THE BOAT'S FRIDAY MLB WINNERS (PIRATES)

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6-2 yesterday, 13-7 up almost 40 units in the last three days. Were gonna do it again tonight guys!

PIRATES OVER CUBS +280 7 UNITS
``It's pretty much a guaranteed win (with Prior pitching),'' Cubs third baseman Aramis Ramirez said.
This also seems to be the sentiment among all the bettors today. I was an athlete in high school, and just recently played a couple years of college baseball. In all my years as an athlete I know that a team that goes into a game thinking a game is "pretty much a gauranteed win" stands a fair chance of being upset that game, especially against a team you are only ONE game above .500 with in a 15 game series. The Pirates have actually had some sucess against the Cubs this season, winning almost half, 7 of 15, of the teams meetins this season. Recently, they just split a series with the Cubs just last weekend at PNC Park. Obviously, there is less than a 50 percent chance that the Pirates will come out on top today, but at a price of damn near 3 to 1, the Pirates have too much value to pass up on here. Take the kickback, and bet Pirates +280 vs the Cubs this afternoon.

PIRATES OVER CUBS +280 7 UNITS
PIRATES -1.5 OVER CUBS +450 1 UNIT

BALTIMORE +1.5 OVER YANKEES +110 3 UNITS

Moss, the main component in the trade that sent SP Sidney Ponson from the Orioles to the Giants earlier this year, is a very talented pitcher. When he is on, he has the ability to shut a team down, and could certainly do that today against the Yankees. Pettitte is 5-0 against the Orioles this year, and I think it might just be too much to ask somebody to go 6-0 against a decent Orioles team in one year. Yankees skipper Joe Torre indicated that some of his younger players, including Fernando Sequignol, Drew Henson, and Erick Almonte will get some playing time today. Moss has nice value getting 1.5 runs +110 in a game the opposition really has no incentive to win.

When betting major dogs like this, one could never make the statement, "I feel very strongly about these plays", as the odds of winning either of these plays is obviously less than 50 percent in each case. However, I am very comfortable with saying that I do feel VERY strongly about the VALUE that is contained in these plays this afternoon, especially with the Orioles.


I'm hot guys! Get on the train!

THE BOAT
 

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I like the idea that you're making your choice based upon what percentage you think this bet will come through and then weighing that with the odds. For example, if you believe this bet will win 45% of the time and your getting close to 33% odds, then it's a good bet.
 

Go Pittsburgh!
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Riverboat:

I love your plays. I won't bet the Pirates because I feel subjectivity gets in the way but I think it is worth a shot at that price. I am on Baltimore as well. Pettitte has over-achieved his last 3 outings based on his season as a whole so I see a correction coming soon and with +200 or +109 with the 1.5, no better reason not to take a shot today. Good luck and thanks for sharing.
 

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Two reasons I like the Pirates Bet.

Cubs got back home at 1:30 last night.
It is raining at Wrigley (always a ?)

Couple of reasons I dont like it:

Mark Prior was not on that plane.
Mark Prior is 9-1 since the all star break
Mark Prior's era over this same time is 1.00
Mark Prior is the most confident 1st year player I have ever seen.
Mark Prior is a winner.
Dusty Baker is a winner -- he will not let the Cubs lose this game.


I agree at 350 there might be slight value in the Pirates but not much to have me put my money on them.
 

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LOST 3 UNITS ON ORIOLES VS YANKEES GAME 1 THIS MORNING. PIRATES GAME RAINED OUT. I REALLY LIKED THAT ONE THOUGH. WENT 6-2 LAST NIGHT AND AM PRETTY HOT RIGHT NOW. I LIKE A COUPLE PLAYS TONIGHT. LETS WIN SOME CASH!

PADRES -1.5 OVER ROCKIES +130 10 UNITS
RANGERS OVER ANGELS +125 5 UNITS
RANGERS VS. ANGELS OVER 9 -130 5 UNITS
CARDINALS OVER DIAMONDBACKS 3 UNITS
DODGERS VS GIANTS OVER 8 +105 3 UNITS
 

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