis with Bets~

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New York Jets (1-4) vs New England Patriots (2-4]

The Pats already handled them by a 25-6 score. The question becomes, how will New England respond to the difficult defeat? Remember, the Pats were also off a tough loss (17-16 vs. Miami) the first time that they faced the Jets. Yet, they bounced back without an issue. Also, recall that they picked off Wilson four times in that game. With b2b road games on deck, followed by Cleveland, New England can't afford to squander this opportunity. I consider laying the points. New England - 6 1/2[ buying the hook]



Carolina Panthers [3-3] vs New York Giants[ 1-5]

This is a huge game for both teams. as it is a game both teams believe they can win -- and it's a game both teams need badly. The Giants season is on life support, but if they have any hope of turning things around they need to win this game. The Panthers still have legit playoff hopes, and they see this as a must win over a bad team to get back over .500. The Giants, when healthy, have some talent -- but they are just decimated by injuries. Not only is Barkley and half the receiving corps out or questionable, but now the other half of the receivers -- namely Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard, are questionable. The Giants have little margin for error and with injuries piling up, take the Panthers here giving up the points. Article by NFL Sports Analyst Bobby Lancer [Contributor DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders] Carolina Panthers -2 1/2[ buying the hook]



Atlanta Falcons (2-3) vs Miami Dolphins (1-5)

Both teams are coming off a trip from London however Atlanta has the advantage with a bye week in between, and will be well rested. Atlanta is historically a very good bye team with a 26-16 record (61%) coming off a week off. Both of Atlanta's wins have come outside of Atlanta, with a win in New Jersey, and London. Miami is a team in turmoil, with injuries decimating the WR corps, and rumors' of a Deshawn Watson trade from Texas not going away, leading up to the trade deadline. The Miami Dolphins need to improve defensively this season as they are allowing 29.5 points per game so far. In their previous game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, they gave up 23 points on 396 total yards of offense (312 passing, 84 rushing). l Look for Atlanta to take advantage of a team that ranks 30th in total team D and offense, dead last in rushing yards and 28th in passing, the Dolphins have also turned the ball over 9 times this season. Matt Ryan has come on of late with 8 TDs and zero interceptions in his last three games.[ Article by NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti [Contributor DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders] Atlanta -1[ buying a point]



Washington Football Team (2-4) vs Green Bay Packers (5-1]

Green Bay has done a tremendous job of taking care of the football, and they’ll be lining up against a defense that is dead last in third-down conversions. Teams are converting 57.8 percent of the time on third downs against this underperforming defense. And who is going to put pressure on Rodgers? Washington is ranked in the bottom-half of the league in defensive sack percentage this season. Washington is a better team that they have shown so far this season defensively, however, the secondary has been torched throughout this season and I don’t think traveling to Green Bay to face the trio of Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, & Davante Adams is the remedy that they are looking for.
Green Bay’s defense has been solid since allowing 38 points in their season opener against New Orleans and between the fact that Washington is a bit banged up on the offensive end and that their offense was only able to put up 13 points against Kansas City last week, I think Green Bay wins this one by 10 and covers this spread. Good Luck! This game has all of the makings of a lopsided contest. Article by NFL Jerry Nyles NFL Capper[ [Contributor DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders] Green Bay -7[ buying the hook]


*****2 TEAM 7 POINT TEASER>> Green Bay-1/2 & Tampa Bay -4 1/2

***Handicapping information taken *some articles written* from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's, ****Contributors DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders > NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti //////Jerry Nyles NFL Capper//// & B&Rs Expert Consensus rating// DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL..
~Best Of Luck Guy's On Your Picks & Bets This Sunday!!!! Lets Just Win !!!!
 
