My experiment of taking every DOG play between +120 and +150

Journeyman

Banned

Joined

Sep 20, 2004

Messages

80,046

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #1

Just a place for me to keep a record of this...

Lets see how it plays out for a while..

All plays will be based on winning 100.00

CUB J CRUZ -R +150

LOS A ASHBY -R +123

PHI DUCKWORTH -R +128

BOS J BURKETT -R +135

BAL P HENTGEN -R +136

DET BONDERMAN -R +135

6 plays today...lets see how this plays out for a few months......

 

SSI

New member

Joined

Sep 21, 2004

Messages

14,040

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #2

nice idea journey, lets see how it goes..

 

BigGamesOnly

New member

Joined

Sep 21, 2004

Messages

1,765

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #3

One of my pet theories is that favorites offer a better deal since there are more people playing dogs to get a bigger payoff. That causes the line to move too far in the dogs favor.

I will do the opposite of what you are doing. I will be tracking favorites from -120 to -150. Let's see who is the better play.

 

Journeyman

Banned

Joined

Sep 20, 2004

Messages

80,046

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #4

BGO_ lol well basicall that will be the same thing, if my dogs go down , then you will be up...ya know?

 

BigGamesOnly

New member

Joined

Sep 21, 2004

Messages

1,765

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #5

I know what you mean Journeyman. Of course the favorites will be winning more games so a calculation must be made on "value" not just number of wins.

 

SSI

New member

Joined

Sep 21, 2004

Messages

14,040

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #6

looking like a nice little start jman, 50/50 with this, makes you a big winner,, this strategy works well in preseason nfl and the first few weeks of the regular season, if this goes alright for you, you may want to try this in the nfl... also focus on dogs with winning records.. they are live dogs most of the time, if baltimore cashes you will be 2-1 and a leg up, but jman, ive got to go against you with those tigers..

 

SSI

New member

Joined

Sep 21, 2004

Messages

14,040

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #7

well looks like your going to be 2-2 (+.7 units), +$70 at $100 per. now you have phillies and tigers, you need 1 of the 2..

 

SSI

New member

Joined

Sep 21, 2004

Messages

14,040

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #8

looks like 3-3 jman for day 1, and plus $105 or so,,, at $100 per unit.. update us tomorrow..

 

Journeyman

Banned

Joined

Sep 20, 2004

Messages

80,046

Tokens

• Jul 26, 2003

• #9

yes SSI , I will play all dogs in this price range....