i think russ is playing the opposite of what he is posting as a lock. i actually played the mets today as i saw value +208 at pinnacle (check the outhouse capping center)
russ is obviously a square. squares typically don't play dogs so...i think russ is posting his "locks", then playing the other side hoping that:
a) people will follow his lock and he can get a better line or
b) that posting a play as a "lock" in a public forum will jinx the pick.
both a & b are tragically flawed reasons.