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~Jeff Sagarin The ~Predictor>> Is Also Know As Pure Points, Ballantine, Rheingold, White Owl ~

~Jeff Sagarin The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2021 through games of 2021 October 18 Monday - Week 6
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.68] [ 1.65] [ 1.90] [ 1.65]

1 Arizona Cardinals = 27.10 6 0 0 21.79( 5) 2 0 0 | 5 0 0 | 26.20 2 | 27.00 1 | 30.20 1 (NFC WEST)
2 Buffalo Bills = 26.55 4 2 0 17.98( 28) 1 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 28.13 1 | 25.00 6 | 25.39 5 (afc east)

3 Baltimore Ravens = 26.30 5 1 0 19.67( 21) 2 0 0 | 2 0 0 | 25.55 6 | 26.65 4 | 28.03 2 (afc north)


4 Los Angeles Rams = 26.14 5 1 0 21.25( 9) 1 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 26.11 3 | 26.65 3 | 25.96 4 (NFC WEST)


5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 25.64 5 1 0 19.32( 23) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 25.91 4 | 26.72 2 | 24.78 7 (NFC SOUTH)


6 Green Bay Packers = 24.52 5 1 0 19.83( 20) 0 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 24.40 7 | 24.13 8 | 24.95 6 (NFC NORTH)


7 Kansas City Chiefs = 24.50 3 3 0 22.06( 4) 1 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 25.79 5 | 25.48 5 | 22.37 10 (afc west)


8 Dallas Cowboys = 24.34 5 1 0 19.65( 22) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 23.56 8 | 24.51 7 | 26.04 3 (NFC EAST)


9 Cleveland Browns = 22.87 3 3 0 21.39( 7) 0 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.82 9 | 23.62 9 | 22.60 9 (afc north)


10 Los Angeles Chargers = 22.49 4 2 0 22.29( 3) 2 2 0 | 2 2 0 | 21.94 13 | 23.33 10 | 23.13 8 (afc west)

NFL 2021 through games of 2021 October 18 Monday - Week 6
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.68] [ 1.65] [ 1.90] [ 1.65]

11 Minnesota Vikings = 22.11 3 3 0 20.84( 12) 0 2 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.22 12 | 21.60 13 | 22.15 12 (NFC NORTH)

12 Tennessee Titans = 21.71 4 2 0 19.84( 19) 1 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 21.58 14 | 21.71 11 | 21.93 13 (afc south)


13 San Francisco 49ers = 21.53 2 3 0 21.03( 11) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 22.55 10 | 21.28 14 | 19.92 18 (NFC WEST)


14 New Orleans Saints = 21.28 3 2 0 19.30( 24) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 21.10 15 | 21.60 12 | 21.42 14 (NFC SOUTH)


15 Seattle Seahawks = 21.16 2 4 0 22.47( 1) 0 1 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.30 11 | 20.96 15 | 19.28 21 (NFC WEST)


16 Cincinnati Bengals = 21.01 4 2 0 18.79( 25) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.67 16 | 19.93 18 | 22.21 11 (afc north)


17 Pittsburgh Steelers = 20.30 3 3 0 21.23( 10) 1 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 20.37 17 | 20.56 16 | 20.05 17 (afc north)


18 Indianapolis Colts = 19.75 2 4 0 20.26( 16) 0 2 0 | 0 4 0 | 20.27 18 | 18.47 22 | 19.39 20 (afc south)


19 Las Vegas Raiders = 19.48 4 2 0 20.32( 14) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 18.87 21 | 20.06 17 | 20.29 15 (afc west)


20 Carolina Panthers = 19.37 3 3 0 17.36( 30) 0 1 0 | 1 2 0 | 19.21 20 | 19.58 19 | 19.54 19 (NFC SOUTH)


NFL 2021 through games of 2021 October 18 Monday - Week 6
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.68] [ 1.65] [ 1.90] [ 1.65]
21 Chicago Bears = 19.23 3 3 0 21.35( 8) 0 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 18.75 22 | 19.17 21 | 20.09 16 (NFC NORTH)

22 Denver Broncos = 18.58 3 3 0 17.46( 29) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 19.50 19 | 19.29 20 | 16.22 24 (afc west)


23 New England Patriots = 18.23 2 4 0 17.33( 31) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 18.60 23 | 18.23 23 | 17.51 23 (afc east)


24 Philadelphia Eagles = 18.05 2 4 0 21.72( 6) 0 3 0 | 0 4 0 | 18.04 24 | 17.25 25 | 18.44 22 (NFC EAST)


25 Washington Football = 16.41 2 4 0 20.10( 17) 0 3 0 | 0 4 0 | 16.64 25 | 17.74 24 | 15.12 26 (NFC EAST)


26 Atlanta Falcons = 14.80 2 3 0 16.90( 32) 0 1 0 | 0 1 0 | 14.10 27 | 15.50 26 | 15.54 25 (NFC SOUTH)


27 Miami Dolphins = 14.49 1 5 0 20.73( 13) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 15.08 26 | 15.23 27 | 12.47 29 (afc east)


