If you ar analizing run lines. Favorites I believe historically win 60% of the 1 run games. Or another way to look at it is 18% of the time the runline comes into play. Please realize these # maybe off because they are coming off the top of my head, but I believe when I did this analysis last year those were the #s.
as with anything else you must pick your spots
it means that what happened today, two days ago, or twenty years ago does not predict what will happen tomorrow
often when a dog moneyline is off it is magnified in the alternate runline
sometimes the only value is in the dog winning by two, the SU is not far enough off
recognizing team tendencies, the teams that often display behavior outside bookmakers' prediction curves and beyond the casual bettor's grasp is another place to glance
it's not work unless you think it is
it means that what happened today, two days ago, or twenty years ago does not predict what will happen tomorrow
often when a dog moneyline is off it is magnified in the alternate runline
sometimes the only value is in the dog winning by two, the SU is not far enough off
recognizing team tendencies, the teams that often display behavior outside bookmakers' prediction curves and beyond the casual bettor's grasp is another place to glance
it's not work unless you think it is
