-- NEXT UPDATE will be posted before 6:00am Pacific on SATURDAY, April 10.
Season record: 4-13 -10.69 UNITS
PREFACE: One factor in my handicapping involves an extensive analysis of the pitching/batting matchup. Part of my analysis involves studying the critucal pitching statistics of Control Rate, HR Rate, Dominance Rate, and Command Ratio, among others, which do not show up in traditional box scores. Rather than expound on these invididual stats in my write-ups, I will often refer to them collectively as a pitcher's "skill set." You can rest assured that this analysis is performed on every game, even though I may not specifically refer to them.
All lines effective as of 4/9/2004, 12:01:30 AM - PST. Listed pitchers must start.
Two plays for Friday:
BAL (PONSON) -133 over TB (Hendrickson) - 1 UNIT - 4:15pm Pacific
While Ponson wasn't overly impressive in his first start against Boston, he did look very good initially, before fading a little. He was facing a much better lineup in that game than what he'll be seeing today. They've got some decent arms in the pen, which should be able to hold off Tampa. Baltimore has hit lefties pretty well, and Hendrickson has a penchant for giving up the long ball, which isn't a good matchup against Baltimore. Bullpen is not strong, either.
SEA (FRANKLIN) +112 over Oak (Redman) - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Franklin has dominated the A's, and has pitched well on the road. Although he's probably not as good as last year's ERA would indicate, I think he has enough to handle this A's lineup. The Seattle lineup has also hit well against lefties and on the road. Redman got knocked around in the spring, and there was actually talk of keeping him out of the rotation initially. As evidenced yesterday, Seattle's bullpen is questionable without Guardado, but I think this is pretty good value for a team whose starter has performed at an excellent level against a weak hitting club.
PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITS.
Good luck,
Edward (Sales & Marketing)
Richard (Handicapping)
[This message was edited by The General on April 09, 2004 at 04:01 PM.]
Season record: 4-13 -10.69 UNITS
PREFACE: One factor in my handicapping involves an extensive analysis of the pitching/batting matchup. Part of my analysis involves studying the critucal pitching statistics of Control Rate, HR Rate, Dominance Rate, and Command Ratio, among others, which do not show up in traditional box scores. Rather than expound on these invididual stats in my write-ups, I will often refer to them collectively as a pitcher's "skill set." You can rest assured that this analysis is performed on every game, even though I may not specifically refer to them.
All lines effective as of 4/9/2004, 12:01:30 AM - PST. Listed pitchers must start.
Two plays for Friday:
BAL (PONSON) -133 over TB (Hendrickson) - 1 UNIT - 4:15pm Pacific
While Ponson wasn't overly impressive in his first start against Boston, he did look very good initially, before fading a little. He was facing a much better lineup in that game than what he'll be seeing today. They've got some decent arms in the pen, which should be able to hold off Tampa. Baltimore has hit lefties pretty well, and Hendrickson has a penchant for giving up the long ball, which isn't a good matchup against Baltimore. Bullpen is not strong, either.
SEA (FRANKLIN) +112 over Oak (Redman) - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Franklin has dominated the A's, and has pitched well on the road. Although he's probably not as good as last year's ERA would indicate, I think he has enough to handle this A's lineup. The Seattle lineup has also hit well against lefties and on the road. Redman got knocked around in the spring, and there was actually talk of keeping him out of the rotation initially. As evidenced yesterday, Seattle's bullpen is questionable without Guardado, but I think this is pretty good value for a team whose starter has performed at an excellent level against a weak hitting club.
PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITS.
Good luck,
Edward (Sales & Marketing)
Richard (Handicapping)
[This message was edited by The General on April 09, 2004 at 04:01 PM.]
