Baseball Forecasts - September 30

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I have been too busy to post individual games during the past month but will try to resume for post-season.

Here are two series plays, with units ranging from 0.5 to 1.5.

FLORIDA + 185 VS SAN FRANCISCO 1.5 UNITS

This price seems too high for a number of reasons...Florida is 76-50 since Jack McKeon became manager in May, which is a .603 percentage, which correlates to a 98-win season, only two behind SF's 100 total...Since Ugueth Urbina joined the roster at the All-Star break, the Marlins are 42-25, a .627 percentage which is actually above the level played by the Giants (and anyone else for that matter)...They have become an energized club bursting with confidence after winning the wild card from Philadelphia by beating them in 10 of their last 12 meetings...SF is the defending NL champion, but three of the five best players from last year's near-miss world champs are gone---Jeff Kent, Russ Ortiz and the injured Rob Nen...Will their replacements---Edgardo Alfonzo, Sidney Ponson and Tim Worrell deliver on the same level in post-season?...In what cold be a low-scoring series, the Marlins have more speed, at least as much bullpen, and while Jason Schmidt is likely the NL's best starter, Florida owns more starting rotation depth...This may be anybody's series.

ATLANTA - 135 VS CHI CUBS...1.5 UNITS

Can't agree with this price, when Braves have five of the best six hitters---and Gary Sheffield, Javier Lopez and Chipper Jones all had better years than Sammy Sosa...Would take Andruw Jones and Marcus Giles over Cubs second-best hitter, likely Moises Alou...The Cubs have the better starting rotation due to Mark Prior and Kerry Wood, but the Braves have Russ Ortiz, Greg Maddux and Mike Hampton going well...The bullpens are close, but would give Atlanta a slight edge due to John Smoltz...The Cubs are being given too much credit for beating a Houston team which has been a poor team under pressure for many, many years.

SF / FLA GAME ONE UNDER 7 - 120 1.0 UNITS

This game looks very low, with Josh Beckett and Jason Schmidt both on a roll, in a park where the ball does not carry well.
 

Gunga galunga... gunga, gunga-galunga.
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Forecast...Like em all, on em all

good luck my man!
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ATX

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good luck this playoff season.

I agree with all of the plays.
 

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ATLANTA / CHI CUBS UNDER 8 - 120 1.0 UNITS

Kerry Wood has been exceptionally tough on the road this year, and Russ Ortiz has been strong at home...The pitchers dominated the hitters this afternoon, and tonight could be more of the same.
 

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ATX & Noonan

Thanks for the responses...I may have done the wrong thing on the two series plays and may hedge out on each if Florida and Atlanta get even today...I will decide tomorrow if we get there...I think the unders look real solid on the two Wednesday night games.
 

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