not worth a bet IMO
I would lean baltimore - but the points you make about rest are important - as well as the fact that the climate will be a little more temperate than their last matchup.
That pedro error set the table for baltimore to take the game - it not only let in a run and missed the easy out opportunity but it allowed men to get into scoring position setting it up so that the next hit would drive another run in.
Without that error it would have been 1-0 IMO at the end of that inning and a totally different ballgame.
After that pedro settled down - then timlin came in and allowed 3 runs...
Pedro wont make that mistake again - and my guess is that he'll be paying special attention to javy lopez to keep him from getting another homer.
Javy may be the one to get hit actually - but thats just a guess.
Personally Id like to see pedro get shelled so that contoversy can stirr in boston and make for some good drama - but in reality I cant see ponson doing much better than he did last time (5.2 innings 7 hits FOURTEEN SOX STRANDED ON BASE)
GL whatever you decide
I would lean baltimore - but the points you make about rest are important - as well as the fact that the climate will be a little more temperate than their last matchup.
That pedro error set the table for baltimore to take the game - it not only let in a run and missed the easy out opportunity but it allowed men to get into scoring position setting it up so that the next hit would drive another run in.
Without that error it would have been 1-0 IMO at the end of that inning and a totally different ballgame.
After that pedro settled down - then timlin came in and allowed 3 runs...
Pedro wont make that mistake again - and my guess is that he'll be paying special attention to javy lopez to keep him from getting another homer.
Javy may be the one to get hit actually - but thats just a guess.
Personally Id like to see pedro get shelled so that contoversy can stirr in boston and make for some good drama - but in reality I cant see ponson doing much better than he did last time (5.2 innings 7 hits FOURTEEN SOX STRANDED ON BASE)
GL whatever you decide
Watching the NESN broadcast. Find it interesting, that there is no mention of Pedro's velocity. Speculation worldwide is that he has lost a few MPH. He is definitely lacking command of strikezone again vs Birds. Nice hit by Charles Manson to tie it up. Wo is me with Bill Mueller round tripping. Pedro will need to cram, to pull a B- out of this one.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Jaypaw:
does the "to the bank" point refer to the fact that you think pedro probably would make the same error again - you think the error/weather had no impact on the outcome of that game, or does it just mean that you are not really sure but you like the big + money?
Im sure its one of those...<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
i think +180 to Ponson is high. i just see value in playing this dog. 5 4 right now and i see no reason for balti losing this, crazy 5 run inning for boston, i think balti pulls this one out.
does the "to the bank" point refer to the fact that you think pedro probably would make the same error again - you think the error/weather had no impact on the outcome of that game, or does it just mean that you are not really sure but you like the big + money?
Im sure its one of those...<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
i think +180 to Ponson is high. i just see value in playing this dog. 5 4 right now and i see no reason for balti losing this, crazy 5 run inning for boston, i think balti pulls this one out.
