Sharp Plays w/analysis for Friday

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Hello folks. Our Thursday freebies here did pretty well (4-1 +224), especially the best ones going 3-0 +300. Hopefully we can keep it going today.We wish you all the best of luck.

Nicolas (Sharp Capping)



Best plays for Friday:

Milwaukee +1.5 -142

Why is Atlanta favored today ? Only the books know that. Of course the linemakers usually know better than us, but they are not always right on the money, especially in baseball. Atlanta is favored because they have a name and the Brewers don't. However, this Atlanta team is not that good this year. They have dropped 8 straight following a win and 8 straight when trying to win consecutive road games. When both Atlanta and their starting pitcher Ramirez are coming of wins, they are 1-4 in last 5. On Thursday they scored more than 5 runs for only the second time in last 10 games, and that will not be enough against the red hot Brewers who won 5 of 6, and scored 6 rpg on average in their last 9. This Milwaukee team never gives up. They won three straight games, all three coming from behind against Montreal and they are 9-5 in last 14 at home. Four of their last five losses were one run losses. They play everyone taugh and Atlanta will have their hands full tomorrow. The Brewers are 8-3 in game 1 of series, Atlanta is 3-8. The Brewers won 5 of last 6 openers against the Braves, including three straight at home. Ramirez has not been able to give Atlanta consecutive wins in his starts since early September 2003 and Santos has been very solid for Milwaukee in his two starts this year allowing 3 ER in 10 IP.

Texas -132

Detroit only 1-11 in last 12 coming of a win and 2-7 in last 9 series openers. Texas 6-0 in last 6 coming of a loss and 7-1 in last 8 series openers. Texas averages 7 runs per game in their last 9 games and Detroit is just awfull at home, scoring 2½ runs per game in last 7 home games. Texas is 4-0 revenging a loss to Detroit recently and Benoit has been a very good bounce back pitcher lately as well. He is 3-0 while not allowing a single earned run in 17 IP in his last 3 starts following a loss. In his only career road start vs the Tigers he got the win pitching well into the 8th inning. Knotts' last 4 starts were ugly, as he allowed 21 ER in 13.2 IP and he was no better coming out of bullpen this year, posting a 6.32 ERA.

1 more best play will be added.
 

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Pitbull, our YTD record in bases is 59-31 + 23.55 units but we will only keep track of our plays posted here. Good luck today sir.
 

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as posted on another board earlier:

Cleveland -146 (last play today - all three are "best plays")

We are going to fade TB today as they just don't seem to be able to win consecutive games. 0-9 this season following a win and also 0-6 in last 6 after avoiding a sweep, while being outscored 11:37 in the process. Cleveland was very good after a day off this season, winning last 4, outscoring opponents 29:14 and beating Schilling, Ponson, Garland and Affeldt. TB is 0-3 in last 3 Abott's starts, with a total of 2 runs of support (combined!) and quite a few errors leading to unearned runs. Abott's frustration was evident and he allowed 18 total runs in 16 IP. Davis has a history of good bounce back performances after allowing 4 earned runs or more. He allowed only 4 ER in last 18 IP in last 3 starts after allowing 4+ earned runs. The tribe owns TB, posting a 24-8 record against them in last 32 meetings. Cleveland is also 9-1 in last 10 game 1 openers vs the Devil Rays. Cleveland wins today at home.
 

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Pitbull, I have no reason to spread lies, and it is not my style either. Several members of this site are my customers and every single lie on my part would bite me in the ass. Counting only my wins and losses posted here is the only way to do it. Thank you sir and best of luck today.

Nicolas (Sharp Capping)
 

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