These teams battled all year. The Red Sox are flying high right now and the one big thing is I just don't think Boston is scared of the Yanks. They have pounded all of these starters at one point or another. Mussina has had success in Boston. Wakefield is either on or way off. Only Jeter has had success on him over the years. Matsui did well this year, but If wake is on this is a tight 1-2 run game tonight and Boston can pound the Yanks set-up men. Also I know Mo is the BEST closer ever, but Boston can hit him. The team batted over 350 against him this year and had 16 hits on 10 innings over the past few years the have batted over 300. For some reason the hit MO. He also has been in 23 games the last few years and lost twice and blown 5 saves. If wake pitches well this will be a classic. I won't take o/u could wake could easily get shelled in 4 innings. We all know Boston's bullpen is a crap shoot. So with these odds and a nice warm humid fall day, I'll take the GREAT odds on a great offense. This series favors the yanks too much and looks too easy. 1/2 unit on Boston tonight and 1/2 on Boston in the series
well 1-0 and sox looking good. wish I had more than 1/2 unit, but going into tonight. Yanks need to win. Especially knowing Pedro is on deck. Pettite is a gamer, but the Sox own him. This year he had an era of 5.04 he one great outing, but was touched up other than that. Carrer numbers. Manny batting 424, nomar 333, veritek 361 and Ortiz 409. Jeter has a 325 against Lowe, Matsui 545. no one else is batting over 300. However, Lowe has an era 5.5 against Ny this year. he also has been touchy on the road. he gets ground balls, but get wild. Craft tonigh behind the plate gives up 8.27 runs a game. Lowe is tired, whichc usually makes the slider dive more. Sox will be loose. I like over 8 for 1 unit and like I side before in this thread and others. These matchups are too close. Will put another 1/2 unit on the sox. No reason what so ever yanks and Pettite are -200 over boston. If this was regular season game it wold be more like -140. I see a lot of value again tonight and will ride my Boys
Epper - watch out for career numbers. They mean diddly squat. Mussina had made Ortiz his b!tch (0 for 21 career) yet Ortiz took Mussina yard. I have experimented with "BA against" in capping baseball games - and it just does not work. I figure it fir two reasons:
1) The sample size for each player is too small
2) When the sample size is large enough (which is rare), the stats are outdated (meaning if a guy has 89 at-bats against a pitcher, 50 of them probab;y came 5+ years ago)
Manny is back but Nomar is too damn worried about his hair.
1) The sample size for each player is too small
2) When the sample size is large enough (which is rare), the stats are outdated (meaning if a guy has 89 at-bats against a pitcher, 50 of them probab;y came 5+ years ago)
Manny is back but Nomar is too damn worried about his hair.
