If you have your own set of power ratings, post your top 5 and bottom 5 here.

BigLou+ · Oct 24, 2002

According to my numbers here are the top 5 teams on my power rating sheet after the first 7 weeks:

1) San Diego Chargers
2) Philadelphia Eagles
3) New Orleans Saints
4) Denver Broncos
5) Atlanta Falcons

Now the bottom 5:

28) Chicago Bears
29) Houston Texans
30) Washington Redskins
31) New York Jets
32) Cincinnati Bengals

If you keep your own numbers, please post them here and let's compare the differences.

Big Lou

jmonte18 · Oct 24, 2002

are you from Atlanta ? because thats the only logical thing I can think of for you to put ATL at 5.

Top 5

Philly
N.O
Denver
Green Bay
Buffalo
* not sold on san diego.. waiting for their famous collapse.

Bottom 5
Lions
Cowboys
Vikings
Titans
Bengals

BigLou+ · Oct 24, 2002

This has nothing to do with who I "think" are the top and bottom five. It's based on a power rating formula. I'm looking for other handicappers to post their rankings according to their formulas, not their opinions.

Big Lou

Guest · Oct 24, 2002

Your're asking the question in the wrong forum. 25% of the posters here have no idea what a power rating even is (and no, I'm not referring to you specifically jmonte).

A place like ssb is more likely to yield the answers you seek.

If you haven't figured it out yet (and I KNOW you have) this place (for the most part) is fun and games. Sure, you definitely have your handfull of astute and knowledgable posters, but for the most part its GOY's and 200* MORTAL LOCKS.

BTW, how's the move going?
GL this Sun.

Mikeoxbig+ · Oct 24, 2002

1.PHIL
2.DEN
3.SD
4.OAK
5.TB
......
28.CHIC
29.NYJ
30.MINN
31.HOUST
32.CIN
Anytime there's a differnce of 5pts between my PR and the actual line it's a play. This week only one. DENVER diff=6.

felice · Oct 24, 2002

A friend of mine ask me to post here. He is very complimentary of you.

Here are my cat #'s: Altered only with statistical cat formula, as I am a numbers freak.

Top 5

Philly 32.5
Tampa 31
Green Bay 30
Pitt 30
Oakland 30
Denver 30

I have the Saints at 29, behind SF 29.5

Bottom 5

Hous 13.5
Cincy 16.5
Lions 20.5
Minny 20.5
Panthers 21

The others you guys listed are between 22-23.

Remember, these are cat #'s only. Plays are made based on many other factors.

Big events coming up:

Thurs: Tennis mixed doubles finals. My team lost in the spring. Wish me luck!

Sunday: Game 7 of baseball??? 4 of us have tickets!!! I bought 5 rally monkeys at game #2.

Bye, bye

Felice, the cat who luvs dogs!

BigLou+ · Oct 24, 2002

Good point about the Broncos/Patriots game. I'm looking to see if I can figure out why there is such a big discrepancy in the number.

Big Lou

Afrin · Oct 24, 2002

Do you calculate your power ratings by hand or do you have a computer program that computes the game statistics portion of your power ratings?

How much weight do you give game statistics in your overall power rating? I was thinking somewhere between 25% and 33%. What are your thoughts?

BigLou+ · Oct 24, 2002

I do all power rating calculations myself. Over the years I have noticed that my power ratings have been very successful after the season has ended in determining who the best team is. Here are the top five teams after the end of the regular season since 1998 according to my numbers.

1998:

1) Broncos (won Super Bowl)
2) Falcons (lost Super Bowl)
3) Vikings (lost in conf. final)
4) 49'ers (lost in div. round)
5) Dolphins (lost in div. round)

1999:

1) Rams (won Super Bowl)
2) Titans (lost Super Bowl)
3) Cowboys (lost in wild card round)
4) Jaguars (lost in conf. final)
5) Ravens (missed playoffs)

2000:

1) Ravens (won Super Bowl)
2) Buccaneers (lost in wild card round)
3) Giants (lost Super Bowl)
4) Titans (lost in div. round)
5) Broncos (lost in wild card round)

2001:

1) Rams (lost Super Bowl)
2) Steelers (lost in conf. final)
3) Bears (lost in div. round)
4) Patriots (won Super Bowl)
5) Eagles (lost in conf. final)

After the end of the regular season I will post my top 5 and we will see how they fare in the playoffs this season.

