All plays are for ONE Base Unit
& listed pitchers -
Yesterday: 4-2 +3.86U
YTD Straight Plays: 120-119 50.21% +2.35U
YTD Parlays: 1-0 100.00% +2.51U
Total: +4.86U
BIG day yesterday, BIG card today, and had time for some write-ups:
Cleveland -125
Best play on the board in my opinion. Paul Wilson splits - 5.05 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, .318 BAA away from Great American Ballpark. 1.68 WHIP, .298 BAA vs. lefties. Well, this game is at Jacob's Field and Cleveland will have a dynamite left-handed lineup waiting for him. Reds batting .212 as a team versus left-handed pitching. Reds have lost 3 games in a row and are on the road. Excellent spot to ride the streak.
Detroit +105
I see value taking the home team with the better performing starter on the mound at plus money. Detroit still getting value with the linesmakers despite their improvement.
San Francisco +117
Bedard should struggle against a Giants lineup that hits lefties at a .281 BA on the road. The Giants are hitting .328 and .339 versus lefties last 5 and 10 respectively. Hermanson splits line up nice tonight - 3.34 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, .232 BAA on the road. Baltimore is tough versus righties but most of that production is from a right-handed lineup. Hermanson has a 0.93 WHIP and .219 BAA versus righties so he should nuetralize their effectiveness.
Atlanta/Chicago WS UNDER 10 -120
Line is inflated after the football games the Sox and Phils played past couple days. White Sox don't have enough from the left side to punish Wright. Wright has a 1.02 WHIP, .200 BAA versus righties and that should work well against the Sox lineup. Take Marcus Giles out of the equation and the Braves hit .234 versus lefties, .212 last 10. Schoenweiss should get deep into the game and limit the Sox bullpen's innings.
Philadelphia -125
Phillies batting .329 L5, .282 L10 versus righties. Minnesota .231 L5, .217 L10. Myers the much better pitcher in this matchup and starting to really put it together. Line is reasonable because Minny is at home, in first place, and on a deceptive 4-game winning streak.
Minny went 15 innings last night as well.
Kansas City -105
Mets hitting .207 L5, .202 L10 versus lefties. May has been under-achieving so this could be the matchup he needs. Seo has a 1.73 WHIP and .337 BAA versus righties. KC will likely have 7 righties in their lineup + Beltran & Matt Stairs so despite KC's struggles to score, Seo may have a difficult night against this lineup.
Montreal +118
Anyone notice Les Expos are scoring some runs these days? Both of tonight's pitcher's are more prone to failure against left-handed hitting. While neither lineup will scare many pitchers, the Expos have the lineup with better lefty bats. Couple that with +118 with Hernandez against Seattle and I'll play it.
& listed pitchers -
Yesterday: 4-2 +3.86U
YTD Straight Plays: 120-119 50.21% +2.35U
YTD Parlays: 1-0 100.00% +2.51U
Total: +4.86U
BIG day yesterday, BIG card today, and had time for some write-ups:
Cleveland -125
Best play on the board in my opinion. Paul Wilson splits - 5.05 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, .318 BAA away from Great American Ballpark. 1.68 WHIP, .298 BAA vs. lefties. Well, this game is at Jacob's Field and Cleveland will have a dynamite left-handed lineup waiting for him. Reds batting .212 as a team versus left-handed pitching. Reds have lost 3 games in a row and are on the road. Excellent spot to ride the streak.
Detroit +105
I see value taking the home team with the better performing starter on the mound at plus money. Detroit still getting value with the linesmakers despite their improvement.
San Francisco +117
Bedard should struggle against a Giants lineup that hits lefties at a .281 BA on the road. The Giants are hitting .328 and .339 versus lefties last 5 and 10 respectively. Hermanson splits line up nice tonight - 3.34 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, .232 BAA on the road. Baltimore is tough versus righties but most of that production is from a right-handed lineup. Hermanson has a 0.93 WHIP and .219 BAA versus righties so he should nuetralize their effectiveness.
Atlanta/Chicago WS UNDER 10 -120
Line is inflated after the football games the Sox and Phils played past couple days. White Sox don't have enough from the left side to punish Wright. Wright has a 1.02 WHIP, .200 BAA versus righties and that should work well against the Sox lineup. Take Marcus Giles out of the equation and the Braves hit .234 versus lefties, .212 last 10. Schoenweiss should get deep into the game and limit the Sox bullpen's innings.
Philadelphia -125
Phillies batting .329 L5, .282 L10 versus righties. Minnesota .231 L5, .217 L10. Myers the much better pitcher in this matchup and starting to really put it together. Line is reasonable because Minny is at home, in first place, and on a deceptive 4-game winning streak.
Minny went 15 innings last night as well.
Kansas City -105
Mets hitting .207 L5, .202 L10 versus lefties. May has been under-achieving so this could be the matchup he needs. Seo has a 1.73 WHIP and .337 BAA versus righties. KC will likely have 7 righties in their lineup + Beltran & Matt Stairs so despite KC's struggles to score, Seo may have a difficult night against this lineup.
Montreal +118
Anyone notice Les Expos are scoring some runs these days? Both of tonight's pitcher's are more prone to failure against left-handed hitting. While neither lineup will scare many pitchers, the Expos have the lineup with better lefty bats. Couple that with +118 with Hernandez against Seattle and I'll play it.
