Just wanted to include this in a new thread. It was previously in Monday's thread.
I'm trying to find a reason why I should go with the OVER on this game since I lean toward the UNDER. The only thing I can think of is Zambrano got roughed up a couple games at the end of the season. He pitched a good game last week only giving up 3 earned runs.
Beckett is 2-7 o/u on the road this year.
Beckett has a 3.39 road ERA this year.
Florida is 2-6 o/u in his last 8 starts.
Zambrano is 4-9 o/u at home this year.
Zambrano has a 3.00 home ERA this year.
Chicago is 2-8 o/u in his last 10 starts.
Florida is 3-4 o/u in their last 7 games.
Chicago is 1-6 o/u in their last 7 games.
Now for the intangibles. Zambrano and Beckett are pitching game 1 of this series so both pitchers will be rested and focused. Good pitching trumps good batting. Neither pitcher has a stellar record nor are they the aces for their club but both have decent ERA's with recent records of going under.
Florida at Chicago UNDER 8.0 +108
(Some books have it at 8.5. Always shop around.)
I'm trying to find a reason why I should go with the OVER on this game since I lean toward the UNDER. The only thing I can think of is Zambrano got roughed up a couple games at the end of the season. He pitched a good game last week only giving up 3 earned runs.
Beckett is 2-7 o/u on the road this year.
Beckett has a 3.39 road ERA this year.
Florida is 2-6 o/u in his last 8 starts.
Zambrano is 4-9 o/u at home this year.
Zambrano has a 3.00 home ERA this year.
Chicago is 2-8 o/u in his last 10 starts.
Florida is 3-4 o/u in their last 7 games.
Chicago is 1-6 o/u in their last 7 games.
Now for the intangibles. Zambrano and Beckett are pitching game 1 of this series so both pitchers will be rested and focused. Good pitching trumps good batting. Neither pitcher has a stellar record nor are they the aces for their club but both have decent ERA's with recent records of going under.
Florida at Chicago UNDER 8.0 +108
(Some books have it at 8.5. Always shop around.)
