For those of you who may have been reading my posts you know I bet a few games with the +1.5 RL. My experiment is that if a team averages around 2 runs per game and they are the favorite (usually when their ace is pitching) then it's hard for that team to win by 2 or more. Since 7/27/03, taking the dog at +1.5 against a team averaging less than 3 runs per game has won 20 times out of 28. Taking the dog at +1.5 against a team averaging less than 2.5 runs per game has won 14 times out of 17! I must add an exclusion to this principle and that is to not take the dog when the moneyline is +200 or worse.