Thursday Playoffs 10/16/03

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Yankees +102 (3 units)
Yankees +1/2 -150 (1st 5 innings) (2 units)
Bos/Nyy UNDER 3.5 +105 (1st 5 innings) (4 units)

I think Yankees will actually win this in extra innings.

-MC
 

To be the best, you have to beat the best
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Does thinking a team will win in extra innings make it worth betting on the team? Generally when I bet a side, I think my side is going to win in regulation time. Overtime is a coin flip, although I guess a coin-flip at +102 is good value.

I actually like Boston though, Clemens has pitched far better on the road then at home this year, and the Bosox have hit him hard in NY.

Pedro has pitched very well at Yankee stadium, and think he will be extra focused in this matchup. I also think the Yankees hitters are going to try to get all over Pedro, and because of this they will start pressing. I expected this line to be Boston -125 to -135, so I am getting value too.
 

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MAD: Any opinion on either team total of 3.5?
Like NY to win and also think they can score at least 4. IMHO, I still don't think Pedro has proven himself in a must win game yet. He also had been hittable in the post season. I believe A's were able to score 3 off of him twice and Yanks got 4 on him last week.
 

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What do Soriano, Giambi, Williams, and Boone have in common this post season? They are all batting well below .200. If the Yanks win this game (and I think they will), they will win it in a pitchers duel. Something like 3-2 or 3-1.

Hard to ask for 4 runs against Pedro again, especially when they failed to hit Wakefield twice and even Burkett looked good if not for Nomar's error.

-MC
 

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Adding a Prop:

Total strikeouts+walks in game by Roger Clemens: Over 7 strikeouts+walks -115 (2 units)

-MC
 

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I think you're right MAD. I was lucky to get the NY over 5.5 last night. I will be on NY
 

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