da braves......

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-1.5 (+130)


81% chance of hitting looking at totals last 11 games ......nice system eh
 

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Hey, it's nice and easy huh?
icon_smile.gif


Too many times I try to bet a lock when I should be betting more games based upon recent success like you point out here.

I hate to bet trends on moneylines of the first game of a series though. I got beat up the first game back from the break and also last Monday. Both of those days could be called "Dog Days".

[This message was edited by BigGamesOnly on July 23, 2003 at 04:16 PM.]
 

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Md:

When you refer to the last 11 games are you referring to just the Braves' games or are you factoring in the games for the Marlins too? Are these all runline games (Braves -1.5) or are they moneyline games too?

I'm thinking about trashing all my stats and just going with trends. If you can get +130 for a game with 81% chance of winning I say you should ride that horse 'til it drops!
 

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just run lines and braves last 11......taking a chance on -1.5 spot but it can pay off nice
 

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The Braves are 11 out of their last 15 against the run line (including tonight's loss) for 73%. That's a hell of a lot better than what I've been doing lately.

I'm looking at Boston lately. They've beat the runline the last 5 games. They are playing Tampa Bay on Thursday.
 

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