Let's say you have Seattle -2 for the game and at halftime they are up by 18. If the 2nd half line is Clippers +2 would any of you bite? Or do you just stick with the value you have in your original bet? No right or wrong answer, just curious who here tries to hit the middles as they present themselves. Maybe some do it based on how the game is being played by the teams involved?
Obviously it depends. FOr example on monday night I had the chargers over 38. THinngs were going well, but I saw a stat that said 2nd half unders are 16-1 when a team is winning by 17 or more. So I actually played the second half under with 2 units.
So I will play around with it, however, I usually am content with just the one bet.
So I will play around with it, however, I usually am content with just the one bet.
Given your scenario, you have 18 points of middle value - i.e., Seattle covering by 16 and Clippers getting 2 for second half -- obviously the more middle value the better opportunity to cash both ways..
If I felt that there was no chance of the Clippers getting back in the game, I wouldn't make a half-time play -- why risk part of a sure winner.
On the other hand, if I felt the Clippers just came out ice cold and could easily make a run to get back in the game, I would likely take the Clippers on the 2nd as a part hedge, part middle.
Last year I had LSU +4 against Florida in the SEC Conference tourney and they just exploded in the first half and were leading by 13 or so..Florida came out as a 4 or 5 point favorite for the second half, giving me a 12 point middle and the opportunity to hedge against a Florida comeback -- I hammered Florida for about 30% of my original bet and caught the middle for a big winner...
Its all about value of the middle and your perception of how the 2nd half will go (maybe that is stating the obvious) -- but god I love it when given those opportunities.
If I felt that there was no chance of the Clippers getting back in the game, I wouldn't make a half-time play -- why risk part of a sure winner.
On the other hand, if I felt the Clippers just came out ice cold and could easily make a run to get back in the game, I would likely take the Clippers on the 2nd as a part hedge, part middle.
Last year I had LSU +4 against Florida in the SEC Conference tourney and they just exploded in the first half and were leading by 13 or so..Florida came out as a 4 or 5 point favorite for the second half, giving me a 12 point middle and the opportunity to hedge against a Florida comeback -- I hammered Florida for about 30% of my original bet and caught the middle for a big winner...
Its all about value of the middle and your perception of how the 2nd half will go (maybe that is stating the obvious) -- but god I love it when given those opportunities.
If the second half bet is just a guess at a 50-50 line at negative juice it is obviously not a good play and will lose money over time. Just guessing on this figure but it would seem this type of strategy (buying back winners at the half and keeping losers as is) should increase the vig you'll have to overcome on your original plays over the long haul by around 50%.
jimmy i disagree,
in the case presented with a 2 point fav ahead by 18 your first bet has a very good chance to hit. the time to do this is when by watching the game you are uncertain or in fear of losing your first bet. pinny's lines fluctuate a lot at half and many time you can get the middle side at + money if you are patient and lucky
in the case presented with a 2 point fav ahead by 18 your first bet has a very good chance to hit. the time to do this is when by watching the game you are uncertain or in fear of losing your first bet. pinny's lines fluctuate a lot at half and many time you can get the middle side at + money if you are patient and lucky