28 New York Giants = 14.43 1 5 0 20.30( 15) 0 2 0 | 1 2 0 | 13.75 28 | 15.15 28 | 15.10 27 (NFC EAST)


29 Detroit Lions = 13.03 0 6 0 22.45( 2) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 | 13.68 29 | 11.25 31 | 12.32 31 (NFC NORTH)


30 Jacksonville Jaguars = 12.82 1 5 0 18.59( 26) 0 1 0 | 0 3 0 | 13.03 30 | 11.43 29 | 12.96 28 (afc south)


NFL 2021 through games of 2021 October 18 Monday - Week 6
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 1.68] [ 1.65] [ 1.90] [ 1.65]

31 New York Jets = 11.40 1 4 0 18.56( 27) 0 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 10.59 31 | 11.35 30 | 12.47 30 (afc east)

32 Houston Texans = 10.37 1 5 0 19.94( 18) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 8.68 32 | 9.58 32 | 12.13 32 (afc south)
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Predictions_with_Totals

These are the "regular method". _
HOME or CLOSEBY (c) team in CAPS _
both teams in lower case _
means "n" for NEUTRAL location Rating Favorite _
MONEY=odds to 100 _
FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _
======================================================================================================
CLEVELAND BROWNS 5.98 4.97 6.22 8.02 denver broncos 215 68% 44.71


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 8.51 9.66 8.78 6.69 new york jets 291 74% 37.18

carolina panthers 3.27 3.82 2.54 2.79 NEW YORK GIANTS 153 61% 44.97

BALTIMORE RAVENS 6.97 6.52 8.62 7.47 cincinnati bengals 243 71% 45.00

MIAMI DOLPHINS 1.37 2.62 1.62 -1.42 atlanta falcons 120 55% 49.87

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 8.10 8.80 9.45 6.33 chicago bears 277 73% 45.06

kansas city chiefs 1.11 2.57 1.88 -1.21 TENNESSEE TITANS 116 54% 59.98

GREEN BAY PACKERS 9.79 9.41 8.29 11.47 washington football 338 77% 50.09

ARIZONA CARDINALS 18.41 19.16 19.32 19.72 houston texans 860 90% 46.92

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 3.12 2.49 4.71 3.49 philadelphia eagles 150 60% 49.76

LOS ANGELES RAMS 14.79 14.07 17.29 15.29 detroit lions 588 85% 47.09

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 3.47 3.92 4.71 2.18 indianapolis colts 157 61% 46.55

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 1.56 2.84 1.25 -0.50 new orleans saints 123 55% 47.87

*****EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence
EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG

1 @ Cleveland Browns 4.28 174 64% Denver Broncos
2 @ New England Patriots 9.01 309 76% New York Jets
3 Carolina Panthers 8.64 296 75% @ New York Giants
4 @ Baltimore Ravens 7.26 251 72% Cincinnati Bengals
5 Atlanta Falcons 0.68 109 52% @ Miami Dolphins
6 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.64 519 84% Chicago Bears
7 @ Tennessee Titans 4.54 180 64% Kansas City Chiefs
8 @ Green Bay Packers 18.16 834 89% Washington Football
9 @ Arizona Cardinals 31.33 2504 96% Houston Texans
10 @ Las Vegas Raiders 10.15 352 78% Philadelphia Eagles
11 @ Los Angeles Rams 25.05 1579 94% Detroit Lions
12 @ San Francisco 49ers 1.57 123 55% Indianapolis Colts
13 New Orleans Saints 2.36 136 58% @ Seattle Seahawks ~
~Complements HarryTheHat~
 

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H/hat.......appreciate the added info buddy.......BOL with your action .....

solid looking card.....sweep'em.....indy
 

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Good Luck this week Harry. I'm a life long fan of the NY Giants,:( and I am with you on the Panthers -2.5
 
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Good Luck this week Harry. I'm a life long fan of the NY Giants,:( and I am with you on the Panthers -2.5
like I said in my thread "The Giants, when healthy, have some talent -- but they are just decimated by injuries. Not only is Barkley and half the receiving corps out or questionable, but now the other half of the receivers namely Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard, are questionable. The Giants have little margin for error and with injuries piling up they are in trouble big time. Why Panthers only -2 1/2 well!!!! They are no ball of fire either should cover under these conditions of GMen offense !!!
 
