Thurs. bases, 35-28, +11.74

2-6, -4.30 on Wednesday. That's what I get for running system plays.

Sticking to my gut on these plays.


Fla/Mon under 8 -114
Fogg/Zambrano
These 2 teams finally went over on Wednesday. Still think they will stay under for this game.

AZ/Col over 12.5 -125
Daigle/Elarton
Neither pitcher very good.

Atl/NYM under 8.5 -116
Ramirez/Leiter

Mil +145 over Hou
Sheets/Redding
Sheets handled the Astros last time out.

A's -109 over Rangers
Harden/Rogers
Good price for Harden.

Balt +183 over Bos
Ponson/Martinez
Good price for Ponson. Balt won in the last matchup between these 2 pitchers.

Minn -107 over Cle
Radke/Stanford

Adding-

Det -1.5 +296
Halladay/Johnson
Halladay's previous 2 games were losses by more than 2 runs. Too much reward here for me to not make this bet.

pretty much the same I'm looking at

I really like KC

Det is putting a stiff out there but Tor offense hasnt proven much yet

Mil can catch Hou in a good spot here, great roadie for the "Stros, letdown vs a solid pitcher and a live offense

Col and the over, stuck out b/c of little argument to take Az and the under from what I can see

Harden was -220 at home vs this Rangers team now minus A-Rod. very hard to take Texas even against someone unproven on the road. either A's or pass for me. With the Rangers relief pitching, they should be at least +135 min. in this spot IMO.

I like NYM under 8.5, I liked it before I looked at Leiters home games. Hopefully that's enough to cancel out Ramirez on the road. Maybe the low scoring first game at Shea set the pace for the series.

I might fade the cubs, the price is too high, but might keep rising. Forgot the exact reasoning there.

best of luck

I've been reading your posts regarding the -1.5 and some of the outrageous odds you were getting. It made me curious. Then I started looking at the +296 for the Tigers and thought it was worth a shot. Didn't work this game but who knows about the next one.

Your NYM under 8.5 came through for you.

Mil came through for us today. I thought they should have been favored so I was glad to get the line at +145.

Thanks for the input. Looks like a good day.