Big Lou

Guest · Oct 24, 2002

if your power ratings had n.e. 4th and st. louis 1st last year, than why did you call for a strait up win by n.e.?

BigLou+ · Oct 24, 2002

Because I do have a Super Bowl database that accurately predicted the upset.

Big Lou

zoom · Oct 24, 2002

1. Philly
2. Tampa
3. Oakland
4. Atlanta
5. SD

28. Minn
29. Houston
30. NYJ
31. Washington
32. Cinci

Guest · Oct 24, 2002

1 san deigo
2 denver
3 no
4 oak
5 tampa

dallas
balt
houston
minny
cinni

Guest · Oct 24, 2002

1.new orleans
2.kansas city
3.san diego
4.miami.
5.carolina

28.minnesota
29.cleveland
30.chicago
31.indianapolis
32.cincinatti

steeser · Oct 24, 2002

RPM: Carolina??? #5?? Mine have them 12th and I think that is too high.

But here's mine
1. Philly
2. Oakland
3. San Diego
4. Tampa Bay
5. Green Bay, Denver

28. Houston
29. Detroit
30. Seattle
31. Cincy
32. NY Jets

Guest · Oct 24, 2002

my numbers give a little latitude for loss of key players,(rodney pete in this case).

i thought something similar about panther having baltimore in his bottom 5. i have them at 13.

steeser · Oct 24, 2002

I suppose that makes sense. It also goes to show that different people take into account different things.

Mine leave no subjectivity and are based purely on seasonal stats, with a slight bias towards recent efforts. I don't really believe the Jets are the worst in the league, but they were so brutal through the first few weeks, that they haven't recovered yet.

birminghambook · Oct 24, 2002

Top Teams
#1 Green Bay 12.12
#2 Philly 12.00
#3 Oaklnad 11.88
#4 Miami 11.76
#5 San Fran 11.75

Bottom Teams
#1 Houston 9.82
#2 Detroit 9.93
#3 Cincy 9.94
#4 Minny 10.18
#5 Arizona 10.30

My power numbers may be a little confusing but they equate to roughly a touchdown and an extra point (7pts) per power point......Hope that helps!
Add between 0.5 and 3.5 for home field advantage!

i.e Green Bay 12.12 x 7 = 84.84
Houston 9.82 x 7 = 68.74
84.84-68.74 = 16.10

Green Bay would be a 16.10pt favorite over Houston on a nuetral field in my rankings.

catfish · Oct 25, 2002

1 Saints
2 Broncos
3 Chargers
4 Eagles
5 Packers

32 Texans
31 Bengals
30 Seahawks
29 Vikings
28 Cowboys

docdekay - what is ssb?

SixthSense · Oct 25, 2002

TOP 5

1) PHILLY
2) MIAMI
3) ATLANTA
4) ARIZONA
5) OAKLAND

BOTTOM 5

28) NY JETS
29) HOUSTON
30) DETROIT
31) TENNESSEE
32) CINCINNATI

These are all number generated and take into account rushing, passing, sacks, third down %, penalties, turnovers, etc. I don't really think Arizona is the fourth best team, but at the moment they are in these ratings. Like Lou said, these ratings are very accurate by year's end.

I also take a look at teams stats against the competition they have played. For example. KC has averaged 0.9 yards more per play than their opponents are giving up. I take a look at both, their offensive and defensive numbers, and combine them to create the top and bottom teams. For those numbers, my top five are:

TOP 5
1) DENVER
2) TAMPA BAY
3) OAKLAND
4) PHILADELPHIA
5) SAN FRANCISCO

BOTTOM 5

28) NY JETS
29) HOUSTON
30) CHICAGO
31) MINNESOTA
32) CINCINNATI

If you have your own set of power ratings, post your top 5 and bottom 5 here.

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