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W/L For Sunday

New York Jets (1-4) vs New England Patriots (2-4]

The Pats already handled them by a 25-6 score. The question becomes, how will New England respond to the difficult defeat? Remember, the Pats were also off a tough loss (17-16 vs. Miami) the first time that they faced the Jets. Yet, they bounced back without an issue. Also, recall that they picked off Wilson four times in that game. With b2b road games on deck, followed by Cleveland, New England can't afford to squander this opportunity. I consider laying the points. New England - 6 1/2[ buying the hook] NE 54-13 Win



Carolina Panthers [3-3] vs New York Giants[ 1-5]

This is a huge game for both teams. as it is a game both teams believe they can win -- and it's a game both teams need badly. The Giants season is on life support, but if they have any hope of turning things around they need to win this game. The Panthers still have legit playoff hopes, and they see this as a must win over a bad team to get back over .500. The Giants, when healthy, have some talent -- but they are just decimated by injuries. Not only is Barkley and half the receiving corps out or questionable, but now the other half of the receivers -- namely Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard, are questionable. The Giants have little margin for error and with injuries piling up, take the Panthers here giving up the points. Article by NFL Sports Analyst Bobby Lancer [Contributor DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders] Carolina Panthers -2 1/2[ buying the hook] G-Men 25-10 Lost



Atlanta Falcons (2-3) vs Miami Dolphins (1-5)

Both teams are coming off a trip from London however Atlanta has the advantage with a bye week in between, and will be well rested. Atlanta is historically a very good bye team with a 26-16 record (61%) coming off a week off. Both of Atlanta's wins have come outside of Atlanta, with a win in New Jersey, and London. Miami is a team in turmoil, with injuries decimating the WR corps, and rumors' of a Deshawn Watson trade from Texas not going away, leading up to the trade deadline. The Miami Dolphins need to improve defensively this season as they are allowing 29.5 points per game so far. In their previous game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, they gave up 23 points on 396 total yards of offense (312 passing, 84 rushing). l Look for Atlanta to take advantage of a team that ranks 30th in total team D and offense, dead last in rushing yards and 28th in passing, the Dolphins have also turned the ball over 9 times this season. Matt Ryan has come on of late with 8 TDs and zero interceptions in his last three games.[ Article by NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti [Contributor DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders] Atlanta -1[ buying a point] ATL 30-28 Win



Washington Football Team (2-4) vs Green Bay Packers (5-1]

Green Bay has done a tremendous job of taking care of the football, and they’ll be lining up against a defense that is dead last in third-down conversions. Teams are converting 57.8 percent of the time on third downs against this underperforming defense. And who is going to put pressure on Rodgers? Washington is ranked in the bottom-half of the league in defensive sack percentage this season. Washington is a better team that they have shown so far this season defensively, however, the secondary has been torched throughout this season and I don’t think traveling to Green Bay to face the trio of Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, & Davante Adams is the remedy that they are looking for.
Green Bay’s defense has been solid since allowing 38 points in their season opener against New Orleans and between the fact that Washington is a bit banged up on the offensive end and that their offense was only able to put up 13 points against Kansas City last week, I think Green Bay wins this one by 10 and covers this spread. Good Luck! This game has all of the makings of a lopsided contest. Article by NFL Jerry Nyles NFL Capper[ [Contributor DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders] Green Bay -7[ buying the hook] GB 24-10 Win


*****2 TEAM 7 POINT TEASER>> Green Bay-1/2 & Tampa Bay -4 1/2 Win The Teaser !!!

***Handicapping information taken *some articles written* from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's, ****Contributors DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders > NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti //////Jerry Nyles NFL Capper//// & B&Rs Expert Consensus rating// DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL..
~Best Of Luck Guy's On Your Picks & Bets This Sunday!!!! Lets Just Win !!!!
Not a bad Sunday !!! Win 4 bets Out 5
 

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