Astros at Marlins preview and pick

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7.05pm ET
Houston (22-15) @ Florida (21-16)
Wade Miller (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

The Under has cashed 10 straight times in this series and we expect that strong trend to continue tonight.

None of those 10 games saw more than seven runs scored and with two strong starters tonight we believe a play Under 8 runs offers excellent value.

In their last six games Houston has scored just 16 runs while Florida has fared even worse with only 15 runs.

Reigning NL Rookie of the Year Dontrelle Willis goes for the Marlins and he is 7-1 with a 3.17 ERA in his last 12 starts dating back to last season. Willis had his best stuff again last Wednesday when in his first career start against Houston he threw the fewest pitches (91) in a full complete game in Marlins history.

Astros starter Wade Miller suffered a strained neck in that contest but gets a chance to revenge the loss tonight. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 3.44 ERA in three career starts against the Marlins and each of those stayed Under the total. Opponents are batting .180 against Miller, who has yielded four runs in 20 innings on the road. Overall this season against right-handed starters Florida are hitting just .249 and are 8-20 O/U.

The Under is hitting at a 69% clip in Marlins home games this season and we're expecting limited offense again tonight.

Recommended Play: Under 8 -115

Good luck
Mike Thomas
Champion Plays
 

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