Space's Bases Tuesday!

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Sep 21, 2004
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YTD 15-24 (-4.93)

Loss yesterday as the Giants pummeled Zona.

Los Angeles +106 (Sheets,Weaver)

There's been some nice value against Sheets since his 18 K game, and this is one example. He's got that gaudy ERA, but is clearly a different pitcher away from Miller Park.
In 30 fewer innings away from home, he's allowed just 2 fewer earned runs, and has walked 7 more hitters (4.22 ERA)!
Sheets is also 0-2 as a road fav this year, and the Brew crew has scored three runs or less in nine of their last ten.

Weaver, on the other hand, has a sub four home ERA, and a 2.91 ERA over his last five starts. He's also 2-1 as a home dog.
The bats have yet to really explode, but they have scored 16 runs over their recent three game win streak, coinciding with Shawn Green coming out of his nose dive with 7 hits, 3 runs, and 3 RBI in his last four starts, and the return of Dave Roberts to the top of the lineup.

I am a fan of Ben Sheets, but with his average road numbers, and the hibernation of the Milwaukee bats, how can you not take the Dodgers as home dogs.

Good luck,
Space.
 

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