careful with OAK, PINN etc. seems to be sticking with its number. Anaheim hits lefties a lot better, and has a much better home record than Oak away. Washburn has been horrible lately, and IMO that will change sooner than later, but it's hard to make an argument for him- I dont know if there is something seriously wrong with him or if it's just one of the statistical nightmares that almost every pitcher goes thru at some point almost every season. I've noticed that really bad stats tend to correct themselves.
the last thing I want to do is warn you off a winner..
and Anaheim may be in the midst of a big-time slump.
One thing that I've noticed (I look at WHIP very heavily like yourself) is that when a WHIP over the last 3 is too high or TOO LOW (such as Franklins 8.3, Wolf's 8.6 and Zito's 9.0 over 9 innings) then a lot of times the opposite starts to occur. But there are pitchers that are THAT GOOD, and Hudson may be one of them. This line looks way too low, but another thing that I consider is ANA has gone 2-8 over the last 10, and OAK has won 3 in a row on the road vs ANA by WIDE MARGINS. I ask myself "is it more likely for ANA to lose again at home" or is it somewhat likely for ANA to win at least once in this series. Does Hudson win his next 20 in a row and Wash lose his next 20 at home? Who on EARTH likes ANA at such a low price?? The same people that offer 8 cent lines. Oak probably wins this game, but I'm leaning to taking ANA very small, in effect it's like booking the public's action.
and Anaheim may be in the midst of a big-time slump.
One thing that I've noticed (I look at WHIP very heavily like yourself) is that when a WHIP over the last 3 is too high or TOO LOW (such as Franklins 8.3, Wolf's 8.6 and Zito's 9.0 over 9 innings) then a lot of times the opposite starts to occur. But there are pitchers that are THAT GOOD, and Hudson may be one of them. This line looks way too low, but another thing that I consider is ANA has gone 2-8 over the last 10, and OAK has won 3 in a row on the road vs ANA by WIDE MARGINS. I ask myself "is it more likely for ANA to lose again at home" or is it somewhat likely for ANA to win at least once in this series. Does Hudson win his next 20 in a row and Wash lose his next 20 at home? Who on EARTH likes ANA at such a low price?? The same people that offer 8 cent lines. Oak probably wins this game, but I'm leaning to taking ANA very small, in effect it's like booking the public's action.
